Winston-Salem
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1289 (#17) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1307 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1225 (#9) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.7 (#112) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.6 (#174) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.383 (#409) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.950 (#109) | NetEff +19.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.331 (#459) | AdjNet -6.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.337 (#458) | AdjNet -5.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.432 (#454) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.748 (#52) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 50.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.818 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.826 (#70) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1352 (#9) | RD 106 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | @ | N.C. A&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | USC Aiken | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Concord | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Claflin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Charles | - | 16 | 28.7 | 13.8 | 8.8 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 11.0 | 15.6 | - | - | - | 47.7 | 0 | 75.4 | 6.98 | 53.3 | 47.7 |
| Ah'Kiya Pye | - | 4 | 23.5 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 10.2 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 51.2 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -1.37 | 59.4 | 56.1 |
| Makayla Waleed | - | 17 | 24.3 | 11.1 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 11.9 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 36.5 | 27.3 | 44.2 | -1.32 | 41.8 | 40.9 |
| Bruni Martinez | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 83.3 | 3.85 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
| Nevaeh Farmer | - | 16 | 26.3 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 10.0 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 30.6 | 29.8 | 82.5 | 0.93 | 41.7 | 35.9 |
| Ashley Gonzalez | - | 1 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 36 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -3.54 | 74.0 | 66.7 |
| Karimah Nix | - | 1 | 34.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.06 | 58.0 | 50.0 |
| Jakaiya Mack | - | 17 | 24.9 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 15.6 | 58.8 | 0.08 | 46.7 | 44.2 |
| Ah'Kiyah Pye | - | 13 | 23.6 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.8 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 39.2 | 37.0 | 33.3 | 0.29 | 43.8 | 44.1 |
| Alana Biosse | - | 16 | 22.7 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 35.3 | 57.9 | 1.62 | 51.3 | 50.0 |
| Hailey Blackwell | - | 1 | 34.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 39 | 2.6 | 19.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.32 | 52.5 | 33.3 |
| De'aisjah Somerville | - | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -24.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.56 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Breonna Roaf | - | 17 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 35.0 | 21.9 | 88.9 | 2.35 | 44.9 | 39.4 |
| Serenity Johnson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -20 | -1.5 | -37.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Amari Baldwin | - | 13 | 11.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 29.2 | 6.2 | 85.7 | -2.81 | 37.9 | 30.2 |
| TaNiya Simms | - | 8 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.36 | 63.3 | 60.0 |
| Kloe Thompson | - | 12 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.2 | -0.3 | 116 | 5.8 | 51.2 | 26.3 | 25.8 | 0 | 1.25 | 36.8 | 36.8 |
| Kierran Walker | - | 9 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | -65 | -3.0 | -22.3 | 31.6 | 31.6 | 50.0 | 0.42 | 47.8 | 47.4 |
| Maya Robinson | - | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.32 | 14.8 | 0.0 |
| Ramsey Cureton | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.6 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Chloe Williams | - | 6 | 13.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | -1 | -0.1 | -60.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 32.0 | 36.7 |
| Taylor Simpson | - | 9 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 298 | 15.7 | 119.6 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.67 | 28.0 | 28.0 |
| Jahmaria Miles | - | 13 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 0 | 75.0 | -4.29 | 39.0 | 29.4 |
| Zion Duncan | - | 6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tanila Marshall | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG