William Peace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 841 (#578) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 833 (#558) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 872 (#704) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.7 (#413) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.4 (#632) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.206 (#663) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.080 (#662) | AdjNet -21.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.077 (#662) | AdjNet -21.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.206 (#651) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 77.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.293 (#677) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.192 (#667) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 802 (#549) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | JWU Charlotte | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Oglethorpe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Mid-Atlantic Christ. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Regent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | JWU Charlotte | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Warren Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | UNC Greensboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Regent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Piedmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Westminster (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Greensboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Mary Baldwin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Southern Va. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Methodist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Brevard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Methodist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Pfeiffer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mary Baldwin | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker Gohring | - | 1 | 33.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 27 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.67 | 46.9 | 36.1 |
| Parker Hodgson | - | 19 | 31.8 | 12.9 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 10.7 | 11.0 | -30 | -1.7 | -9.3 | 41.4 | 26.8 | 78.6 | -0.52 | 52.4 | 46.8 |
| Elijah Cathcart | - | 16 | 25.6 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 9.0 | 4.1 | -78 | -5.2 | -42.1 | 38.9 | 35.7 | 86.7 | -3.46 | 54.8 | 52.8 |
| Shawn Jones | - | 20 | 29.1 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 7.9 | 11.4 | 15 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 46.2 | 27.5 | 57.0 | 2.19 | 53.2 | 50.6 |
| Gavin Hendrix | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -46 | -2.9 | -22.5 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.11 | 74.0 | 60.0 |
| Elijah Green | - | 19 | 26.5 | 9.3 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 21 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 35.2 | 35.3 | 75.6 | 0.68 | 49.2 | 44.7 |
| Jamile Johnson | - | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -54 | -2.7 | -18.7 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.69 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Sean LeRose | - | 1 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -37 | -2.1 | -16.0 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -2.41 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Kolton Garner | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -20 | -1.0 | -7.2 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -1.31 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Roman Philips | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -44 | -2.6 | -31.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Tyler Whitehurst | - | 14 | 27.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 6.4 | 5.1 | 14 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 41.1 | 39.7 | 68.4 | 0.75 | 55.9 | 53.9 |
| Chuks Ezeonu | - | 20 | 22.2 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 7.8 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 64.4 | 0 | 50.0 | -4.59 | 62.8 | 64.4 |
| Carlitos Sanchez | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 57.1 | 0.68 | 59.1 | 50.0 |
| Sully Caruso | - | 17 | 17.3 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 6.4 | -25 | -1.6 | -96.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.77 | 51.8 | 50.9 |
| Dalton Johnson | - | 20 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 2.0 | -52 | -2.7 | -64.1 | 44.8 | 26.1 | 84.6 | -4.28 | 54.1 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Lominack | - | 19 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.1 | -0.2 | 4 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 26.9 | 27.1 | 81.8 | 1.35 | 40.4 | 37.2 |
| Jordan Kearney | - | 14 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 14 | 1.1 | 89.6 | 44.1 | 21.4 | 90.0 | 2.59 | 54.7 | 48.5 |
| Grant Overman | - | 19 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 3 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 65.4 | 0 | 43.5 | 1.58 | 60.9 | 65.4 |
| Kobe Jones | - | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | -17 | -4.2 | -9.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jordan Richardson | - | 10 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -18 | -2.0 | -83.2 | 25.0 | 29.4 | 100.0 | -2.57 | 40.7 | 37.5 |
| Larry Blount | - | 6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Junior Young | - | 6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.18 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Aidan Temple | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 14 | 0.9 | 14.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Alston | - | 6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG