Wm. Paterson
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1135 (#37) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1187 (#38) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.4 (#128) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.806 (#302) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.913 (#71) | NetEff +16.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.632 (#331) | AdjNet +4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.627 (#332) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.537 (#346) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 63.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Ursinus | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Vassar | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Medgar Evers | W | 86 - 21 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Alvernia | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | TCNJ | L | 48 - 50 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Montclair St. | W | 66 - 50 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Stockton | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 77 - 41 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Rowan | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 59 - 87 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Saint Elizabeth | W | 84 - 59 |
| 2025-01-01 | @ | Hollins | L | 41 - 53 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 35 - 72 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | WestConn | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Salem (NC) | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Kean | W | 61 - 39 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 60 - 49 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 47 - 101 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Meredith | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Ramapo | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Salem (NC) | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2025-01-21 | vs | Pfeiffer | L | 54 - 83 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | TCNJ | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Stockton | W | 59 - 43 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Brevard | L | 59 - 84 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 35 - 92 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Warren Wilson | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Rowan | L | 64 - 92 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | Meredith | L | 46 - 64 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 74 - 52 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Pfeiffer | L | 44 - 74 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Methodist | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Kean | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Greensboro | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 65 - 95 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Ramapo | W | 66 - 29 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Methodist | L | 45 - 80 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 43 - 83 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Baruch | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2025-03-09 | vs | Hunter | W | 88 - 36 |
| 2025-03-15 | vs | Allegheny | L | 52 - 56 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Smith | - | 30 | 25.7 | 14.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 11.7 | 8.1 | 31 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 40.9 | 32.0 | 82.1 | -0.55 | 53.5 | 48.7 |
| Renee Wells | - | 30 | 27.6 | 13.7 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 13.8 | 7.4 | 50 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 37.3 | 26.8 | 79.5 | 1.25 | 45.6 | 41.4 |
| Alayna Randolph | - | 16 | 25.2 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 5.4 | -38 | -1.2 | -1.3 | 36.2 | 39.1 | 69.4 | -0.65 | 46.9 | 42.3 |
| Patty Walsh | - | 30 | 21.6 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 6.7 | -19 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 40.1 | 0.0 | 50.8 | -0.24 | 41.4 | 40.1 |
| Zikira Henderson | - | 17 | 28.6 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 15 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 27.6 | 26.2 | 72.6 | -0.26 | 40.3 | 32.5 |
| Brene'a Daye | - | 17 | 22.6 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 1.4 | -33 | -1.4 | -2.0 | 28.8 | 27.2 | 67.5 | -0.5 | 42.8 | 38.3 |
| Mattison Chiera | - | 26 | 21.0 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 4.7 | -65 | -1.9 | -2.8 | 38.3 | 25.9 | 81.2 | 0.29 | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Allye Woodruff | - | 17 | 18.9 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 0.4 | 16 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 27.0 | 23.5 | 68.8 | 0.02 | 37.6 | 35.2 |
| Victoria Palladino | - | 30 | 26.1 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 42 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 37.6 | 32.5 | 81.8 | 0.65 | 48.3 | 45.5 |
| Jade Martinez | - | 30 | 23.0 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 13 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 35.6 | 23.8 | 90.9 | 0.08 | 49.0 | 39.3 |
| Kaylan Logan bouknight | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 62 | 3.9 | 7.3 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.39 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Jada Jacobs | - | 28 | 15.6 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 6.8 | -91 | -2.5 | -3.8 | 37.9 | 83.3 | 46.8 | -0.6 | 43.3 | 40.5 |
| Shania Taylor | - | 17 | 17.4 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 25 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 27.5 | 30.0 | 42.9 | 0.17 | 31.5 | 29.1 |
| Hannah Lewis | - | 17 | 20.2 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 15 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 38.6 | 22.7 | 85.7 | -0.36 | 48.3 | 43.0 |
| Leilani Pinder | - | 30 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3.7 | -79 | -2.1 | -5.0 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.25 | 51.9 | 48.7 |
| Ja'naisja Baker | - | 1 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 33 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.42 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Danasia Wright | - | 17 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 37 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 40.5 | 33.3 | 43.8 | 0.3 | 42.8 | 41.7 |
| Jada Kent | - | 12 | 12.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 0.8 | -27 | -1.8 | -6.0 | 19.5 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 28.4 | 22.0 |
| Jasmine Sullivan | - | 23 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 30.4 | 0 | 54.5 | 0.27 | 33.4 | 30.4 |
| Kaelyn Gowdy | - | 27 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | -31 | -1.3 | -4.9 | 25.0 | 21.7 | 76.9 | -0.49 | 36.3 | 30.2 |
| Luna Kirby | - | 14 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | -105 | -6.6 | -13.2 | 27.8 | 14.3 | 70.0 | 0.19 | 40.2 | 30.6 |
| Kasey Slade | - | 30 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -33 | -1.1 | -4.1 | 34.8 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.27 | 38.0 | 34.8 |
| Cashae Morton | - | 16 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 24 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 72.7 | 0.25 | 45.7 | 10.0 |
| Geormaya Davis | - | 28 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Mackenzie O'Brien | - | 12 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 46.5 | 44.4 |
| Sofia Chebookjian | - | 30 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.16 | 40.0 | 36.4 |
| Anna Primerano | - | 11 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -28 | -3.1 | -18.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Esmeralda Ruiz | - | 26 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -9 | -0.8 | -4.9 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.25 | 22.4 | 23.5 |
| Brittany Blackburn | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23 | -4.6 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamdyn Lakey | - | 8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -65 | -5.0 | -11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Jessica Worthey | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30 | 5.0 | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Menna Hafiz | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -35 | -5.0 | -23.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG