🐻⬇️🏀

Wilson

Also known as: Wilson
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 979 (#303) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 947 (#324) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.0 (#314) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.407 (#524) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.8 More → 0.449 (#315) NetEff -1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.9 More → 0.125 (#605) AdjNet -16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.2 More → 0.119 (#608) AdjNet -17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 82.4 More → 0.237 (#613) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 82.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Mary Baldwin L 85 - 95
2024-11-09 @ Messiah W 69 - 62
2024-11-13 vs Shenandoah L 69 - 89
2024-11-16 @ Chris. Newport L 69 - 86
2024-11-20 vs Mount Aloysius L 90 - 98
2024-11-26 vs Notre Dame (MD) L 76 - 80
2024-12-04 vs Penn St.-Berks W 77 - 52
2024-12-07 @ Saint Elizabeth W 71 - 63
2024-12-14 @ Lycoming L 74 - 86
2024-12-17 @ Mary Washington L 66 - 78
2024-12-21 vs Lebanon Valley W 72 - 71
2024-12-22 @ Shippensburg L 72 - 85
2025-01-04 vs St. Mary's (MD) W 78 - 74
2025-01-08 @ Penn St. Harrisburg L 59 - 68
2025-01-12 vs Valley Forge W 116 - 106
2025-01-14 vs Penn St. Brandywine W 73 - 64
2025-01-18 @ Cairn L 98 - 99
2025-01-22 @ Notre Dame (MD) W 83 - 73
2025-01-25 vs Saint Elizabeth L 88 - 100
2025-01-28 @ Penn St.-Berks W 87 - 76
2025-02-03 @ St. Mary's (MD) L 64 - 77
2025-02-05 vs Penn St. Harrisburg L 67 - 77
2025-02-08 @ Valley Forge W 84 - 74
2025-02-11 @ Penn St. Brandywine L 82 - 84
2025-02-15 vs Cairn W 77 - 74
2025-02-19 vs Saint Elizabeth W 76 - 70
2025-02-22 @ Bryn Athyn L 63 - 73

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaden Ignacio - 1 36.0 40.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 20.0 24.0 -101 -6.3 -15.6 65.0 71.4 90.0 0.07 82.0 77.5
Christian Perkins - 1 36.0 40.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 20.0 24.0 29 3.6 10.4 65.0 71.4 90.0 0.37 82.0 77.5
Jay Randall - 1 31.0 29.0 10.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 27.0 48 1.8 4.4 76.9 0 69.2 2.5 77.5 76.9
Jakir Hampton - 1 37.0 26.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 12.0 -75 -6.2 -14.9 58.8 33.3 80.0 -0.19 67.7 64.7
Markus Frank - 1 28.0 24.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 18.0 - - - 76.9 0.0 80.0 - 78.9 76.9
Zach Sloan - 1 32.0 23.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 19.0 12.0 -48 -3.0 -6.8 57.9 16.7 0 -0.31 60.5 60.5
Isaiah Eggleston - 1 29.0 23.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 14.0 12.0 -25 -8.3 -13.7 64.3 75.0 100.0 -0.11 77.3 75.0
Jahn Hines - 1 27.0 20.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 15.0 70 3.2 4.8 53.3 0.0 66.7 2.07 56.7 53.3
Jaydon Smith - 1 30.0 19.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 18.0 76 4.0 25.2 70.0 71.4 0 0.64 95.0 95.0
Trey Martin - 1 34.0 18.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 13.0 - - - 58.3 25.0 50.0 - 61.5 62.5
Joseph Baldwin - 1 25.0 18.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 13.0 10 0.6 2.6 81.8 0 0.0 0.76 78.7 81.8
Kaden Bates - 1 23.0 17.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 13.0 69 3.3 12.0 70.0 0.0 75.0 2.54 72.3 70.0
Quentin Hart - 1 33.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 7.0 -18 -1.2 -2.8 50.0 50.0 0 -0.4 70.0 70.0
Marcus NeSmith - 1 21.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 11.0 -46 -6.6 -17.4 55.6 50.0 50.0 0.42 70.9 72.2
Ellis Wright - 1 18.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 9.0 -49 -8.2 -67.7 62.5 40.0 100.0 -0.22 78.8 75.0
Jalen Parker - 1 36.0 14.0 15.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 22.0 -96 -7.4 -22.2 66.7 0 50.0 0.24 65.1 66.7
Joshua Stephen - 1 28.0 13.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 14.0 -35 -2.5 -6.0 75.0 50.0 0 0.23 81.2 81.2
Will Little - 1 39.0 13.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 5.0 -103 -8.6 -16.4 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.17 39.8 33.3
Dorian Davis - 1 26.0 11.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 12 0.8 1.9 50.0 33.3 0 0.11 55.0 55.0
Jordan Spencer - 2 26.5 11.0 9.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 4.0 8.5 11.0 17 1.2 10.0 41.2 0.0 80.0 0.08 51.4 41.2
Tyson Henderson - 1 24.0 9.0 9.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 21.0 98 3.5 7.6 40.0 33.3 100.0 1.6 66.6 50.0
Denzel Figueroa - 1 17.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 13.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 66.7 - 63.3 60.0
Donovan Hill - 1 24.0 8.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 5.0 - - - 37.5 0.0 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Ethan Ward - 1 19.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 91 3.0 7.6 42.9 0 100.0 1.66 50.8 42.9
Irby Hunter - 1 11.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0 0 -0.56 100.0 100.0
Shamir Taylor - 1 13.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -16 -4.0 -21.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 -0.2 71.7 62.5
Chris Henderson - 2 27.5 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 7.0 4.5 -23 -1.0 -6.7 28.6 42.9 75.0 0.22 44.4 39.3
Keith Bullock Jr. - 1 32.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 -137 -13.7 -27.9 12.5 0 83.3 -0.98 32.9 12.5
Jalen Jackson - 1 27.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 9.0 9 0.8 2.9 42.9 33.3 0 0.37 50.0 50.0
DJ Via - 1 16.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -66 -5.5 -12.4 66.7 66.7 0 -0.04 100.0 100.0
John Allen - 1 6.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -48 -4.4 -22.2 100.0 0 0.0 -0.05 77.3 100.0
Hasan Hammad - 1 11.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 92 4.8 17.4 60.0 0.0 0 0.38 60.0 60.0
Larry Onabanwo - 2 23.5 6.0 3.5 6.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 2.5 12.0 -35 -2.5 -10.8 60.0 50.0 71.4 0.18 74.3 70.0
Isaac Marshall - 1 23.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 -77 -5.9 -17.8 50.0 66.7 0 -0.17 75.0 75.0
Jose Fudd - 1 14.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 44 2.9 17.8 40.0 25.0 0.0 0.8 46.0 50.0
Kevin Lucas Jr. - 2 13.0 5.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 30 4.3 18.4 50.0 50.0 0 0.07 62.5 62.5
Mason Pulliam - 2 10.5 4.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -32 -2.3 -18.0 40.0 33.3 0 -0.02 45.0 45.0
Gabriel Romero-Sanz - 1 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Reece Ketron - 1 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -8 -2.7 -36.6 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.67 69.4 50.0
Raymond Benton - 1 15.0 3.0 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 -158 -6.6 -22.1 20.0 0 100.0 -0.04 27.6 20.0
Landon Russ - 1 25.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 8 0.8 1.9 100.0 100.0 0 0.6 150.0 150.0
Jadon Burgess - 1 10.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -65 -2.4 -5.8 50.0 50.0 0 -0.53 75.0 75.0
Kyle Rhoden - 2 8.5 3.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 6.0 -9 -1.0 -7.0 100.0 0 0 -0.11 100.0 100.0
Lance Douglas - 1 29.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 -27 -3.0 -17.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.07 17.4 0.0
Dylan Moore - 2 8.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 33 1.9 32.0 28.6 0.0 100.0 -0.01 33.6 28.6
Jalen Bowie - 1 20.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
David Dorsey - 1 18.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0.0 - 20.5 25.0
Rony Hogarth - 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 16 2.0 10.3 50.0 0 0 0.14 50.0 50.0
Tucker Shifflett - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 -23 -1.6 -9.7 50.0 0 0 0.28 50.0 50.0
Kellen Tyson - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1 -0.2 -8.2 100.0 0 0 -0.84 100.0 100.0
Milyan Smith-Walker - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0 0 -0.0 100.0 100.0
Nate Townsend - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 15 2.1 48.6 50.0 0.0 0 -0.5 50.0 50.0
Elia Morandotti - 1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Jackson Boone - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Timmy Conner - 1 19.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Drew Sleva - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Logan Barbour - 1 25.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -118 -8.4 -22.5 0.0 0 0 0.39 0.0 0.0
Harrison Black - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 14 4.7 101.8 0 0 0 -0.77 0 0
Curtrell Dixon - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kevin Weaver Jr. - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -49 -5.4 -17.2 0.0 0 0 0.67 0.0 0.0
Chase Ambrosius - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Binwi Bihai - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Samuel Daily - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 -25 -2.5 -76.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.48 0.0 0.0
Jordan Durham - 1 14.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -17 -5.7 -24.6 0.0 0 0.0 -0.22 0.0 0.0
Lane Nester - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Joshua Randolph - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kendrick Robinson - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -18 -1.6 -6.6 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
Ryan MacKinnon - 1 6.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 57 6.3 42.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.16 0.0 0.0
Luka Matic - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -21 -4.2 -257.1 0 0 0.0 -1.04 0.0 0
Cam Jones - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -24 -1.7 -15.4 0 0 0 0.0 0 0
Colin Mitchell - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 4 0.2 2.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.27 0.0 0.0
Justin Leddo - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Russel Nie - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jayquan Williams - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 2 0.5 2.8 0.0 0.0 0 1.12 0.0 0.0
Jamze Johnson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15 3.8 367.3 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0
Aaron Jones - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -4.0 -123.1 0 0 0 -1.11 0 0
Noah Riley - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -1.3 -76.2 0 0 0 -1.19 0 0
K'Mari Smith - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16 3.2 29.8 0 0 0 -0.23 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG