🐻⬇️🏀

William Jewell

Also known as: William Jewell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 612 (#539) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 594 (#539) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 733 (#692) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -21.5 (#355) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -18.7 (#588) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.081 (#546) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +40.3 More → 0.999 (#42) NetEff +40.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -36.8 More → 0.005 (#462) NetEff -36.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.4 More → 0.254 (#488) AdjNet -9.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.5 More → 0.267 (#484) AdjNet -8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.360 (#498) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.162 (#678) AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.099 (#652) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.098 (#660) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 20 More → 559 (#518) RD 115 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Kansas City - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 vs Barton - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 vs Wayne St. (NE) - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Newman - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Fort Hays St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Northwest Mo. St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 @ Ill. Springfield - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Southwest Baptist - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Rockhurst - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs William Penn - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Central Mo. - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Missouri S&T - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs McKendree - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ UIndy - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Lewis - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Upper Iowa - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Quincy - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Truman St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Rockhurst - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Southwest Baptist - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Syderah Farmer - 16 28.7 10.4 5.9 1.4 1.2 0.7 3.5 12.9 3.2 -283 -15.7 -62.3 29.1 21.2 59.5 -2.0 37.0 34.2
Jariah Harris - 5 25.7 9.6 4.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 2.2 11.4 1.2 -62 -12.4 -56.4 26.3 20.0 83.3 -1.13 37.0 28.9
Jalea Price - 18 34.6 9.0 2.4 1.2 1.5 0.1 2.7 9.2 2.3 -357 -17.9 -65.9 34.3 29.0 85.0 -0.67 46.3 43.7
Alex McGarrah - 18 24.8 8.8 2.2 0.9 1.2 0.2 2.8 9.6 0.9 -219 -10.9 -50.2 33.7 31.3 63.0 -5.16 43.2 41.3
Jacee Peterson - 17 17.1 5.6 4.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 2.1 4.8 5.3 -179 -9.9 -67.1 41.5 17.4 53.5 -1.01 47.1 43.9
Taryn Jacobs - 18 21.7 5.3 4.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 2.1 5.3 4.7 -289 -14.4 -107.2 43.8 20.0 83.3 -2.28 46.9 44.3
Maja Komaszynska - 18 18.5 3.9 4.8 1.1 0.9 0.1 1.7 3.5 5.7 -174 -8.3 -54.4 38.1 33.3 55.3 -0.32 44.5 39.7
Rylee Thompson - 18 19.6 2.6 4.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 2.6 2.6 2.9 -161 -7.7 -45.3 29.8 44.4 76.9 -0.75 43.6 38.3
Anna Daughtry - 16 15.2 2.4 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.5 4.1 -0.6 -245 -13.6 -262.4 23.1 16.7 53.8 -4.0 27.6 24.6
Mandi Pham - 16 5.8 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 -74 -4.1 -132.7 38.1 37.5 50.0 -3.13 48.1 45.2
Kirra Long - 14 8.7 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.3 0.1 -53 -3.3 -160.6 16.7 22.2 70.0 -0.08 33.5 22.2
Chanelle Anderson - 17 6.9 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 -133 -6.7 -190.7 16.7 9.1 0.0 -2.36 17.7 19.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG