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Williams

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Williams
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 945 (#342) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1010 (#222) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +7.4 (#104) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.540 (#434) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.1 More → 0.571 (#212) NetEff +2.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.821 (#258) AdjNet +13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.9 More → 0.820 (#260) AdjNet +12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 60.0 More → 0.653 (#276) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 60.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-16 vs Keene St. W 80 - 55
2024-11-17 vs TCNJ W 55 - 49
2024-11-20 vs Hartford W 59 - 32
2024-11-23 @ Skidmore L 49 - 53
2024-11-26 @ Springfield L 71 - 72
2024-12-04 vs Smith L 54 - 74
2024-12-06 vs Regis (MA) W 85 - 60
2024-12-07 vs Clark (MA) W 71 - 58
2024-12-19 @ Concordia Wisconsin W 59 - 48
2024-12-20 @ Gettysburg W 58 - 54
2025-01-04 @ Wesleyan (CT) W 60 - 44
2025-01-06 vs WPI W 63 - 53
2025-01-10 vs Wesleyan (CT) W 69 - 64
2025-01-11 vs Trinity (CT) L 65 - 80
2025-01-17 @ Tufts L 52 - 61
2025-01-18 @ Connecticut Col. W 65 - 52
2025-01-22 @ Amherst L 49 - 63
2025-01-25 @ Middlebury L 54 - 70
2025-01-31 @ Bates L 74 - 80
2025-02-02 @ Saint Joseph (CT) W 73 - 65
2025-02-07 @ Colby W 58 - 46
2025-02-08 @ Bowdoin L 56 - 80
2025-02-14 vs Hamilton W 66 - 54
2025-02-15 vs Amherst L 54 - 62
2025-02-22 @ Bowdoin L 46 - 71

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Arianna Gerig - 25 33.1 17.4 8.4 3.6 2.0 1.2 4.3 15.5 12.7 -123 -5.6 -6.2 40.1 13.6 76.6 -0.69 47.5 40.4
Aubrey DeBauch - 1 20.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 3.0 25 1.0 1.2 28.6 0 85.7 0.11 41.0 28.6
Micah Walton - 25 32.7 11.2 3.6 1.8 1.4 0.0 2.6 11.4 4.0 -15 -0.5 -0.5 41.3 34.0 69.2 0.6 46.0 44.1
Ellie Tounkara - 25 30.3 9.2 3.7 2.0 1.1 0.1 1.8 8.6 5.8 -79 -3.6 -4.1 36.0 37.5 82.5 -0.66 49.4 45.8
Jayden Ross - 1 29.0 9.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 17.0 -4 -0.2 -0.1 33.3 0 87.5 -0.05 69.0 33.3
Ava Booth - 1 30.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 14.0 -5.0 36 1.4 1.6 21.4 50.0 0 0.48 25.0 25.0
Tatum Leuenberger - 23 22.2 6.8 4.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 1.0 6.2 6.5 -25 -1.0 -1.5 40.6 34.8 76.2 -0.07 51.2 49.0
Andrea Butterbrodt - 1 30.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 12.0 15 0.4 0.5 40.0 100.0 0 -0.0 60.0 60.0
Mairi Smith - 25 19.9 5.2 4.5 0.9 0.6 1.2 1.2 6.0 5.3 -37 -1.5 -2.8 40.3 40.0 53.3 0.13 41.8 40.9
Gracie McNabb - 1 29.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 57 1.7 2.0 14.3 16.7 100.0 0.33 31.7 21.4
Cortland Mcbarron - 17 22.9 4.5 5.0 1.5 0.9 0.0 1.2 4.3 6.4 -79 -3.6 -4.5 37.0 14.3 80.0 -0.52 45.2 38.4
Cortland McBarron - 8 28.9 4.0 5.2 2.5 1.9 0.0 1.4 5.0 7.2 -79 -3.6 -4.5 25.0 7.7 84.6 -0.52 35.0 26.2
Lindsey Lonigro - 1 11.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -22 -1.0 -2.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.3 75.0 75.0
Logan Coster - 23 9.2 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.9 3.7 0.6 27 0.9 1.7 25.6 27.6 91.7 0.76 34.5 30.2
Deidre Lassiter - 1 18.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 17 1.3 2.3 25.0 0 0 0.34 25.0 25.0
Skylar Chui - 25 9.0 1.5 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.4 1 0.0 0.1 34.1 20.0 40.0 -0.01 39.3 38.6
Kate Keenan - 25 7.6 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.7 13 0.6 2.1 37.1 36.4 20.0 0.2 47.0 48.6
Hanorah Murphy - 18 3.6 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.2 24 1.1 2.6 29.2 20.0 62.5 0.28 36.3 31.2
Kathleen Smith - 21 3.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 47 2.0 3.4 40.0 0 70.0 0.84 49.0 40.0
Izzy Sullivan - 18 3.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 5 0.4 4.6 42.9 14.3 25.0 0.14 44.4 46.4
Sarah Pettegrove - 19 5.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 25 1.2 2.6 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.69 43.6 33.3
Hannah Surrette - 18 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 -14 -1.3 -12.2 0.0 0.0 75.0 -0.35 22.2 0.0
Sarah Batra - 8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 -3 -0.4 -2.9 50.0 0 0 0.04 50.0 50.0
Jess Roy - 11 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 -0.9 8 0.6 3.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.07 0.0 0.0
Liliana Guerra - 1 19.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 -7.0 37 1.7 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.31 0.0 0.0
Courtney Morse - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hannah Moesch - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alexa Schwartz - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24 0.9 2.1 0 0 0 0.66 0 0
Bella Zeck - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Abby Hafemann - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -0.5 -1.2 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
Kristin Wentling - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -22 -1.1 -1.8 0.0 0 0 -0.41 0.0 0.0
Blayne Gacke - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Darya Gunderman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sierra Ertman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kaitlyn Carothers - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -1.0 -4.9 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG