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Wilson

Also known as: Wilson
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 955 (#325) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 978 (#262) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -27.5 (#386) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.311 (#534) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.4 More → 0.189 (#328) NetEff -10.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -41.4 More → 0.008 (#671) AdjNet -41.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -43.3 More → 0.006 (#671) AdjNet -43.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 82.2 More → 0.079 (#674) AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 82.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-11 @ Trinity Washington W 82 - 43
2024-11-13 vs Mount Aloysius L 72 - 95
2024-11-20 vs Lynchburg L 38 - 70
2024-11-22 @ Shenandoah L 39 - 102
2024-11-23 @ East. Mennonite L 57 - 60
2024-11-26 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 61 - 51
2024-12-01 @ Bridgewater (VA) L 37 - 96
2024-12-04 vs Penn St.-Berks W 76 - 72
2024-12-07 @ Saint Elizabeth L 59 - 66
2024-12-16 @ McDaniel L 48 - 88
2024-12-18 @ Hood L 58 - 67
2024-12-31 @ Goucher L 74 - 121
2025-01-04 vs St. Mary's (MD) L 68 - 76
2025-01-08 @ Penn St.-Abington L 59 - 84
2025-01-12 vs Valley Forge W 70 - 58
2025-01-14 vs Penn St. Brandywine W 62 - 49
2025-01-18 @ Cairn W 80 - 65
2025-01-22 @ Notre Dame (MD) L 57 - 66
2025-01-25 vs Saint Elizabeth L 78 - 97
2025-01-28 @ Penn St.-Berks W 77 - 61
2025-02-01 @ St. Mary's (MD) L 47 - 83
2025-02-05 vs Penn St.-Abington L 74 - 97
2025-02-08 @ Valley Forge W 61 - 50
2025-02-11 @ Penn St. Brandywine W 77 - 69
2025-02-15 vs Cairn W 71 - 54
2025-02-19 @ Notre Dame (MD) L 57 - 65

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Leah Laubach - 25 15.8 9.2 2.6 1.3 1.0 0.5 2.4 7.3 4.9 25 0.8 1.1 42.3 26.8 59.8 -0.4 50.0 45.3
Jewels Torres - 26 30.3 9.1 1.7 3.9 1.7 0.1 4.1 8.0 4.4 17 0.5 0.5 29.0 25.0 71.3 0.22 43.4 31.4
Adrianna Stricek - 12 22.7 8.7 8.7 0.9 1.0 0.1 1.8 7.2 10.2 58 2.4 5.4 44.8 0 55.3 0.48 48.3 44.8
Chelcie Forrester - 26 23.6 8.2 7.9 0.7 1.2 0.2 2.8 7.2 8.4 -52 -1.5 -2.0 40.3 0.0 68.8 -0.43 47.2 40.3
Allie Cullison - 26 23.3 8.0 3.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 2.2 7.9 3.4 -11 -0.4 -0.6 37.6 30.7 75.0 -0.57 47.1 44.1
Mackenzie Caldwell-d - 1 14.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
Lae Black - 26 18.2 6.5 4.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 3.0 5.7 3.9 38 1.2 1.7 36.2 36.8 63.9 0.54 45.3 38.6
Kailee Soto - 26 15.4 6.0 1.3 1.5 1.4 0.1 2.1 5.9 2.3 53 1.8 3.1 33.1 30.4 69.2 0.44 46.8 44.5
Chloe Irving - 25 12.6 4.4 4.7 0.6 0.8 0.2 1.6 4.0 5.0 48 1.5 2.9 35.6 22.2 64.8 -0.1 43.7 36.6
Mackenzie Caldwell-Degnon - 25 12.4 3.7 2.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.7 4.8 3.0 -68 -2.1 -3.9 28.3 26.5 75.0 -0.66 36.6 33.8
Laela Robinson - 26 22.5 2.4 2.9 1.4 1.3 0.2 2.0 4.5 1.8 -25 -1.0 -1.6 17.8 16.9 43.8 -0.41 25.2 23.7
Kayla Shepard - 26 2.9 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 5 0.2 1.1 38.1 0 37.5 0.08 38.7 38.1
Aniya Gonzalez - 25 2.2 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 -6 -0.3 -2.0 29.4 0 0.0 -0.2 28.0 29.4
Sienna Embrey-Banks - 24 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -0.1 - - - 26.7 0.0 50.0 - 28.3 26.7
Ty'zhira Kelly - 16 1.5 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 - - - 28.6 0 100.0 - 38.1 28.6
Becca Cordell - 26 3.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 -21 -1.0 -4.8 33.3 0 75.0 -0.43 61.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG