Windy City Bulls
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 933 (#15) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1008 (#12) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.1 (#12) | HCA +1.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.526 (#10) | - |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | LIN | W | 123 - 94 |
| 2016-11-12 | @ | ERI | L | 105 - 108 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | TEX | L | 98 - 108 |
| 2016-11-23 | @ | RAP | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2016-11-25 | vs | OKL | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | DEL | W | 121 - 110 |
| 2016-11-29 | @ | LIN | W | 120 - 116 |
| 2016-12-02 | @ | GRD | W | 119 - 118 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | FWN | L | 83 - 95 |
| 2016-12-09 | vs | CTN | W | 96 - 94 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | GBO | L | 125 - 130 |
| 2016-12-14 | @ | GRD | L | 91 - 121 |
| 2016-12-16 | vs | GBO | L | 121 - 124 |
| 2016-12-17 | vs | DEL | L | 117 - 121 |
| 2016-12-23 | @ | CTN | L | 84 - 94 |
| 2016-12-31 | @ | MNE | L | 106 - 117 |
| 2017-01-03 | @ | FWN | L | 115 - 122 |
| 2017-01-06 | vs | WES | W | 113 - 102 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | RAP | L | 100 - 102 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | ERI | W | 108 - 97 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | MNE | L | 108 - 115 |
| 2017-01-18 | @ | DEL | L | 109 - 124 |
| 2017-01-19 | vs | FWN | W | 102 - 78 |
| 2017-01-27 | vs | FWN | L | 99 - 109 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | ERI | W | 113 - 100 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | LIN | L | 109 - 117 |
| 2017-02-03 | @ | WES | W | 102 - 98 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | WES | W | 105 - 99 |
| 2017-02-07 | vs | GRD | W | 131 - 114 |
| 2017-02-09 | vs | RAP | L | 104 - 113 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | LIN | W | 128 - 106 |
| 2017-02-22 | @ | NAS | L | 92 - 103 |
| 2017-02-24 | @ | LAD | L | 111 - 115 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | SCW | L | 113 - 118 |
| 2017-02-27 | @ | SLC | W | 111 - 104 |
| 2017-03-01 | @ | RNO | W | 132 - 105 |
| 2017-03-03 | vs | GRD | W | 125 - 117 |
| 2017-03-04 | vs | SXF | L | 124 - 129 |
| 2017-03-06 | vs | MNE | W | 103 - 89 |
| 2017-03-08 | vs | CTN | L | 99 - 113 |
| 2017-03-11 | @ | GBO | L | 93 - 99 |
| 2017-03-15 | vs | GBO | W | 111 - 104 |
| 2017-03-17 | vs | AUS | L | 108 - 112 |
| 2017-03-18 | @ | CTN | L | 101 - 104 |
| 2017-03-21 | vs | WES | W | 124 - 116 |
| 2017-03-23 | vs | IWA | W | 103 - 100 |
| 2017-03-25 | @ | DEL | W | 110 - 99 |
| 2017-03-28 | vs | ERI | W | 101 - 92 |
| 2017-03-30 | @ | RAP | L | 95 - 98 |
| 2017-04-01 | vs | MNE | L | 82 - 93 |
2017 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Portis | C | 1 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 87.5 | - | 58.1 | 52.1 |
| Denzel Valentine | G | 3 | 0.0 | 28.3 | 10.3 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 18.7 | 23.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 53.8 | 88.9 | - | 70.9 | 68.8 |
| Jerian Grant | G | 2 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 20.5 | 17.5 | - | - | - | 46.3 | 30.0 | 81.2 | - | 56.2 | 50.0 |
| Cristiano Felicio | C | 1 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 80.0 | - | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | G | 9 | 0.0 | 19.4 | 3.7 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 13.2 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 47.9 | 41.4 | 80.3 | - | 60.0 | 52.9 |
| Cameron Payne | G | 3 | 0.0 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 16.7 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 42.0 | 23.8 | 75.0 | - | 50.7 | 47.0 |
| RJ Hunter | G | 5 | 0.0 | 18.6 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 16.6 | 11.4 | - | - | - | 31.3 | 19.1 | 76.2 | - | 45.8 | 36.7 |
| Jake Layman | F | 8 | 0.0 | 17.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 15.6 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 42.4 | 22.6 | 83.3 | - | 51.7 | 47.2 |
| Jarell Eddie | G | 20 | 0.0 | 17.8 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 12.7 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 49.3 | 84.6 | - | 65.5 | 63.4 |
| Paul Zipser | F | 3 | 0.0 | 15.3 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 13.3 | 12.3 | - | - | - | 35.0 | 36.4 | 82.4 | - | 48.4 | 40.0 |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | F | 50 | 0.0 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 11.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 50.8 | 30.8 | 70.6 | - | 57.3 | 54.4 |
| Aaron Thomas | G | 43 | 0.0 | 14.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 12.8 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 30.9 | 76.6 | - | 51.9 | 48.7 |
| Will Bynum | G | 22 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.2 | 11.4 | - | - | - | 40.7 | 29.9 | 92.0 | - | 53.9 | 45.9 |
| Cartier Martin | - | 6 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.7 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 46.6 | 33.3 | 82.6 | - | 59.5 | 53.4 |
| David Laury III | - | 10 | 0.0 | 12.4 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 11.1 | 9.9 | - | - | - | 43.2 | 35.7 | 62.2 | - | 48.7 | 45.5 |
| Alec Brown | F | 50 | 0.0 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 47.6 | 36.4 | 81.0 | - | 55.8 | 53.8 |
| J.J. Avila | F | 21 | 0.0 | 10.6 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 9.6 | 9.4 | - | - | - | 44.3 | 36.5 | 84.0 | - | 52.4 | 50.0 |
| Andre Dawkins | - | 14 | 0.0 | 9.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 8.9 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 34.5 | 55.6 | - | 52.3 | 51.6 |
| Tim Quarterman | G | 9 | 0.0 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 12.3 | 9.7 | - | - | - | 32.4 | 13.5 | 73.3 | - | 37.4 | 34.7 |
| Duje Dukan | F | 25 | 0.0 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.2 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 43.9 | 43.0 | 64.2 | - | 57.5 | 55.0 |
| Wesley Saunders | G | 46 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 48.4 | 0.0 | 80.8 | - | 56.8 | 48.4 |
| Thomas Walkup | G | 40 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 8.8 | - | - | - | 45.7 | 28.2 | 84.5 | - | 54.2 | 50.0 |
| Ferrakohn Hall | F | 36 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 28.3 | 63.9 | - | 47.6 | 45.9 |
| Jon Octeus | G | 41 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 5.4 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 37.3 | 71.2 | - | 49.8 | 44.8 |
| D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera | - | 6 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 26.9 | 9.1 | 60.0 | - | 31.9 | 28.8 |
| Coreontae DeBerry | - | 12 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 0 | 58.3 | - | 49.6 | 46.4 |
| Devin Brooks | - | 3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 18.0 | 15.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG