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Wright State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History
Coach: Kari Hoffman

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

87.0
PPG
49.0
Opp
+38.0
Margin
49.6%
FG%
38.8%
3P%
63.3%
FT%
48.5
RPG
18.5
APG
14.5
TO
74.1
Est. poss./game
63.5
Adj PPG
59.6
Adj Opp PPG
#253
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 815 (returning production + recruiting): last season 915, returning -43, transfers -57, freshmen +0 More → 803 (#291) Preseason prior 815 (returning production + recruiting): last season 915, returning -43, transfers -57, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 853 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +225 elo More → 926 (#284) HCA +225 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More → -6.9 (#249) HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More → -6.5 (#248) HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.214 (#243) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.336 (#253) AdjNet -0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.332 (#254) AdjNet -0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 59.6 More → 0.361 (#253) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 59.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 59.6 More → 0.412 (#240) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 59.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.314 (#261) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.323 (#259) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 841 (#290) RD 218 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 71 - 73
2026-11-06 vs Ohio Christian Trailblazers W 103 - 25
2026-11-08 @ Michigan Wolverines - Preview
2026-11-13 @ Indiana State Sycamores - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rylee Sagester Rylee Sagester G 2 28.5 14.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 9.0 12.5 28 2 14.0 20.0 61.1 45.5 100.0 -1.92 76.8 75.0
Allie Daniels Allie Daniels F 2 24.5 13.5 5.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 8.0 12.0 55 2 27.5 45.1 75.0 50.0 33.3 3.16 77.9 81.2
Jayden Terry Jayden Terry G 2 25.0 13.0 4.5 2.5 4.0 0.0 2.5 11.0 10.5 27 2 13.5 21.6 50.0 50.0 50.0 -3.02 54.7 54.5
Megan Campbell Megan Campbell ATH 2 22.5 10.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 8.5 10.0 44 2 22.0 38.6 41.2 46.2 0 3.35 58.8 58.8
Elaina Rager Elaina Rager G 1 16.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 19 1 19.0 46.9 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.16 57.9 33.3
Paula Sevilla Paula Sevilla G 1 22.0 9.0 18.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 17.0 41 1 41.0 75.9 36.4 0.0 50.0 1.71 37.9 36.4
Grace Okih Grace Okih F 2 16.0 9.0 6.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 8.5 7 2 3.5 8.7 66.7 0 66.7 -0.34 67.6 66.7
Sydney Williams Sydney Williams G 1 24.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 3.0 41 1 41.0 67.4 27.3 22.2 0 1.39 36.4 36.4
Maja Dilen Maja Dilen G 2 24.0 7.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 5.5 5.5 48 2 24.0 40.0 54.5 66.7 50.0 0.04 63.1 63.6
Olivia Brown Olivia Brown G 2 28.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 1.5 0.5 2.0 6.5 11.5 - - - - 30.8 0.0 50.0 - 36.3 30.8
Jasmine Fearne Jasmine Fearne G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Megan Ganschow Megan Ganschow F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Rowan Klesmit Rowan Klesmit G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Abbie Riddle Abbie Riddle G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

137 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Daniels23% Okih36% Sagester100% Daniels100% Terry100% Terry33% Sagester100% Campbell43% Daniels33% Campbell40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Terry39% Okih15% Dilen100% Williams75% Brown50% Williams36% Campbell100% Sagester44%
Misses: who misses most here

Rylee SagesterAllie DanielsJayden TerryMegan CampbellGrace OkihMaja DilenOlivia BrownSydney Williams

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 35-53 66.0 70 Allie Daniels 23% (16 pts) Jayden Terry 20% (14 pts) Jayden Terry 39% (7 misses) Olivia Brown 22% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 11-31 35.5 22 Grace Okih 36% (8 pts) Maja Dilen 18% (4 pts) Grace Okih 15% (3 misses) Maja Dilen 15% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 1-1 100.0 2 Rylee Sagester 100% (2 pts) - - -
Mid-range center 1-1 100.0 2 Allie Daniels 100% (2 pts) - - -
Mid-range right 1-2 50.0 2 Jayden Terry 100% (2 pts) - Maja Dilen 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 3-7 42.9 9 Jayden Terry 33% (3 pts) Maja Dilen 33% (3 pts) Sydney Williams 75% (3 misses) Elaina Rager 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Rylee Sagester 100% (3 pts) - Olivia Brown 50% (1 misses) Paula Sevilla 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 7-18 38.9 21 Megan Campbell 43% (9 pts) Allie Daniels 14% (3 pts) Sydney Williams 36% (4 misses) Rylee Sagester 18% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-7 42.9 9 Allie Daniels 33% (3 pts) Megan Campbell 33% (3 pts) Megan Campbell 100% (4 misses) -
Above-break 3 right 5-14 35.7 15 Megan Campbell 40% (6 pts) Maja Dilen 20% (3 pts) Rylee Sagester 44% (4 misses) Megan Campbell 22% (2 misses)