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Wm. Paterson

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wm. Paterson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1135 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1288 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1161 (#52) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +12.2 (#75) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +8.4 (#225) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.806 (#302) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.3 More → 0.980 (#103) NetEff +26.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.7 More → 0.632 (#331) AdjNet +4.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.627 (#332) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 63.2 More → 0.537 (#346) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 63.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 56.2 More → 0.707 (#119) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 56.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.750 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.758 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 80 | GP 43 More → 1176 (#83) RD 80 | GP 43

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Randolph W 65 - 41
2025-11-07 @ Willamette L 48 - 64
2025-11-12 vs Roanoke L 62 - 76
2025-11-14 vs Waynesburg W 84 - 44
2025-11-15 @ York (PA) W 62 - 41
2025-11-15 vs Apprentice W 75 - 61
2025-11-18 @ Lynchburg L 70 - 77
2025-11-19 vs WestConn W 56 - 51
2025-11-19 @ George Fox L 55 - 67
2025-11-21 @ John Jay W 83 - 61
2025-11-21 @ Agnes Scott W 87 - 56
2025-11-22 @ Hollins L 56 - 64
2025-11-23 vs Pacific Lutheran W 78 - 65
2025-11-25 @ TCNJ W 64 - 54
2025-11-30 vs Lewis & Clark W 82 - 74
2025-12-03 @ Montclair St. W 65 - 60
2025-12-04 @ Greensboro W 88 - 75
2025-12-10 @ Rutgers-Newark W 94 - 50
2025-12-12 vs Brevard W 58 - 54
2025-12-13 vs Rowan W 76 - 44
2025-12-15 @ Mary Baldwin W 78 - 65
2025-12-16 @ Southern Va. L 52 - 67
2025-12-17 vs Marywood W 70 - 57
2025-12-30 vs Bethany (WV) L 56 - 71
2026-01-03 vs N.C. Wesleyan L 61 - 67
2026-01-06 @ Salem (NC) W 65 - 62
2026-01-10 vs New Jersey City W 87 - 53
2026-01-10 @ Brevard L 58 - 74
2026-01-14 vs Methodist W 73 - 54
2026-01-14 vs Ramapo W 71 - 42
2026-01-17 @ Rutgers-Camden W 77 - 54
2026-01-17 vs Mary Baldwin W 66 - 43
2026-01-20 @ N.C. Wesleyan L 50 - 68
2026-01-21 vs TCNJ W 61 - 47
2026-01-24 @ Stockton W 60 - 51
2026-01-28 vs Montclair St. W 87 - 69
2026-01-31 @ Rowan W 58 - 49
2026-02-04 vs Rutgers-Newark W 97 - 49
2026-02-07 @ New Jersey City W 83 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Skylar Groesbeck - 2 33.0 18.0 5.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 11.5 15.0 - - - 52.2 55.6 87.5 - 67.9 63.0
Renee Wells - 16 29.6 16.4 6.1 2.7 1.8 0.1 1.8 14.3 11.0 54 2.8 14.2 39.7 32.8 80.0 1.07 50.2 44.3
Zikira Henderson - 17 33.1 13.6 5.9 3.4 1.8 0.1 3.4 11.4 9.9 8 0.4 2.4 34.5 31.8 75.8 2.64 49.4 41.8
Patty Walsh - 16 23.7 12.6 6.7 0.8 0.6 2.1 0.7 11.6 10.4 107 5.3 36.5 46.8 0 56.2 2.35 48.5 46.8
KJ Custer - 4 29.8 12.2 5.8 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 7.8 11.2 - - - 58.1 55.6 72.7 - 68.4 66.1
Ensley Perry - 17 27.2 11.4 3.5 1.7 1.9 0.0 2.4 10.2 5.8 45 2.2 13.8 41.4 33.3 62.5 3.35 48.6 45.4
Riley Layton - 4 23.2 11.2 6.2 0.8 0.2 0.5 3.2 10.0 5.8 - - - 45.0 0 81.8 - 50.2 45.0
Paitlyn Rhode - 1 24.5 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 0 42.9 - 42.0 40.0
Breana Grim - 1 29.0 11.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 4.0 4 0.3 1.0 25.0 0.0 100.0 -1.42 38.7 25.0
Jada Jacobs - 16 30.2 10.9 7.1 3.9 3.4 0.4 3.1 10.1 12.6 214 10.7 55.8 37.3 32.4 65.2 4.14 45.8 40.7
Jess Worthey - 7 18.8 10.9 4.9 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 7.6 8.6 48 4.8 37.1 41.5 41.5 75.0 -0.84 61.5 57.5
Bryten Gumke - 3 28.1 10.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.3 6.3 5.3 - - - 52.6 40.0 80.0 - 70.8 68.4
Mattison Chiera - 14 30.0 9.5 3.3 3.0 1.7 0.1 1.2 9.9 6.6 184 10.8 47.6 39.1 24.3 66.7 3.56 44.8 42.4
Alayna Randolph - 17 27.8 8.5 3.6 2.1 2.4 0.1 1.9 9.5 5.2 -7 -0.3 -2.4 32.7 30.2 70.4 2.21 41.4 38.6
Kayla Kasubuchi - 2 18.0 8.5 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 11.5 - - - 55.6 80.0 60.0 - 75.9 77.8
Megan Sears - 16 19.8 8.4 5.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 1.8 8.1 6.2 138 6.9 57.7 43.4 33.3 65.5 -0.31 47.6 45.0
Shealyn Ricks - 1 31.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 3.0 18 1.2 4.6 30.0 20.0 50.0 2.22 36.8 35.0
Anyah Henderson - 4 25.1 7.8 6.5 4.2 2.0 0.0 3.5 7.0 10.0 33 8.2 46.8 35.7 20.0 52.6 1.75 42.6 37.5
Amiah Griffin - 17 22.9 7.4 5.5 0.6 1.4 0.1 2.1 6.1 6.6 12 0.6 4.3 45.6 10.0 44.8 4.39 47.2 46.1
Luna Kirby - 16 25.4 6.2 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.1 1.1 5.5 5.0 153 7.7 50.0 33.0 37.8 82.8 2.91 49.1 42.6
Ashland Campbell - 1 25.7 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Alyssa Dougherty - 1 24.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 10.0 -56 -3.5 -14.3 50.0 0 100.0 -3.47 61.5 50.0
Zakoreya Davis - 17 12.9 5.6 5.4 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.2 4.7 5.9 27 1.4 19.5 48.8 0 62.1 -0.22 51.7 48.8
Ava Snyder - 1 12.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 -43 -3.1 -36.6 100.0 0 50.0 -0.58 86.8 100.0
Kristin Barber - 17 19.0 4.3 2.9 0.6 1.1 0.3 1.1 3.6 4.5 20 1.1 12.5 41.9 21.4 78.3 0.73 50.6 44.4
Matty Woolf - 3 22.7 4.3 3.0 2.7 1.0 0.0 1.3 4.0 5.7 - - - 33.3 37.5 50.0 - 47.2 45.8
Kaelyn Gowdy - 14 11.7 3.9 1.4 0.8 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.1 3.0 -30 -2.0 -25.8 32.6 25.0 79.3 -2.49 49.3 37.2
Bre Oliver - 17 20.5 3.8 3.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.4 4.3 2.8 8 0.4 6.4 31.5 15.0 48.4 2.24 36.9 33.6
Leilani Pinder - 16 15.2 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.8 3.3 3.6 77 3.9 62.3 39.6 33.3 90.9 -1.69 52.7 48.1
Menna Hafiz - 12 7.3 3.2 2.5 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 2.2 3.8 -23 -1.5 -78.7 63.0 0 50.0 -0.16 62.3 63.0
Alex Saunders - 4 15.7 3.2 3.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.8 - - - 30.0 0.0 20.0 - 29.3 30.0
Grace Masser - 1 23.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 -4.0 -15 -2.5 -15.1 25.0 25.0 0 -1.13 37.5 37.5
Alyssa Monroe - 10 6.7 2.9 1.9 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.8 0.8 -14 -1.2 -30.4 18.4 9.1 61.9 -0.34 30.7 21.1
Kiki Brooks - 4 12.1 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 1.2 -25 -1.8 -15.5 27.3 0.0 100.0 0.65 39.2 27.3
Maggie Lapray - 3 6.0 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.7 0.3 - - - 37.5 50.0 0 - 43.8 43.8
Blake Barbee - 1 5.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Mackenzie Brezovec - 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -8 -0.5 -9.2 0 0 100.0 -0.67 113.6 0
Makenna Zimmerman - 1 27.0 2.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 -10 -0.6 -2.2 100.0 0 0 4.23 100.0 100.0
Timberley Linebaugh - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -24 -2.0 -44.6 100.0 0 0 -0.6 100.0 100.0
Olivia Shutter - 1 14.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -6.0 -16 -1.0 -3.7 20.0 0.0 0 -0.19 20.0 20.0
Lauren Katyryniuk - 3 9.9 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -0.3 - - - 22.2 20.0 0 - 27.8 27.8
Kasey Slade - 10 10.2 1.6 2.6 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.8 2.4 2.3 8 0.6 38.6 33.3 0 0.0 0.6 32.2 33.3
Brynn Stevens - 16 8.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.9 -1 -0.1 -1.5 34.8 22.2 37.5 0.45 39.9 39.1
Carolina Berry - 4 3.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 -25 -5.0 -102.0 100.0 100.0 0 -2.63 125.0 125.0
Anna Primerano - 8 8.6 1.1 0.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 28 2.3 160.8 28.6 0.0 83.3 0.64 46.7 28.6
Aaliyah Smith - 5 3.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.8 1.0 -0.6 16 0.9 6.1 20.0 0 75.0 3.61 37.0 20.0
Ellie Farmer - 8 4.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.0 -35 -3.5 -104.5 33.3 33.3 0 -2.78 44.4 44.4
Danasia Wright - 5 5.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.0 -19 -3.8 -296.1 14.3 0 75.0 -1.44 28.5 14.3
Jasmine Serrano - 10 5.6 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 -15 -1.4 -48.6 30.0 0.0 60.0 0.64 36.9 30.0
Kynsea Pugh - 9 4.8 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.1 -16 -1.6 -46.9 20.0 14.3 100.0 -1.81 32.2 25.0
Olivia Smart - 6 4.1 0.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sarah Cutshaw - 4 3.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 -21 -4.2 -97.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.56 0.0 0.0
Alexa Mee - 1 20.6 0.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Emiko Nagai - 1 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Emily Fortin - 1 28.9 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kailey Gonzales - 1 7.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alaina Neal - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -28 -1.9 -30.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.3 0.0 0.0
Kiera Pombar - 1 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sam Hase - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -12 -1.2 -163.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.25 0.0 0.0
Kaila Fitzpatrick - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6 1.2 47.1 0 0 0 -1.25 0 0
Ariana Phillips - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -4.0 -5 -5.0 -66.3 0.0 0.0 0 -1.32 0.0 0.0
Gracie Griffiths - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.4 -53.4 0 0 0 -1.09 0 0
Tali Sanders - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
SK Hicks - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG