Worcester St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 941 (#346) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#403) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.4 (#299) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.190 (#589) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.412 (#268) | NetEff -2.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.075 (#566) | AdjNet -21.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.071 (#560) | AdjNet -21.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.209 (#570) | AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 71.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | New Hampshire | L | 34 - 83 |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | WPI | L | 39 - 61 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Anna Maria | W | 65 - 44 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Wellesley | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Lasell | W | 93 - 89 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Salve Regina | L | 53 - 71 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | New England Col. | W | 60 - 48 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Keene St. | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Springfield | L | 36 - 69 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Western New Eng. | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Regis (MA) | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2025-01-06 | @ | Brandeis | L | 48 - 65 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Emerson | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Fitchburg St. | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2025-01-13 | vs | Mount Holyoke | W | 58 - 34 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Westfield St. | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Bridgewater St. | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Salem St. | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Framingham St. | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 88 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Westfield St. | L | 61 - 83 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Bridgewater St. | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Salem St. | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Westfield St. | L | 75 - 89 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hurynowicz | - | 26 | 32.8 | 15.7 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 14.1 | 8.1 | - | - | - | 38.1 | 27.8 | 70.6 | -0.6 | 47.5 | 41.8 |
| Hannah Lomonaco | - | 26 | 30.7 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 8.6 | 7.3 | -160 | -5.5 | -5.9 | 35.4 | 28.8 | 69.3 | -0.74 | 44.7 | 38.8 |
| Mia Haynes | - | 23 | 30.6 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 5.6 | -127 | -4.5 | -4.6 | 37.3 | 26.0 | 64.9 | -0.33 | 44.7 | 42.2 |
| Lena Waldron | - | 26 | 33.6 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 9.3 | 4.8 | -182 | -5.9 | -6.1 | 32.9 | 15.3 | 67.7 | -0.61 | 39.0 | 34.8 |
| Abby st Martin | - | 22 | 22.7 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 62 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 42.9 | 32.3 | 61.1 | 0.09 | 46.9 | 45.9 |
| Alana Smith | - | 26 | 23.4 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 8.8 | -201 | -6.7 | -6.9 | 49.7 | 0 | 51.9 | -0.67 | 51.5 | 49.7 |
| Abby St. Martin | - | 4 | 26.2 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 62 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 25.7 | 40.0 | 62.5 | 0.09 | 35.0 | 31.4 |
| Hannah Manzaro | - | 20 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 34.8 | 24.0 | 63.3 | -0.39 | 44.8 | 39.4 |
| Ava Lemanski | - | 22 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | -81 | -3.0 | -8.4 | 41.2 | 0 | 41.7 | -1.13 | 41.8 | 41.2 |
| Ella Tetrault | - | 18 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | -0.3 | -48 | -2.7 | -9.7 | 23.3 | 28.6 | 42.9 | -0.55 | 28.7 | 26.7 |
| Erin Condon | - | 14 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 84 | 4.2 | 25.5 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.94 | 40.5 | 44.4 |
| Sophia Faginski | - | 18 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 43 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.08 | 17.1 | 14.3 |
| Ella Tatrault | - | 4 | 5.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -9 | -1.5 | -7.2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.19 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Emma Quinn | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47 | 4.7 | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG