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Xavier

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Xavier Musketeers
Program History
Coach: Billi Chambers

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

83.0
PPG
70.5
Opp
+12.5
Margin
50.0%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
71.8%
FT%
33.5
RPG
14.5
APG
12.0
TO
69.6
Est. poss./game
71.9
Adj PPG
59.8
Adj Opp PPG
#118
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 912 (returning production + recruiting): last season 976, returning -79, transfers +14, freshmen +0 More → 985 (#167) Preseason prior 912 (returning production + recruiting): last season 976, returning -79, transfers +14, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +215 elo More → 980 (#177) HCA +215 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +215 elo More → 1011 (#138) HCA +215 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More → +2.4 (#133) HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More → +2.5 (#131) HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.521 (#147) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.5 More → 0.487 (#165) AdjNet +5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.4 More → 0.484 (#166) AdjNet +5.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.574 (#118) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 59.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 59.9 More → 0.592 (#99) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 59.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.533 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.537 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 194 | GP 2 More → 990 (#162) RD 194 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More → 0.298 (#224) Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 75 - 63
2026-11-05 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 91 - 78
2026-11-09 vs Akron Zips - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lucile Jerome Lucile Jerome G 2 36.0 25.0 5.0 1.5 2.5 0.0 1.0 16.5 16.5 32 2 16.0 18.0 57.6 37.5 75.0 0.82 68.5 66.7
Meri Kanerva Meri Kanerva G 2 39.0 15.5 2.0 6.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.5 14.5 25 2 12.5 12.8 60.0 75.0 76.9 0.03 74.8 70.0
Kejia Ran Kejia Ran G 2 26.0 12.0 5.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 10.0 8.5 18 2 9.0 13.9 50.0 100.0 100.0 -0.13 58.7 57.5
Diawna Carter-Hartley Diawna Carter-Hartley F 2 24.0 9.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 8.0 6.5 15 2 7.5 12.5 43.8 0.0 80.0 -0.16 49.5 43.8
Maria Anais Rodriguez Maria Anais Rodriguez F 2 21.5 7.0 4.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 2.0 5.0 10.0 14 2 7.0 12.9 60.0 0.0 50.0 -0.87 59.5 60.0
Kodee Williams-Sefo Kodee Williams-Sefo F 2 18.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 5.0 9 2 4.5 9.9 57.1 50.0 100.0 -0.02 79.9 71.4
Marta Moscarella Marta Moscarella G 2 6.5 5.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.5 0 2 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 -1.26 46.0 50.0
Hila Karsh Hila Karsh G 2 15.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.0 8 2 4.0 10.5 40.0 0.0 0 0.86 40.0 40.0
Mya Moore Mya Moore F 1 14.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 -2.0 3 1 3.0 8.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.78 7.3 0.0
Denise Neves Denise Neves F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Payton Richards Payton Richards G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Stella Mavuanga Stella Mavuanga G 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5 1 5.0 21.9 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Morgan Jenkins Morgan Jenkins NA 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -4 1 -4.0 -33.3 0.0 0 0 -1.19 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

124 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Carter-Hartley23% Jerome28% Jerome33% Carter-Hartley33% Karsh100% Ran33% Kanerva100% Kanerva67% Jerome60% Ran50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ran25% Ran36% Kanerva50% Jerome50% Kanerva40% Jerome50% Carter-Hartley60% Jerome30% Jerome50% Jerome50%
Misses: who misses most here

Lucile JeromeKejia RanMeri KanervaDiawna Carter-HartleyHila Karsh

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 13-17 76.5 26 Diawna Carter-Hartley 23% (6 pts) Lucile Jerome 23% (6 pts) Kejia Ran 25% (1 misses) Marta Moscarella 25% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 25-47 53.2 50 Lucile Jerome 28% (14 pts) Kejia Ran 16% (8 pts) Kejia Ran 36% (8 misses) Diawna Carter-Hartley 23% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 6-8 75.0 12 Lucile Jerome 33% (4 pts) Diawna Carter-Hartley 17% (2 pts) Meri Kanerva 50% (1 misses) Mya Moore 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 3-5 60.0 6 Diawna Carter-Hartley 33% (2 pts) Kodee Williams-Sefo 33% (2 pts) Lucile Jerome 50% (1 misses) Morgan Jenkins 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-6 16.7 2 Hila Karsh 100% (2 pts) - Meri Kanerva 40% (2 misses) Kejia Ran 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Kejia Ran 33% (3 pts) Kodee Williams-Sefo 33% (3 pts) Lucile Jerome 50% (1 misses) Marta Moscarella 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-6 16.7 3 Meri Kanerva 100% (3 pts) - Diawna Carter-Hartley 60% (3 misses) Lucile Jerome 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 3-13 23.1 9 Meri Kanerva 67% (6 pts) Lucile Jerome 33% (3 pts) Lucile Jerome 30% (3 misses) Hila Karsh 20% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-9 55.6 15 Lucile Jerome 60% (9 pts) Kejia Ran 20% (3 pts) Lucile Jerome 50% (2 misses) Kodee Williams-Sefo 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-8 25.0 6 Kejia Ran 50% (3 pts) Lucile Jerome 50% (3 pts) Lucile Jerome 50% (3 misses) Diawna Carter-Hartley 17% (1 misses)