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Wittenberg Tigers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Wittenberg
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1046 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1117 (#112) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1077 (#122) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +3.1 (#82) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +1.4 (#328) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.578 (#419) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.0 More → 0.841 (#18) NetEff +18.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.504 (#351) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.498 (#350) AdjNet -0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.504 (#349) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.593 (#225) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.614 (#301) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.618 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 1172 (#85) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Otterbein L 52 - 70
2025-11-12 vs Baldwin Wallace W 68 - 62
2025-11-15 vs Wilmington (OH) W 82 - 65
2025-11-19 @ Adrian W 104 - 90
2025-11-22 @ Capital W 67 - 63
2025-11-26 vs Marietta W 72 - 55
2025-12-03 @ Ohio Wesleyan W 69 - 50
2025-12-06 vs John Carroll W 80 - 79
2025-12-17 @ Waynesburg W 80 - 55
2025-12-20 vs Mt. St. Joseph W 71 - 61
2025-12-30 vs Asbury L 57 - 59
2026-01-03 vs Wooster W 78 - 53
2026-01-07 @ DePauw L 43 - 70
2026-01-10 @ Denison L 65 - 70
2026-01-14 vs Kenyon W 64 - 44
2026-01-17 @ Oberlin L 45 - 54
2026-01-21 vs Wabash W 73 - 65
2026-01-24 vs Ohio Wesleyan W 63 - 60
2026-01-31 @ Wooster W 86 - 75
2026-02-04 vs DePauw L 56 - 61
2026-02-07 vs Denison W 71 - 57

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Chicone - 1 31.1 21.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 16.0 14.0 143 6.5 32.3 43.8 0.0 77.8 1.86 52.6 43.8
Kellon Smith - 1 27.1 19.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 14.0 21 1.0 5.1 50.0 0.0 62.5 2.24 54.2 50.0
Tyler Galluch - 16 24.6 13.8 3.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.0 8.5 8.4 49 2.9 14.2 48.5 38.7 80.9 1.62 62.0 52.9
Aidan Fitzgerald - 1 27.3 13.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 134 6.1 37.8 66.7 75.0 100.0 2.17 94.5 91.7
Noah Frayer - 19 26.0 11.5 2.6 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.0 10.2 4.7 3 0.1 0.7 39.7 34.7 88.6 0.46 52.3 48.5
Eddie Brown - 19 29.6 11.1 6.7 1.6 0.7 0.5 1.2 7.5 12.1 45 2.1 11.1 54.5 50.0 57.3 3.95 59.9 58.7
Kyle Irwin - 1 30.5 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 5.0 123 5.6 41.5 40.0 42.9 0 1.8 55.0 55.0
Nick Heath - 1 19.8 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 -17 -0.8 -5.1 37.5 42.9 50.0 -0.91 56.3 56.2
Liam Taylor - 1 19.6 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 68 3.2 19.2 62.5 0.0 0 1.58 62.5 62.5
Sean Collins - 1 24.0 10.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 8.0 111 5.0 31.7 45.5 0.0 0 2.76 45.5 45.5
Kasey Hunt - 1 24.2 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 66 3.0 20.7 44.4 0.0 100.0 0.83 50.6 44.4
Jack Steinbach - 1 15.9 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 12 0.6 4.8 100.0 100.0 50.0 1.54 116.0 133.3
Jack Zapolnik - 1 16.2 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 3.0 85 3.9 35.6 42.9 100.0 0 0.84 57.1 57.1
Sam Miller - 19 15.3 6.4 2.6 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.8 3.8 6.3 31 1.5 14.0 53.4 21.4 68.3 1.56 61.4 55.5
Dawson Scott - 19 27.3 6.2 6.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.8 3.7 9.5 39 1.9 10.6 60.6 0.0 66.7 0.14 64.0 60.6
Luke Salkowski - 1 28.9 6.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 13.0 83 4.2 26.5 66.7 0 40.0 3.03 57.7 66.7
Jace Wardlow - 17 13.1 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.9 5.0 3.1 20 1.1 11.7 37.6 31.0 72.0 0.65 49.5 45.3
Owen Giannoulias - 1 24.1 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 40 1.9 12.0 50.0 100.0 0 0.39 62.5 62.5
Ellis Appiah - 1 16.3 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 43 2.3 15.2 66.7 0 0 -1.57 66.7 66.7
Aidan King - 1 29.3 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 -81 -3.9 -27.8 50.0 0.0 0 -1.76 50.0 50.0
Cal Bavineau - 19 19.9 3.7 2.5 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.4 3.2 5.4 69 3.3 33.4 38.3 34.6 83.3 2.92 51.5 45.8
Samson Zach - 1 13.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 17 8.5 21.2 50.0 50.0 0.0 0.52 61.5 75.0
Brandon Rose - 1 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 123 5.6 80.1 50.0 50.0 0 2.64 75.0 75.0
Daryl Cooper - 14 7.7 2.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 82 5.1 154.7 52.0 41.7 66.7 1.03 64.4 62.0
Spence Davidson - 18 13.2 2.6 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.2 11 0.6 6.9 38.1 28.6 73.3 0.42 48.4 42.9
Justin Chapman - 1 9.5 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 24 1.1 19.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.9 33.3 33.3
Jacob Roeth - 7 4.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.4 - - - 55.6 40.0 100.0 - 68.9 66.7
Carson Gutmann - 12 5.3 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.5 8 0.8 88.1 47.4 12.5 0.0 0.13 47.8 50.0
Nick Kaiser - 13 5.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.3 21 1.6 107.2 31.2 25.0 0.0 -0.29 39.5 40.6
AJ Taylor - 3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2 0.7 36.1 100.0 100.0 0 0.91 150.0 150.0
Mike Lamirand - 1 14.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 119 5.4 45.1 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.3 12.9 0.0
Isaiah Chitapa - 12 3.7 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.8 21 1.8 108.4 18.2 0.0 100.0 -0.13 36.7 18.2
Braylon Banks - 4 2.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Ckai Rogan - 6 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jayden Humphery - 4 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Bayze Wieland - 8 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -0.1 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Louie Collopy - 4 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Collin Doseck - 6 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jaden Rambo - 2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyler Martin - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 14 1.1 23.0 0.0 0 0 -0.76 0.0 0.0
Lucas Perusek - 1 13.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -2.0 14 1.0 14.7 0.0 0 0 1.18 0.0 0.0
Drew Styers - 1 2.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 16 0.9 36.3 0 0 0 -1.68 0 0
Carter Bresser - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
TJ Donnelly - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kyle Kenney - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 0.6 6.5 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG