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Wooster

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Wooster
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 890 (#547) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 952 (#431) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 942 (#612) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -3.8 (#174) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -6.7 (#475) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.653 (#364) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.5 More → 0.599 (#317) AdjNet +3.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.595 (#316) AdjNet +3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.559 (#316) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.434 (#535) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.374 (#517) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.378 (#523) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 957 (#433) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Hartford L 84 - 89
2025-11-09 @ WestConn L 68 - 74
2025-11-21 vs SUNY Geneseo W 83 - 59
2025-11-22 vs SUNY Brockport W 86 - 85
2025-11-26 @ Mount Union L 72 - 81
2025-12-03 @ Oberlin W 72 - 58
2025-12-06 @ Penn St.-Altoona L 67 - 69
2025-12-13 @ DePauw L 65 - 77
2025-12-17 vs John Carroll L 73 - 92
2025-12-20 @ Transylvania L 62 - 74
2025-12-29 vs Geneva W 80 - 63
2025-12-30 vs Wis.-Platteville L 67 - 69
2026-01-03 @ Wittenberg L 53 - 78
2026-01-07 vs Kenyon L 75 - 80
2026-01-10 vs Wabash L 80 - 89
2026-01-17 vs Ohio Wesleyan W 77 - 74
2026-01-21 @ Denison L 59 - 80
2026-01-24 vs Oberlin W 74 - 66
2026-01-28 @ John Carroll L 78 - 91
2026-01-31 vs Wittenberg L 75 - 86
2026-02-04 @ Kenyon W 62 - 61
2026-02-07 @ Wabash L 66 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaiden Cox-Holloway - 21 33.1 15.3 7.9 1.6 1.2 0.9 2.1 12.3 12.5 -111 -4.8 -28.5 44.8 32.6 80.4 1.7 56.8 53.5
Marcel Henry - 1 24.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 13.0 102 5.7 30.6 66.7 0.0 50.0 -0.07 64.4 66.7
Quincy Jones - 21 23.6 13.1 6.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 2.0 9.4 9.0 -123 -5.6 -42.8 58.1 0.0 65.7 -2.21 60.3 58.1
Lorenzo Almonte - 1 33.3 13.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 13.0 126 15.8 812.9 36.4 0 62.5 -0.19 44.8 36.4
Isaac Roeder - 21 34.2 12.8 5.3 1.6 1.1 0.2 1.7 9.7 9.7 -87 -3.8 -17.5 45.6 33.8 76.2 0.55 56.2 51.0
C.J. Riley - 1 16.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 10.0 68 7.6 402.0 37.5 0.0 45.5 -0.0 42.8 37.5
Nick Boyce - 1 26.2 9.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 101 5.9 46.2 40.0 33.3 0.0 -0.55 43.1 45.0
Jonathan Chery - 1 26.5 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 2.0 1 0.5 6.5 44.4 0.0 0 -0.19 44.4 44.4
Breckman Oakley - 20 27.6 7.7 3.7 2.4 0.9 1.1 2.1 7.5 6.2 -73 -3.5 -16.1 34.2 24.6 79.2 0.26 45.3 38.9
EJ Kapihe - 21 20.8 7.3 3.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.5 5.3 6.4 -11 -0.5 -3.2 56.2 29.4 57.9 3.06 59.4 58.5
Tommy Vaughn Jr. - 21 19.7 6.1 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 1.2 5.5 3.1 -79 -3.6 -23.7 41.4 30.4 60.0 1.03 50.4 48.7
Armaan Sandhu - 1 13.2 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 41 2.3 23.9 66.7 0.0 100.0 -1.24 77.3 66.7
Isaiah Johnson - 18 20.9 4.9 2.9 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.9 4.6 4.7 -35 -1.9 -18.7 41.0 21.1 72.2 2.27 48.9 45.8
Si Kielian - 21 15.3 4.3 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.8 -49 -2.2 -17.5 43.2 32.0 72.0 -1.1 52.9 48.6
Damon Curry - 6 9.5 2.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 - - - 60.0 40.0 100.0 - 71.8 70.0
Anthony Gomes - 9 7.9 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 - - - 36.4 0.0 100.0 - 47.0 36.4
Patrick Gale - 6 1.7 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 -1 -0.2 -23.1 0 0 50.0 0.64 56.8 0
CJ Carter - 10 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.2 -5 -0.6 -40.1 0.0 0 0.0 0.83 0.0 0.0
Matt Meyer - 8 2.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 -0.4 -10 -1.2 -43.9 0.0 0 0 -0.05 0.0 0.0
Francis Nwokonko - 3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 1.5 163.6 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
Bryce Sewell - 6 1.6 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 11 2.2 100.4 0 0 0 1.07 0 0
Marquan Felts-Lipsey - 2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0
Nicholas Moore - 1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 18 1.3 28.4 0 0 0.0 -2.11 0.0 0
Jahlyl Morgan - 1 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 88 5.9 56.6 0.0 0 0 1.03 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG