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Wis.-Superior

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Wis.-Superior
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 924 (#376) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 911 (#454) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1049 (#184) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.4 (#196) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.2 (#373) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.631 (#384) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.1 More → 0.134 (#477) NetEff -13.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.3 More → 0.464 (#392) AdjNet -1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.456 (#391) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 61.3 More → 0.453 (#398) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 61.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 53.8 More → 0.560 (#288) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 53.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.468 (#404) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.497 (#383) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 22 More → 1046 (#258) RD 97 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Minn. Duluth L 36 - 87
2025-11-07 @ St. Catherine L 59 - 78
2025-11-08 @ Carleton W 52 - 49
2025-11-12 @ St. Scholastica L 52 - 56
2025-11-15 @ Hamline L 27 - 56
2025-11-22 vs MSOE L 53 - 61
2025-11-25 @ Macalester W 54 - 43
2025-12-02 vs Viterbo L 59 - 64
2025-12-13 vs Wis.-Stevens Point L 49 - 66
2025-12-28 vs Ripon L 50 - 71
2025-12-29 @ Wis.-Oshkosh L 41 - 68
2025-12-31 vs Carleton W 70 - 38
2026-01-10 vs Bethany Lutheran L 59 - 68
2026-01-17 vs Martin Luther W 59 - 46
2026-01-21 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 61 - 42
2026-01-24 @ Minn.-Morris L 48 - 59
2026-01-28 vs Crown (MN) W 74 - 47
2026-01-31 vs North Central (MN) W 66 - 56
2026-02-04 @ Northwestern-St. Paul W 63 - 54
2026-02-07 @ Martin Luther W 59 - 42

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hope Carlson - 18 21.6 9.9 4.4 1.3 1.4 0.4 2.3 8.6 6.7 17 1.1 5.5 40.3 46.2 68.5 -0.55 50.3 46.1
Megan Schafer - 20 27.1 8.4 4.2 1.4 1.1 0.3 1.9 8.7 4.9 -11 -0.5 -2.5 36.8 31.2 68.0 -2.69 45.7 43.7
Charlotte Ferstl - 20 19.1 7.2 6.9 1.1 0.3 0.5 2.2 6.8 6.8 22 1.1 6.6 47.8 0.0 87.5 2.28 50.3 47.8
Maddie Reott - 20 28.8 7.1 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.8 2.9 6.6 6.5 27 1.3 5.7 43.2 20.0 88.5 0.75 49.5 45.1
MyKenzie Leccia - 20 26.5 6.1 4.8 1.9 1.6 0.7 2.2 6.7 6.2 14 0.7 3.4 28.6 26.6 67.7 1.15 41.6 38.0
Elsa Olson - 20 25.3 6.0 2.5 2.0 0.4 0.2 2.5 7.2 1.4 -54 -2.7 -12.3 31.5 25.9 78.9 -1.33 39.6 36.7
Kylee Hewitt - 20 17.0 3.9 3.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 1.7 4.2 3.3 -83 -4.0 -35.4 41.7 0 38.1 -3.61 41.8 41.7
Colleen Claude - 15 14.9 2.6 3.3 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.3 -22 -1.4 -20.2 33.3 25.0 87.5 0.89 40.2 35.6
Azaria Hulbert - 7 11.6 2.1 1.3 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.1 2.9 1.3 -3 -0.6 -9.3 25.0 0.0 83.3 -1.62 33.1 25.0
Kyra Latvala - 20 9.5 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.4 2.9 -1.4 18 0.9 16.5 24.6 0.0 60.0 -1.0 27.7 24.6
Chesney Phillipp - 5 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.6 -1 -0.1 -13.3 42.9 0 100.0 -0.11 47.0 42.9
Dakota Soltis - 7 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.9 9 1.0 92.7 33.3 66.7 50.0 0.42 46.5 44.4
Sydney Crawford - 7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 75.0 - 58.0 50.0
Abby Johnson - 18 5.3 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 15 0.8 15.4 50.0 0.0 66.7 1.6 54.1 50.0
Adison Allard - 12 5.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 -0.1 -27 -2.1 -43.7 20.0 0.0 25.0 -0.7 21.3 20.0
Cara Olson - 9 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 -0.2 7 0.7 50.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.28 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG