Wright State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
73.0
PPG
70.0
Opp
+3.0
Margin
46.6%
FG%
41.3%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
37.5
RPG
14.0
APG
20.0
TO
72.4
Est. poss./game
62.6
Adj PPG
70.2
Adj Opp PPG
#290
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 783 (#297) | Preseason prior 815 (returning production + recruiting): last season 915, returning -43, transfers -57, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 861 (#287) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 863 (#286) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.9 (#271) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.9 (#270) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.086 (#297) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.197 (#313) | AdjNet -18.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.215 (#301) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.305 (#290) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.306 (#290) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.254 (#293) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.254 (#293) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 822 (#306) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.204 (#299) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Ohio Christian Trailblazers | W | 103 - 25 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Michigan Wolverines | L | 52 - 109 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Indiana State Sycamores | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Marshall Thundering Herd | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jasmine Fearne
|
G | 1 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 72.7 | 88.9 | 0 | 1.41 | 109.1 | 109.1 |
Jayden Terry
|
G | 4 | 29.0 | 17.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 12.2 | 11.0 | -17 | 4 | -4.2 | -5.8 | 49.0 | 28.6 | 73.1 | -2.71 | 57.1 | 51.0 |
Rylee Sagester
|
G | 4 | 33.2 | 12.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 6.8 | -30 | 4 | -7.5 | -9.1 | 48.6 | 41.2 | 75.0 | -3.49 | 62.1 | 58.6 |
Megan Campbell
|
ATH | 2 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 44 | 2 | 22.0 | 38.6 | 41.2 | 46.2 | 0 | 3.4 | 58.8 | 58.8 |
Elaina Rager
|
G | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 19 | 1 | 19.0 | 46.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.81 | 57.9 | 33.3 |
Allie Daniels
|
F | 4 | 25.2 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 22 | 4 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 65.2 | 50.0 | 71.4 | 2.16 | 72.9 | 71.7 |
Grace Okih
|
F | 4 | 18.5 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 6.2 | -32 | 4 | -8.0 | -17.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 71.4 | -1.88 | 60.2 | 57.1 |
Maja Dilen
|
G | 4 | 23.8 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3.8 | -15 | 4 | -3.8 | -6.3 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -3.75 | 55.7 | 52.8 |
Sydney Williams
|
G | 2 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 21 | 2 | 10.5 | 23.2 | 21.4 | 18.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
Olivia Brown
|
G | 4 | 29.0 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 23.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 30.4 | 23.5 |
Paula Sevilla
|
G | 3 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 29 | 3 | 9.7 | 35.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 34.9 | 33.3 |
Megan Ganschow
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Rowan Klesmit
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Abbie Riddle
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
223 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jayden TerryRylee SagesterAllie DanielsGrace OkihJasmine FearneMegan CampbellMaja DilenSydney Williams
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 56-98 | 57.1 | 112 | Jayden Terry 34% (38 pts) | Allie Daniels 18% (20 pts) | Jayden Terry 40% (17 misses) | Olivia Brown 14% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 13-42 | 31.0 | 26 | Grace Okih 31% (8 pts) | Rylee Sagester 23% (6 pts) | Grace Okih 17% (5 misses) | Maja Dilen 17% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-2 | 100.0 | 4 | Rylee Sagester 100% (4 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range center | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Allie Daniels 100% (2 pts) | - | Allie Daniels 33% (1 misses) | Rylee Sagester 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 1-2 | 50.0 | 2 | Jayden Terry 100% (2 pts) | - | Maja Dilen 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Allie Daniels 25% (3 pts) | Jayden Terry 25% (3 pts) | Sydney Williams 80% (4 misses) | Elaina Rager 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-7 | 42.9 | 9 | Jasmine Fearne 33% (3 pts) | Maja Dilen 33% (3 pts) | Allie Daniels 25% (1 misses) | Jayden Terry 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-26 | 34.6 | 27 | Megan Campbell 33% (9 pts) | Rylee Sagester 22% (6 pts) | Sydney Williams 24% (4 misses) | Maja Dilen 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-11 | 54.5 | 18 | Jasmine Fearne 33% (6 pts) | Rylee Sagester 33% (6 pts) | Megan Campbell 80% (4 misses) | Rylee Sagester 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-22 | 40.9 | 27 | Jasmine Fearne 44% (12 pts) | Megan Campbell 22% (6 pts) | Rylee Sagester 46% (6 misses) | Jayden Terry 15% (2 misses) |