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Wooster

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wooster
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1061 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1058 (#226) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 949 (#564) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.6 (#200) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -5.9 (#440) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.070 (#651) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.7 More → 0.377 (#391) NetEff -3.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.3 More → 0.063 (#580) AdjNet -23.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.7 More → 0.056 (#580) AdjNet -23.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.204 (#578) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.380 (#557) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.387 (#465) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.382 (#476) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 21 More → 980 (#339) RD 104 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ La Roche W 59 - 58
2025-11-11 vs Franciscan W 82 - 52
2025-11-14 vs Mount Aloysius W 86 - 69
2025-11-15 vs Baldwin Wallace L 56 - 84
2025-11-19 @ Heidelberg W 85 - 47
2025-11-25 @ Capital L 56 - 61
2025-12-03 @ Oberlin L 48 - 58
2025-12-13 @ Geneva L 59 - 93
2025-12-17 @ Hiram W 70 - 66
2025-12-20 @ Bluffton W 68 - 66
2026-01-10 vs Denison L 47 - 88
2026-01-14 @ John Carroll L 46 - 88
2026-01-17 vs Ohio Wesleyan L 59 - 71
2026-01-21 @ Kenyon L 60 - 72
2026-01-24 @ DePauw L 73 - 79
2026-01-31 @ Wittenberg L 53 - 64
2026-02-04 vs Oberlin W 60 - 57
2026-02-07 @ Denison L 54 - 96

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mackenzie Riccitelli - 18 30.3 15.4 3.6 1.9 2.9 0.2 3.4 14.6 6.1 -74 -3.5 -15.6 38.8 29.9 78.7 0.45 48.0 43.7
Ace Sturdivant - 18 28.4 11.8 4.4 3.2 1.9 0.4 4.2 9.8 7.8 -51 -2.4 -11.2 45.8 29.8 77.1 1.48 53.8 49.7
Pink Sturdivant - 18 22.7 7.7 4.3 1.4 0.9 0.4 2.1 7.3 5.3 -65 -3.1 -16.4 43.9 30.0 61.5 0.05 48.1 46.2
Abby Henegar - 17 20.2 7.0 2.9 1.5 1.1 0.1 2.4 6.0 4.2 -38 -1.9 -15.0 36.3 31.7 82.1 0.95 49.9 42.6
Ella Biondi - 18 14.5 5.6 6.6 0.8 0.2 1.6 1.1 5.0 8.7 25 1.2 9.7 45.6 0 73.1 -0.88 49.8 45.6
Emily Webb - 16 13.7 3.9 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 2.8 -49 -2.6 -35.6 52.2 47.1 75.0 -1.33 62.6 60.9
Ella Dean - 18 24.9 3.4 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 1.2 4.2 1.7 -66 -3.1 -18.6 27.6 24.5 70.0 0.58 38.6 36.2
Graysen Redpath - 14 8.5 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.0 0.7 3.2 -0.2 -52 -3.5 -54.3 26.7 16.7 0.0 -0.14 31.6 32.2
Hannah Stroebe - 18 13.6 2.0 3.4 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 2.4 3.9 -61 -2.9 -40.0 31.8 0.0 57.1 -0.91 35.9 31.8
Savannah Weiss - 3 5.8 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.0 -0.7 -11 -3.7 -132.0 11.1 20.0 75.0 -1.29 27.9 16.7
Lynx Lander - 7 6.6 1.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.4 -25 -3.1 -64.8 50.0 0.0 25.0 -1.19 47.2 50.0
Hailey Bergosh - 11 7.6 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.4 -49 -3.8 -45.0 35.7 28.6 100.0 -0.81 50.8 42.9
Ellery Kloek - 15 10.8 1.4 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.7 0.3 -73 -4.1 -50.5 20.0 17.6 66.7 -1.82 25.4 23.8
Mya Rivera - 9 8.1 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 1.7 0.6 -52 -5.2 -192.6 20.0 50.0 75.0 0.63 35.1 23.3
Kylie Parsons - 7 6.1 0.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.3 1.6 -22 -2.8 -67.3 33.3 0 0.0 0.83 30.4 33.3
Katelyn Barnes - 7 4.1 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 3 0.3 13.3 60.0 0 0 -0.66 60.0 60.0
Ayden Rodgers - 9 5.5 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 -38 -3.8 -115.3 33.3 0.0 0 -1.45 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG