🐻⬇️🏀

Wooster

Also known as: Wooster
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1061 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1052 (#174) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -12.4 (#300) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.070 (#651) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -29.4 More → 0.020 (#397) NetEff -29.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.3 More → 0.063 (#580) AdjNet -23.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.7 More → 0.056 (#580) AdjNet -23.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.204 (#578) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 71.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Carlow L 59 - 64
2024-11-09 vs Thiel W 79 - 70
2024-11-13 @ Franciscan W 71 - 64
2024-11-18 @ Waynesburg L 55 - 59
2024-11-26 vs Capital L 48 - 75
2024-12-04 vs Oberlin L 52 - 64
2024-12-06 vs Carnegie Mellon L 43 - 69
2024-12-14 vs Miami-Hamilton L 64 - 74
2024-12-17 @ Kalamazoo L 57 - 65
2024-12-18 @ Alma L 52 - 63
2024-12-30 vs Earlham L 63 - 71
2025-01-04 @ Wittenberg L 55 - 83
2025-01-06 vs Heidelberg W 73 - 64
2025-01-11 @ Denison L 53 - 75
2025-01-15 vs Hiram L 68 - 96
2025-01-18 @ Ohio Wesleyan L 38 - 78
2025-01-22 vs Kenyon W 66 - 57
2025-01-25 vs DePauw L 39 - 92
2025-02-01 vs Wittenberg L 45 - 90
2025-02-05 @ Oberlin L 41 - 63
2025-02-08 vs Denison L 56 - 91
2025-02-12 @ Hiram L 46 - 79
2025-02-15 vs Ohio Wesleyan L 45 - 86
2025-02-19 @ Kenyon W 71 - 60
2025-02-22 @ DePauw L 39 - 73

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mackenzie Riccitelli - 25 32.5 16.6 4.8 2.6 2.1 0.3 4.0 14.8 7.7 -66 -1.8 -1.9 40.0 31.2 84.3 -0.56 50.8 46.1
Tatiyana Sturdivant - 24 26.5 11.4 4.8 4.1 0.9 0.3 4.5 9.5 7.4 -39 -1.8 -2.0 42.1 38.9 78.0 -0.29 53.7 49.8
Ella Dean - 23 26.3 6.7 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 2.0 6.5 2.7 -94 -2.8 -3.2 32.2 28.6 77.5 -0.65 45.9 40.9
Ella Biondi - 25 17.5 6.2 6.2 0.3 0.4 1.6 2.0 5.4 7.3 -26 -0.7 -1.1 49.6 0 44.9 0.28 49.8 49.6
Ellery Kloek - 20 15.3 4.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.2 3.8 0.9 -39 -1.4 -3.0 39.5 33.3 68.4 -0.44 47.4 44.1
Erica Beaty - 25 22.0 3.0 3.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.2 -57 -2.3 -3.3 31.8 27.3 50.0 -0.33 39.2 37.1
Emily Webb - 22 24.1 3.0 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.5 2.5 4.4 1.2 -60 -1.9 -2.8 25.8 14.8 68.8 -0.5 31.2 27.8
Anna Hardink - 21 15.5 2.2 2.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.5 2.2 1.5 -63 -3.5 -5.5 37.0 0.0 63.2 -0.44 42.3 37.0
Lynx Lander - 25 14.6 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.3 3.0 -0.0 -10 -0.3 -0.8 20.0 8.3 35.0 -0.09 23.3 21.3
Chloe Pordash - 24 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.5 -0.1 -37 -2.1 -13.4 29.7 25.9 100.0 -0.53 42.6 39.2
Kylie Parsons - 25 5.2 1.3 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.6 -10 -0.5 -2.9 53.8 0 50.0 -0.07 54.3 53.8
Katelyn Barnes - 24 2.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 -2 -0.1 -1.2 50.0 0 50.0 -0.06 50.7 50.0
Alexis Lovejoy - 11 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG