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Wisconsin

Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers, Wisconsin
Program History

2018 Team Stats (11 games)

64.3
PPG
71.2
Opp
-6.9
Margin
44.4%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
28.0
RPG
11.4
APG
10.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
60.9
Adj Opp PPG
#70
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1195 (#69) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1056 (#132) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1009 (#161) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +9.3 (#68) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +10.4 (#53) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.538 (#145) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.9 More โ†’ 0.832 (#66) AdjNet +13.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.1 More โ†’ 0.836 (#65) AdjNet +14.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.9 More โ†’ 0.681 (#70) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.9 More โ†’ 0.608 (#79) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.706 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.693 (#74) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1093 (#107) RD 150 | GP 33

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 85 - 50
2017-11-12 vs Yale Bulldogs W 89 - 61
2017-11-16 vs Xavier Musketeers L 70 - 80
2017-11-20 vs Baylor Bears L 65 - 70
2017-11-21 @ UCLA Bruins L 70 - 72
2017-11-24 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 71 - 49
2017-11-27 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 37 - 49
2017-12-02 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 83
2017-12-04 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 64 - 63
2017-12-06 @ Temple Owls L 55 - 59
2017-12-09 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 63 - 82
2017-12-13 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 81 - 80
2017-12-23 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 81 - 60
2017-12-27 vs Chicago State Cougars W 82 - 70
2017-12-30 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 82 - 53
2018-01-02 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 71 - 61
2018-01-05 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 60 - 64
2018-01-09 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 59 - 63
2018-01-16 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 50 - 78
2018-01-19 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 75 - 50
2018-01-23 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 67 - 85
2018-01-26 @ Michigan State Spartans L 61 - 76
2018-01-29 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 63 - 74
2018-02-01 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 52 - 60
2018-02-04 @ Maryland Terrapins L 63 - 68
2018-02-08 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 78 - 69
2018-02-11 vs Michigan Wolverines L 72 - 83
2018-02-15 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 57 - 53
2018-02-19 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 73 - 63
2018-02-22 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 70 - 64
2018-02-25 vs Michigan State Spartans L 63 - 68
2018-03-01 @ Maryland Terrapins W 59 - 54
2018-03-02 @ Michigan State Spartans L 60 - 63

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Happ Ethan Happ F 33 30.8 17.9 8.0 3.7 1.5 1.1 2.8 6.8 22.5 44 27 1.6 2.3 50.9 0.0 54.8 4.23 111.4 50.9
Brad Davison Brad Davison G 33 31.2 12.1 2.3 2.5 1.2 0.0 1.8 4.9 11.4 27 27 1.0 1.4 40.5 30.7 85.1 2.18 101.8 48.8
D'Mitrik Trice D'Mitrik Trice G 10 31.5 9.4 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 1.3 2.0 11.1 - - - - 40.0 18.2 62.5 - 199.8 45.0
Brevin Pritzl Brevin Pritzl G 32 29.3 8.9 3.8 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.5 4.1 10.2 28 26 1.1 1.7 39.4 32.9 81.5 -0.25 99.4 49.2
Khalil Iverson Khalil Iverson G 33 30.4 8.6 5.1 1.8 0.8 0.9 2.0 2.7 12.4 9 27 0.3 0.5 55.1 0.0 70.5 0.88 130.6 55.1
Aleem Ford Aleem Ford - 33 24.4 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.8 2.0 7.2 -17 27 -0.6 -1.2 32.8 35.3 94.1 -1.24 128.9 46.3
Nate Reuvers Nate Reuvers F 28 16.6 5.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.9 1.0 2.8 5.4 0 23 0.0 0.0 39.7 29.6 77.8 1.22 90.3 44.9
Kobe King Kobe King G 10 19.0 5.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 6.1 - - - - 58.3 42.9 100.0 - 201.9 70.8
Andy Van Vliet Andy Van Vliet F 17 7.7 3.4 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 4.1 26 12 2.2 13.7 46.2 55.6 0 -0.3 223.1 65.4
Aaron Moesch Aaron Moesch F 25 6.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.8 -19 18 -1.1 -6.4 100.0 100.0 83.3 -3.78 323.3 125.0
Charles Thomas Charles Thomas F 22 6.0 1.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.4 3 18 0.2 1.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.19 137.7 33.3
T.J. Schlundt T.J. Schlundt G 24 8.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 13 20 0.7 3.2 26.7 30.0 0 0.55 73.3 36.7
Alex Illikainen Alex Illikainen F 25 6.8 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.7 23 16 1.4 7.1 55.6 66.7 0 1.78 111.1 77.8
Walt McGrory Walt McGrory G 9 8.0 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.1 1.4 4 5 0.8 6.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 -1.1 107.8 0.0
Matt Ferris Matt Ferris G 6 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 -1 6 -0.2 -5.4 100.0 0 0 -0.87 100.0 100.0
Michael Ballard Michael Ballard G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG