Winston-Salem
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1156 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1226 (#15) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.7 (#250) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.383 (#409) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.263 (#287) | NetEff -7.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.331 (#459) | AdjNet -6.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.337 (#458) | AdjNet -5.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.432 (#454) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 63.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Converse | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Barton | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | N.C. A&T | L | 42 - 68 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | USC Aiken | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | CarolinaU | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | High Point | L | 54 - 90 |
| 2024-12-12 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Bowie St. | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | L | 45 - 65 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | UNC Pembroke | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | St. Andrews | L | 45 - 50 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 48 - 78 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Claflin | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Shaw | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2025-01-27 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | W | 71 - 44 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Livingstone | L | 84 - 91 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Bluefield St. | W | 81 - 78 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Claflin | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 31 - 81 |
| 2025-02-21 | vs | Shaw | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Livingstone | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 54 - 64 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samiyah Briggs | - | 1 | 28.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.0 | 83.3 | 64.3 |
| Christiana Mclean | - | 3 | 29.7 | 15.0 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 9.7 | 13.3 | - | - | - | 58.6 | 100.0 | 76.9 | -0.08 | 64.8 | 60.3 |
| Morgan Kelson | - | 1 | 39.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -18 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| La'niya Simes | - | 3 | 23.3 | 11.0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 34.4 | 0 | 73.3 | -0.58 | 42.7 | 34.4 |
| Nielle Reaves | - | 1 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -66 | -2.3 | -3.4 | 71.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.09 | 63.5 | 71.4 |
| Bria Griffith | - | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.33 | 47.6 | 25.0 |
| Jakaiya Mack | - | 28 | 20.5 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 7.2 | 4.6 | -68 | -1.7 | -2.4 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 64.5 | 0.26 | 43.8 | 38.9 |
| Kierran Walker | - | 26 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 0.6 | -29 | -1.0 | -2.6 | 27.5 | 26.7 | 63.0 | -0.23 | 41.2 | 38.9 |
| Karina Scott | - | 28 | 16.8 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.8 | -0.2 | -85 | -2.4 | -3.7 | 30.9 | 31.0 | 28.6 | -1.14 | 43.0 | 43.2 |
| Jasiyah Crawford | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -53 | -1.3 | -2.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Alana Biosse | - | 28 | 16.5 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 33.9 | 0.0 | 71.9 | 0.32 | 37.6 | 33.9 |
| Chloe Williams | - | 28 | 21.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 3.4 | -29 | -1.3 | -0.4 | 34.7 | 14.3 | 69.2 | -0.58 | 45.1 | 35.6 |
| Ny'Asia Green | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -56 | -1.4 | -1.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Sierra Hunter | - | 24 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 1.8 | -7 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 38.1 | 0 | 39.3 | 0.01 | 38.8 | 38.1 |
| Tolisha Walker | - | 19 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.4 | -38 | -1.4 | -3.9 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 60.7 | -0.64 | 51.3 | 47.1 |
| Maya-madison Walker | - | 2 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.09 | 45.2 | 50.0 |
| Maya Madison walker | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.09 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Breasia Coit | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -67 | -1.7 | -3.1 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Thalia Carter | - | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 34 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Kyonna Kelly | - | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Zion Duncan | - | 27 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 38.1 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.2 | 44.1 | 38.1 |
| Khauri Little | - | 25 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 30.6 | 22.2 | 73.7 | - | 45.1 | 36.1 |
| Jaleesa Lanier | - | 21 | 17.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0.2 | -14 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 18.8 | 13.2 | 50.0 | 0.68 | 23.7 | 22.5 |
| Alexandria Warren | - | 27 | 9.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 26.1 | 0.0 | 36.8 | - | 28.5 | 26.1 |
| Jahmaria Miles | - | 9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -43 | -3.1 | -15.9 | 28.6 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Haley Dalton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| J Miles | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -43 | -3.1 | -15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Janiya Byrd | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Rachael Cherrington | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -98 | -3.0 | -10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Damaria Moree | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -89 | -3.6 | -7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Maya Gray | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Niera Ovalles | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Boston Bates | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | -39 | -1.0 | -1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay'la Williams | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -9 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG