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Wis. Lutheran

Also known as: Wis. Lutheran
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1028 (#177) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1157 (#52) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +15.9 (#48) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.919 (#226) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.5 More → 0.878 (#91) NetEff +14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.2 More → 0.929 (#185) AdjNet +22.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.0 More → 0.931 (#186) AdjNet +22.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 53.1 More → 0.756 (#202) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 53.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Trine L 49 - 60
2024-11-15 vs Ripon W 60 - 52
2024-11-16 vs Wis.-Oshkosh L 27 - 62
2024-11-22 @ Transylvania W 73 - 65
2024-11-23 @ WashU L 47 - 66
2024-12-04 @ Aurora W 71 - 56
2024-12-07 vs Rockford W 74 - 55
2024-12-14 @ Wis.-Eau Claire L 58 - 73
2024-12-17 vs Loras L 49 - 62
2024-12-29 @ Wartburg L 55 - 62
2024-12-30 vs Wis.-Platteville W 59 - 54
2025-01-08 vs St. Norbert L 61 - 75
2025-01-11 vs Illinois Tech W 77 - 39
2025-01-15 @ Alverno W 91 - 52
2025-01-18 @ Concordia Chicago W 66 - 45
2025-01-22 @ Marian (WI) W 74 - 59
2025-01-25 vs Aurora W 57 - 47
2025-01-29 vs Lakeland W 76 - 49
2025-02-01 @ Rockford W 70 - 40
2025-02-05 @ Dominican (IL) W 78 - 35
2025-02-08 vs Benedictine (IL) W 55 - 36
2025-02-12 vs MSOE W 58 - 36
2025-02-15 @ Edgewood W 63 - 53
2025-02-19 @ Concordia Wisconsin W 55 - 46
2025-02-22 vs Dominican (IL) W 72 - 36
2025-02-25 vs Edgewood W 65 - 59
2025-02-27 vs MSOE W 54 - 45
2025-03-01 @ St. Norbert W 57 - 54
2025-03-07 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 49 - 61

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Margie Stevens - 28 26.8 14.9 6.3 1.8 1.1 1.1 2.5 13.6 9.2 -33 -0.9 -1.1 38.6 29.0 84.4 0.31 48.6 42.7
Abby Cole - 29 19.7 8.8 6.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 1.8 7.9 7.4 23 0.6 0.9 38.2 20.7 70.4 0.38 47.0 40.8
Janiyah Goner - 29 24.6 8.6 4.1 2.3 1.3 0.4 1.9 7.3 7.6 26 0.9 1.0 40.8 34.5 68.7 0.04 51.3 47.7
Jayden Hill - 28 25.1 7.6 7.7 2.2 2.3 0.1 1.7 6.4 11.8 31 0.9 1.0 51.1 50.0 46.7 0.24 51.6 51.4
Kara Troxel - 29 24.3 7.4 2.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.1 6.9 3.2 43 1.5 2.1 34.3 32.7 71.4 0.47 47.4 43.3
Mack Hogenson - 24 15.5 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.7 5.2 1.5 -21 -0.9 -1.7 34.4 28.7 78.6 -0.21 47.3 45.2
Lexy Smit - 29 24.4 3.9 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.1 1.2 4.8 3.1 41 1.4 1.9 28.6 22.2 46.7 0.06 36.6 35.0
Haley Ott - 17 8.2 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.6 0.9 0 0.0 0.0 36.4 22.7 83.3 0.16 45.0 42.0
Ainsley Howard - 29 9.8 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.2 0.2 2 0.1 0.2 26.2 22.0 50.0 -0.14 36.0 34.6
Lily Oiler - 25 15.4 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 1.7 2.4 -61 -2.0 -3.5 32.6 12.5 55.6 -0.35 38.3 36.0
Taylor Ignatowski - 28 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 -5 -0.3 -2.4 46.2 44.4 50.0 -0.06 60.7 61.5
Faith Pape - 29 3.8 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 2 0.1 0.6 57.1 0 20.0 -0.0 52.5 57.1
Courtney Park - 28 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.5 - - - 50.0 66.7 0 - 56.2 56.2
Noel Greene - 28 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 -45 -9.0 -10.5 25.0 16.7 57.1 -0.82 36.5 29.2
Jillian Scharlau - 28 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 - - - 27.3 40.0 0 - 36.4 36.4
Raeanne Nevad - 24 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Kiera Schroeder - 28 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Lily Otte - 27 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Addison Guldberg - 28 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Piersten Litterick - 28 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Marin Riesen - 10 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG