Winona St.
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#110) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 921 (#108) | HCA +102 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 945 (#108) | HCA +102 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.8 (#102) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.1 (#100) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.385 (#102) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.537 (#98) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#75) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 898 (#110) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 72 - 73 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ | Chaminade | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ | St. Edward's | L | 65 - 72 |
2026-2027 Roster
No roster data available for this season.