Wittenberg
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1000 (#244) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1086 (#120) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.7 (#73) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.861 (#265) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.824 (#112) | NetEff +12.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.922 (#194) | AdjNet +21.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.926 (#195) | AdjNet +21.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.764 (#194) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 57.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 49 - 77 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Hilbert | W | 88 - 26 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | St. John Fisher | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Otterbein | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 101 - 41 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Asbury | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Kenyon | W | 82 - 43 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (Buf.) | W | 82 - 53 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Hope | L | 45 - 64 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Susquehanna | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 93 - 98 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Franciscan | W | 82 - 65 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Wooster | W | 83 - 55 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | DePauw | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Oberlin | W | 81 - 52 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Denison | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Hiram | W | 73 - 53 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Wooster | W | 90 - 45 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Kenyon | W | 63 - 31 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | DePauw | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Oberlin | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Denison | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Hiram | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Oberlin | W | 60 - 42 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | DePauw | L | 44 - 46 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiya Mack | - | 1 | 35.0 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 174 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 70.0 | 71.4 | 85.7 | 0.71 | 84.5 | 82.5 |
| Janna Holley | - | 1 | 43.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 189 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 41.7 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.74 | 57.9 | 45.8 |
| Alline Ballard | - | 1 | 33.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 136 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 43.8 | 0 | 71.4 | 0.55 | 49.8 | 43.8 |
| Riane Burton | - | 26 | 24.7 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 9.7 | 11.2 | 21 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 56.0 | 0 | 69.6 | 0.21 | 58.8 | 56.0 |
| Karsen Karlblom | - | 28 | 28.0 | 11.6 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 73 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 51.0 | 49.3 | 71.4 | 0.43 | 66.5 | 66.1 |
| Aliya DiMuro | - | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 60 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 80.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.24 | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Jazmyn Gaines-burns | - | 7 | 19.1 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 34 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 43.9 | 37.5 | 57.1 | 0.32 | 49.2 | 48.5 |
| Kelsey Ragan | - | 28 | 24.1 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 62 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 40.6 | 38.9 | 46.2 | 0.54 | 53.7 | 53.8 |
| Taryn Cash | - | 27 | 22.0 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 7.7 | 26 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 40.6 | 34.8 | 86.4 | 0.21 | 53.8 | 43.8 |
| Madi Barnett | - | 28 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 98 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 40.8 | 16.7 | 64.4 | 0.69 | 48.5 | 43.0 |
| Karley Moore | - | 28 | 13.6 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 115 | 3.3 | 5.9 | 43.9 | 100.0 | 63.0 | 1.36 | 48.2 | 44.3 |
| Payton Cronen | - | 28 | 16.2 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 | -19 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 36.8 | 38.1 | 80.0 | -0.36 | 51.9 | 50.4 |
| Sara Mills | - | 1 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 18.4 | 15.0 |
| Delilah Kimble-Gray | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 24 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Alexa Greenwood | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 74 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Molly Mossing | - | 27 | 9.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 30 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 46.3 | 15.8 | 81.8 | -0.11 | 51.5 | 48.5 |
| Hope Orders | - | 22 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 20 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 27.3 | 23.5 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 38.4 | 33.3 |
| Cadence Boyd | - | 23 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | -0.2 | -14 | -0.6 | -1.3 | 11.5 | 6.7 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 25.4 | 13.5 |
| Myah Johnson | - | 21 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 62.5 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.11 | 59.0 | 62.5 |
| Jaidyn Covert | - | 21 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Kaela Ballard | - | 20 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Katie Whitaker | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Reagan Voigt | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sammy Welty | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mia Hankerson | - | 14 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| McKenna Baker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53 | 2.4 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Zy'aira Miller | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Peyton Cronen | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -19 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AL'ynnay Godfrey | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Genessa Ong | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -46 | -2.9 | -12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Amaya Charles | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sydney Heyn | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 53 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alana Brackett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Karina McMillan | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 59 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Deanna Broughton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Anna Sherman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Villamor | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 65 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG