Winona St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 905 (#378) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 961 (#250) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.4 (#47) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.569 (#304) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.662 (#137) | NetEff +6.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.888 (#149) | AdjNet +17.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.892 (#147) | AdjNet +18.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.775 (#147) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 66.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Haertle | - | 33 | 34.5 | 17.2 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 13.2 | 14.1 | 20 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 44.5 | 28.9 | 72.6 | 1.93 | 54.5 | 49.0 |
| Connor Drew | - | 33 | 30.8 | 14.0 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 10.2 | 9.6 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 45.5 | 35.8 | 77.5 | 0.77 | 59.3 | 54.8 |
| Isaiah Thompson | - | 33 | 33.6 | 13.3 | 8.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 9.7 | 13.6 | 58 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 53.6 | 36.6 | 66.3 | 3.15 | 61.1 | 59.3 |
| Jhei-R Jones | - | 33 | 33.2 | 10.6 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 9.2 | 33 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 41.2 | 27.5 | 80.4 | -0.07 | 54.2 | 48.2 |
| Tyler Mason | - | 33 | 32.9 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 6.2 | 57 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 42.1 | 37.6 | 72.9 | 1.68 | 56.4 | 53.7 |
| Nick Taylor | - | 33 | 13.2 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 3.9 | -20 | -1.1 | -5.1 | 43.3 | 20.0 | 74.0 | 0.08 | 53.4 | 46.4 |
| Arius Alijosius | - | 33 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 | -47 | -1.7 | -12.9 | 44.0 | 42.0 | 73.3 | 0.3 | 61.5 | 59.9 |
| Mikail Harmison | - | 33 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 36.4 | 29.4 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 48.1 | 47.7 |
| Devon Fielding | - | 29 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -19 | -2.7 | -24.2 | 35.7 | 45.5 | 50.0 | -0.37 | 53.8 | 53.6 |
| Johnny Papadakos | - | 33 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -13 | -1.6 | -15.9 | 36.4 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.38 | 56.8 | 40.9 |
| Tyler Orr | - | 30 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -7 | -7.0 | -56.9 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 100.0 | -1.17 | 94.5 | 91.7 |
| Tyson Keil | - | 24 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 44.4 | 20.0 |
| Ahmad Artis | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Borowski | - | 22 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Hayes | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -1.4 | -333.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.74 | 0 | 0 |
| Gavyn Hurley | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Johnson | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Roffers | - | 33 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -9 | -0.6 | -45.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG