Worcester St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 936 (#443) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 873 (#479) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 964 (#546) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.1 (#367) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.0 (#518) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.190 (#589) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.283 (#420) | NetEff -6.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.075 (#566) | AdjNet -21.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.071 (#560) | AdjNet -21.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.209 (#570) | AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.397 (#541) | AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.268 (#553) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.289 (#543) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 909 (#414) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | New Hampshire | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | WPI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Anna Maria | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Wellesley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lasell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | New England Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Dean | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Keene St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Spalding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Olivet | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Westfield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Emerson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Fitchburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Framingham St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Salem St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Anna Maria | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Bridgewater St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | MCLA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Westfield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Fitchburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lena Waldron | - | 20 | 29.2 | 13.4 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 12.8 | 6.8 | -21 | -1.2 | -8.5 | 41.8 | 33.3 | 78.4 | 0.53 | 48.3 | 44.7 |
| Hannah Lomonaco | - | 16 | 31.3 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 24 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 34.7 | 32.4 | 83.1 | 3.16 | 47.1 | 38.5 |
| Mia Haynes | - | 20 | 28.6 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 8.9 | 8.3 | -84 | -4.7 | -36.3 | 42.1 | 22.2 | 54.9 | -2.81 | 46.4 | 44.4 |
| Alana Smith | - | 20 | 29.5 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 11.9 | 16 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 49.0 | 0 | 69.2 | 5.0 | 53.9 | 49.0 |
| Aydan Gulliver | - | 20 | 18.6 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 7.8 | 2.4 | 49 | 3.1 | 35.8 | 34.0 | 19.6 | 75.0 | -3.9 | 39.1 | 37.5 |
| Derin Tokcan | - | 19 | 16.6 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 6.1 | 1.8 | -63 | -3.7 | -40.3 | 33.9 | 31.5 | 60.6 | -2.18 | 44.4 | 41.3 |
| Lena Malymina | - | 11 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 8 | 0.9 | 18.6 | 30.6 | 26.7 | 87.5 | 0.71 | 41.8 | 36.1 |
| Emma Quinn | - | 19 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 0.7 | -53 | -3.3 | -38.5 | 35.6 | 42.1 | 50.0 | -4.11 | 43.6 | 42.4 |
| Ava Lemanski | - | 14 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | -24 | -2.0 | -27.9 | 47.4 | 0 | 66.7 | -2.66 | 53.5 | 47.4 |
| Naveiha Madison | - | 17 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -23 | -1.5 | -63.8 | 33.3 | 27.8 | 100.0 | -2.37 | 42.7 | 41.7 |
| Olena Malymina | - | 9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.3 | -0.7 | -31 | -3.9 | -66.1 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -3.51 | 29.7 | 26.2 |
| Ella Tatrault | - | 7 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.13 | 25.2 | 23.1 |
| Alexis Robinson | - | 5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | -15 | -5.0 | -2000.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.28 | 53.9 | 0.0 |
| Cassidy Briggs | - | 2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Noelani Santiago | - | 16 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -22 | -1.8 | -38.4 | 41.7 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 0.19 | 46.4 | 50.0 |
| Thais Dos Santos | - | 8 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | -17 | -1.7 | -20.6 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -2.48 | 27.1 | 12.5 |
| Sophia Faginski | - | 19 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | -62 | -3.9 | -121.3 | 16.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -4.23 | 30.3 | 16.7 |
| Ella Tetrault | - | 11 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | -19 | -2.1 | -55.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -4.01 | 19.4 | 16.7 |
| Erin Condon | - | 14 | 7.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -47 | -4.3 | -99.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.74 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG