Winona St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1055 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1115 (#72) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.9 (#98) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.368 (#417) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.270 (#281) | NetEff -8.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.832 (#257) | AdjNet +13.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.847 (#254) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.707 (#252) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 59.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Gamoke | - | 28 | 30.9 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 12.0 | 4.4 | -15 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 37.0 | 37.1 | 77.5 | -0.06 | 50.8 | 48.8 |
| Hailey Markworth | - | 28 | 28.0 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 12 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 43.8 | 29.8 | 80.9 | 0.22 | 49.1 | 46.2 |
| Vivica Bretton | - | 28 | 29.0 | 9.9 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 6.8 | 28 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 41.0 | 18.2 | 75.4 | 0.61 | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Mattie Schimenz | - | 27 | 23.7 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.0 | 3.4 | -27 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 31.6 | 27.2 | 75.0 | -0.17 | 43.6 | 38.2 |
| Megan Schuman | - | 28 | 16.9 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 4.2 | -9 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 42.5 | 22.7 | 60.0 | -0.07 | 48.5 | 47.4 |
| Sadie Jarmolowicz | - | 28 | 25.2 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 43 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 37.0 | 33.3 | 76.5 | 0.08 | 51.6 | 47.8 |
| Paige Peaslee | - | 28 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 22 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 55.2 | 0 | 53.3 | 0.33 | 55.7 | 55.2 |
| Lindsey Hahn | - | 28 | 15.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 3.5 | -21 | -0.8 | -1.7 | 37.9 | 41.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 58.3 | 56.8 |
| Avery Moeller | - | 28 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | -3 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 31.2 | 33.3 | 88.9 | 0.23 | 48.1 | 43.8 |
| Emma Kilpatrick | - | 28 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 31.1 | 7.7 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 35.9 | 32.2 |
| Bria Stenstrom | - | 28 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 38 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 34.2 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -0.12 | 39.0 | 36.8 |
| Lydia Lakanen | - | 23 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 68 | 4.0 | 14.8 | 70.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 70.7 | 70.0 |
| Stephanie Dasbach | - | 26 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 80.0 | - | 37.0 | 28.6 |
| Naomi Breunig | - | 20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Meaux | - | 20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG