🐻⬇️🏀

William Jewell

Also known as: William Jewell
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 824 (#360) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 760 (#365) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -7.1 (#268) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.081 (#546) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.0 More → 0.123 (#331) NetEff -16.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.4 More → 0.254 (#488) AdjNet -9.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.5 More → 0.267 (#484) AdjNet -8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.360 (#498) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 70.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Avila W 67 - 52
2024-11-09 @ Kansas City L 32 - 74
2024-11-13 @ Newman L 52 - 68
2024-11-19 vs Washburn L 58 - 80
2024-11-23 vs Northwest Mo. St. L 55 - 80
2024-11-27 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 60 - 82
2024-12-02 vs Ill. Springfield W 74 - 68
2024-12-05 @ Rockhurst L 62 - 73
2024-12-07 @ Southwest Baptist L 80 - 81
2024-12-18 vs Ottawa (KS) W 82 - 54
2025-01-03 vs Drury L 55 - 88
2025-01-09 @ McKendree L 51 - 64
2025-01-11 @ Maryville (MO) L 52 - 81
2025-01-16 vs Lewis L 65 - 74
2025-01-18 vs UIndy W 58 - 46
2025-01-20 vs Missouri S&T L 55 - 63
2025-01-23 @ Quincy L 67 - 89
2025-01-25 @ Upper Iowa W 86 - 78
2025-02-01 vs Truman St. L 61 - 73
2025-02-06 vs Southwest Baptist L 66 - 78
2025-02-08 vs Rockhurst L 69 - 77
2025-02-13 @ Missouri S&T L 64 - 71
2025-02-15 @ Drury L 56 - 85
2025-02-20 vs Mo.-St. Louis L 61 - 73
2025-02-22 vs Lincoln (MO) W 71 - 49
2025-02-27 @ Ill. Springfield W 73 - 57
2025-03-01 @ Truman St. W 70 - 69

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ayden Shannon - 26 30.8 13.9 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.8 12.5 4.5 -35 -1.4 -1.4 37.2 28.0 75.4 -0.31 48.1 42.3
Kate Hillyer - 27 27.4 12.0 3.6 1.3 0.8 0.2 2.0 10.4 5.5 -69 -2.7 -2.7 37.7 29.9 82.6 -0.7 50.7 44.8
Kirsten Hauck - 27 25.3 8.5 2.7 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.5 7.6 4.7 -68 -1.8 -2.1 40.2 37.3 81.8 -0.26 52.4 49.5
Paris Opelt - 27 18.1 5.7 4.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.1 4.9 5.4 1 0.0 0.0 42.1 39.7 72.7 -0.2 53.6 51.5
Bree Shannon - 27 25.4 5.1 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.1 2.1 4.2 5.5 -60 -1.8 -2.2 40.7 31.2 80.0 -0.26 52.0 45.1
Ella Bockenstedt - 25 16.3 4.4 4.0 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.8 5.0 4.6 -49 -2.0 -3.4 32.8 35.1 62.5 -0.26 40.6 38.0
Karlee Holland - 22 11.9 4.3 1.3 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.6 3.6 2.8 -44 -2.4 -4.9 33.8 32.6 71.4 -0.72 49.3 43.1
Caitlin Behling - 27 14.9 3.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.7 2.4 -27 -1.1 -2.1 32.7 25.8 88.9 -0.13 47.0 40.6
Morgan Ives - 27 11.1 3.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.4 2.9 1.0 -70 -2.4 -6.4 40.5 30.3 53.8 -0.93 48.7 46.8
Maja Komaszynska - 24 10.1 2.3 2.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.9 2.0 3.1 -98 -3.4 -7.4 38.8 33.3 48.5 -1.08 43.3 39.8
Asa Fanning - 16 4.6 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.4 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 45.0 50.0
Gabby Rose - 27 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 -0.1 0 0.0 0.0 16.0 50.0 76.9 0.14 30.9 18.0
Moriah Prewitt - 16 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 -0.2 - - - 20.0 25.0 25.0 - 25.5 25.0
Rylee Thompson - 27 1.8 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 -58 -2.1 -8.6 25.0 0 50.0 -0.53 30.7 25.0
Chanelle Anderson - 27 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 -61 -2.7 -21.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.39 10.2 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG