🐻⬇️🏀

Wittenberg

Also known as: Wittenberg
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1000 (#244) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1086 (#120) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +11.7 (#73) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.861 (#265) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +12.0 More → 0.824 (#112) NetEff +12.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.4 More → 0.922 (#194) AdjNet +21.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.3 More → 0.926 (#195) AdjNet +21.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 57.4 More → 0.764 (#194) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 57.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Ohio Northern L 49 - 77
2024-11-16 @ Hilbert W 88 - 26
2024-11-17 @ St. John Fisher W 76 - 67
2024-11-23 @ Otterbein W 67 - 60
2024-12-01 vs Pitt.-Greensburg W 101 - 41
2024-12-03 @ Asbury W 62 - 49
2024-12-05 vs Kenyon W 82 - 43
2024-12-18 vs Bry. & Strat. (Buf.) W 82 - 53
2024-12-19 vs Hope L 45 - 64
2024-12-29 vs Susquehanna W 67 - 61
2024-12-30 @ Cal Lutheran L 93 - 98
2025-01-02 @ Franciscan W 82 - 65
2025-01-04 vs Wooster W 83 - 55
2025-01-11 @ Ohio Wesleyan L 59 - 77
2025-01-15 @ DePauw L 70 - 79
2025-01-18 vs Oberlin W 81 - 52
2025-01-22 vs Denison L 68 - 79
2025-01-25 @ Hiram W 73 - 53
2025-02-01 @ Wooster W 90 - 45
2025-02-05 @ Kenyon W 63 - 31
2025-02-08 vs Ohio Wesleyan L 56 - 69
2025-02-12 vs DePauw L 55 - 65
2025-02-15 @ Oberlin W 72 - 55
2025-02-19 @ Denison L 52 - 59
2025-02-22 vs Hiram W 74 - 56
2025-02-25 @ Oberlin W 60 - 42
2025-02-28 @ Ohio Wesleyan W 56 - 54
2025-03-01 @ DePauw L 44 - 46

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaiya Mack - 1 35.0 39.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 20.0 24.0 174 4.3 4.8 70.0 71.4 85.7 0.71 84.5 82.5
Janna Holley - 1 43.0 20.0 5.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 23.0 189 4.8 4.5 41.7 100.0 75.0 0.74 57.9 45.8
Alline Ballard - 1 33.0 19.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 15.0 136 3.5 3.7 43.8 0 71.4 0.55 49.8 43.8
Riane Burton - 26 24.7 13.0 7.5 0.6 0.9 0.3 1.3 9.7 11.2 21 0.8 0.9 56.0 0 69.6 0.21 58.8 56.0
Karsen Karlblom - 28 28.0 11.6 4.7 1.1 1.0 0.5 1.2 8.5 9.3 73 2.8 2.2 51.0 49.3 71.4 0.43 66.5 66.1
Aliya DiMuro - 1 24.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 60 2.1 2.5 80.0 0 100.0 0.24 85.0 80.0
Jazmyn Gaines-burns - 7 19.1 9.7 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.0 1.0 9.4 3.9 34 1.4 1.8 43.9 37.5 57.1 0.32 49.2 48.5
Kelsey Ragan - 28 24.1 6.4 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 1.0 5.7 3.8 62 2.4 3.1 40.6 38.9 46.2 0.54 53.7 53.8
Taryn Cash - 27 22.0 6.3 3.3 4.3 1.5 0.4 3.3 4.7 7.7 26 1.1 1.2 40.6 34.8 86.4 0.21 53.8 43.8
Madi Barnett - 28 20.0 6.0 1.7 2.6 1.2 0.0 2.7 5.1 3.8 98 2.7 3.9 40.8 16.7 64.4 0.69 48.5 43.0
Karley Moore - 28 13.6 4.9 2.8 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.8 4.4 4.4 115 3.3 5.9 43.9 100.0 63.0 1.36 48.2 44.3
Payton Cronen - 28 16.2 4.5 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 4.2 3.7 -19 -0.8 -1.6 36.8 38.1 80.0 -0.36 51.9 50.4
Sara Mills - 1 32.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 -7 -0.2 -0.2 10.0 12.5 50.0 -0.08 18.4 15.0
Delilah Kimble-Gray - 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 24 1.8 5.0 100.0 0 100.0 0.27 104.2 100.0
Alexa Greenwood - 1 20.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 74 2.6 4.6 50.0 100.0 0 0.33 75.0 75.0
Molly Mossing - 27 9.9 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.4 2.5 2.6 30 0.9 1.8 46.3 15.8 81.8 -0.11 51.5 48.5
Hope Orders - 22 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.4 20 0.9 2.6 27.3 23.5 100.0 0.33 38.4 33.3
Cadence Boyd - 23 3.9 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.1 -0.2 -14 -0.6 -1.3 11.5 6.7 100.0 -0.51 25.4 13.5
Myah Johnson - 21 2.2 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 6 0.3 1.3 62.5 0 33.3 0.11 59.0 62.5
Jaidyn Covert - 21 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 50.0 - 30.7 25.0
Kaela Ballard - 20 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Katie Whitaker - 12 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Reagan Voigt - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sammy Welty - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mia Hankerson - 14 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
McKenna Baker - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53 2.4 6.5 0 0 0 0.28 0 0
Zy'aira Miller - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Peyton Cronen - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -19 -0.8 -1.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0
AL'ynnay Godfrey - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.3 -1.4 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
Genessa Ong - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -46 -2.9 -12.1 0 0 0 -0.35 0 0
Amaya Charles - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -10 -0.5 -3.0 0.0 0 0 -0.28 0.0 0.0
Sydney Heyn - 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 53 1.4 3.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.17 0.0 0.0
Alana Brackett - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24 1.3 9.8 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Karina McMillan - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 59 2.0 4.5 0.0 0 0 0.27 0.0 0.0
Deanna Broughton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.2 1.3 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0
Anna Sherman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.2 -0.6 0 0 0 -0.35 0 0
Natalie Villamor - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 65 1.6 3.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.14 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG