Wis. Lutheran
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1028 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1157 (#52) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.9 (#48) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.919 (#226) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.878 (#91) | NetEff +14.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.929 (#185) | AdjNet +22.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.931 (#186) | AdjNet +22.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.756 (#202) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 53.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Trine | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Ripon | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 27 - 62 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Transylvania | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | WashU | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Aurora | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Rockford | W | 74 - 55 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Wis.-Eau Claire | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Loras | L | 49 - 62 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Wartburg | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 77 - 39 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Alverno | W | 91 - 52 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 66 - 45 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Marian (WI) | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Aurora | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Lakeland | W | 76 - 49 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Rockford | W | 70 - 40 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 78 - 35 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | W | 55 - 36 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | MSOE | W | 58 - 36 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Edgewood | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 55 - 46 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 72 - 36 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Edgewood | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | MSOE | W | 54 - 45 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | St. Norbert | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 49 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margie Stevens | - | 28 | 26.8 | 14.9 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 13.6 | 9.2 | -33 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 38.6 | 29.0 | 84.4 | 0.31 | 48.6 | 42.7 |
| Abby Cole | - | 29 | 19.7 | 8.8 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 23 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 38.2 | 20.7 | 70.4 | 0.38 | 47.0 | 40.8 |
| Janiyah Goner | - | 29 | 24.6 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 7.6 | 26 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 40.8 | 34.5 | 68.7 | 0.04 | 51.3 | 47.7 |
| Jayden Hill | - | 28 | 25.1 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 11.8 | 31 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 51.1 | 50.0 | 46.7 | 0.24 | 51.6 | 51.4 |
| Kara Troxel | - | 29 | 24.3 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 43 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 34.3 | 32.7 | 71.4 | 0.47 | 47.4 | 43.3 |
| Mack Hogenson | - | 24 | 15.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 1.5 | -21 | -0.9 | -1.7 | 34.4 | 28.7 | 78.6 | -0.21 | 47.3 | 45.2 |
| Lexy Smit | - | 29 | 24.4 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 41 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 28.6 | 22.2 | 46.7 | 0.06 | 36.6 | 35.0 |
| Haley Ott | - | 17 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 22.7 | 83.3 | 0.16 | 45.0 | 42.0 |
| Ainsley Howard | - | 29 | 9.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 26.2 | 22.0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 36.0 | 34.6 |
| Lily Oiler | - | 25 | 15.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 | -61 | -2.0 | -3.5 | 32.6 | 12.5 | 55.6 | -0.35 | 38.3 | 36.0 |
| Taylor Ignatowski | - | 28 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.4 | 46.2 | 44.4 | 50.0 | -0.06 | 60.7 | 61.5 |
| Faith Pape | - | 29 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 20.0 | -0.0 | 52.5 | 57.1 |
| Courtney Park | - | 28 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Noel Greene | - | 28 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -45 | -9.0 | -10.5 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 57.1 | -0.82 | 36.5 | 29.2 |
| Jillian Scharlau | - | 28 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Raeanne Nevad | - | 24 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kiera Schroeder | - | 28 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Lily Otte | - | 27 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Addison Guldberg | - | 28 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Piersten Litterick | - | 28 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Marin Riesen | - | 10 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG