🐻⬇️🏀

Xavier Musketeers

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (28 games)

57.7
PPG
67.1
Opp
-9.4
Margin
39.1%
FG%
28.5%
3P%
74.0%
FT%
32.6
RPG
13.4
APG
17.2
TO
78.1
Pace
59.4
AdjO
60.7
AdjD
#179
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 860 (#265) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 958 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 890 (#541) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.5 (#181) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +6.4 (#243) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.189 (#283) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.5 More → 0.224 (#257) NetEff -9.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.8 More → 0.449 (#181) AdjNet -1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.441 (#183) AdjNet -2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 60.7 More → 0.471 (#179) AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.324 (#540) AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.581 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.511 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 28 More → 891 (#423) RD 153 | GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs New Haven Chargers W 53 - 46
2025-11-07 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 62 - 61
2025-11-11 vs Dayton Flyers L 66 - 71
2025-11-14 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 60 - 68
2025-11-20 vs Ohio Bobcats W 74 - 53
2025-11-24 @ Akron Zips W 64 - 57
2025-11-30 vs UConn Huskies L 39 - 104
2025-12-04 vs Providence Friars W 61 - 47
2025-12-07 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 77 - 70
2025-12-14 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 63 - 51
2025-12-19 @ Butler Bulldogs L 58 - 64
2025-12-28 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 55 - 75
2026-01-01 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 54 - 67
2026-01-04 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 52 - 51
2026-01-08 @ Villanova Wildcats L 50 - 67
2026-01-17 vs St. John's Red Storm L 64 - 66
2026-01-20 @ Creighton Bluejays L 64 - 82
2026-01-25 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 52 - 65
2026-01-28 @ UConn Huskies L 39 - 97
2026-02-01 vs Butler Bulldogs W 63 - 59
2026-02-04 @ St. John's Red Storm L 52 - 71
2026-02-08 @ Providence Friars L 50 - 66
2026-02-11 vs Villanova Wildcats L 38 - 78
2026-02-18 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 55 - 64
2026-02-22 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 67 - 76
2026-02-25 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 65 - 77
2026-03-01 vs Creighton Bluejays L 71 - 73
2026-03-06 @ St. John's Red Storm L 48 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Noel M. Noel G 28 34.2 15.4 6.4 2.4 1.0 0.5 4.0 14.5 7.2 -162 -7.0 -8.3 37.4 32.3 76.2 -2.85 46.6 41.1
M. Givens M. Givens F 27 29.1 11.2 4.1 0.8 1.1 0.4 1.4 9.4 6.7 -114 -5.0 -6.5 47.4 31.5 85.1 -1.24 55.4 52.0
M. Kanerva M. Kanerva G 28 38.2 10.0 2.6 3.9 1.1 0.1 2.8 10.7 4.1 -139 -6.0 -6.2 36.7 28.9 76.0 0.9 45.0 43.5
S. White S. White F 27 30.0 7.0 7.1 2.3 1.6 1.3 2.4 6.2 10.8 68 4.2 6.4 45.5 10.5 54.7 3.02 48.4 46.1
V. Nejašmić V. Nejašmić G 28 22.6 6.6 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.2 2.4 6.2 3.5 -152 -6.6 -13.9 42.9 25.4 73.1 -2.03 49.3 47.1
P. Oborilova P. Oborilova F 28 21.6 4.0 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.4 1.3 4.6 3.0 -39 -1.6 -2.9 32.0 29.7 0 3.3 43.8 43.8
A. Young A. Young G 27 16.0 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.0 3.2 0.9 107 4.9 7.0 26.7 23.6 87.5 2.56 39.2 34.3
L. Martínez López L. Martínez López G 21 10.3 1.5 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 -55 -3.7 -17.0 39.3 60.0 100.0 -2.92 51.5 44.6
D. Neves D. Neves F 12 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 -0.2 -2 -0.2 -3.6 33.3 33.3 0 -0.1 41.7 41.7
P. Holmes P. Holmes G 11 3.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.1 -19 -2.1 -31.1 12.5 14.3 0 0.23 18.8 18.8
M. Moore M. Moore F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 153 6.7 7.8 - - - 1.13 - -
Payton Richards Payton Richards G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kodee Williams-Sefo Kodee Williams-Sefo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
P. Dieng P. Dieng F 3 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 -2.0 -27 -13.5 -143.7 0.0 0.0 0 -1.64 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG