William Jewell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1163 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1157 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1137 (#43) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.2 (#78) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.2 (#119) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.673 (#238) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.919 (#184) | NetEff +21.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.900 (#137) | AdjNet +19.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.906 (#134) | AdjNet +19.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.796 (#124) | AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.727 (#58) | AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.790 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.782 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1173 (#63) | RD 91 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Georgian Court | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Fort Hays St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Ottawa (KS) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Missouri S&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Drury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | McKendree | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Sutton | - | 20 | 35.3 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 13.7 | 12.5 | 19 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 49.3 | 41.0 | 82.4 | 2.79 | 60.1 | 55.5 |
| Bradley Lightbourne | - | 14 | 32.5 | 14.4 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 10.9 | 13.7 | 32 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 40.5 | 39.6 | 77.8 | 3.15 | 54.4 | 47.4 |
| Kyle Scharbrough | - | 21 | 31.4 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 49.7 | 37.2 | 81.0 | 0.98 | 60.5 | 59.0 |
| Isaac Patterson | - | 15 | 26.7 | 11.1 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 9.8 | 10.5 | -12 | -0.8 | -2.8 | 42.2 | 32.9 | 65.2 | -0.58 | 53.1 | 51.7 |
| Francis Okwuosah | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 65.4 | 58.3 |
| Ashton Jermain | - | 22 | 24.3 | 8.8 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 44.4 | 40.0 | 82.9 | 3.07 | 61.3 | 57.7 |
| Jacob LaBounty | - | 2 | 15.1 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -2.09 | 66.3 | 60.0 |
| Jack Wetzel | - | 1 | 16.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Ty'Shon Pannell | - | 2 | 15.1 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -1.35 | 52.1 | 53.8 |
| Nate Schwartze | - | 2 | 11.4 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Kanukayi Gudza | - | 22 | 28.6 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.4 | 7.0 | -71 | -3.2 | -18.1 | 41.7 | 38.9 | 91.3 | -2.94 | 57.5 | 52.6 |
| Ty Romero | - | 19 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 3.3 | -58 | -3.1 | -29.6 | 46.7 | 39.6 | 75.0 | -3.87 | 62.8 | 60.7 |
| William Beck | - | 21 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 4.1 | -25 | -1.2 | -12.7 | 45.9 | 20.0 | 58.3 | -1.11 | 51.0 | 48.4 |
| Adam Fuller | - | 15 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | -43 | -2.9 | -79.1 | 38.3 | 35.6 | 0.0 | -3.46 | 54.8 | 55.3 |
| Henry Shannon III | - | 1 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -53 | -2.1 | -8.5 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.69 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Aaiden Ashton | - | 2 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -48 | -2.2 | -10.4 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.4 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| D'Mari Wiltz | - | 2 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.08 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Jaden Peterson | - | 5 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | -23 | -5.8 | -90.3 | 41.7 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -1.37 | 50.5 | 45.8 |
| Michael Noulowe | - | 2 | 13.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Cooper Smith | - | 1 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -0.8 | -16.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.2 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Peter Obeng | - | 3 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | -2 | -0.7 | -2.1 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| PJ Moore | - | 15 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.1 | -2 | -0.1 | -4.4 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 46.7 | -1.71 | 47.4 | 45.8 |
| Bryce Mitchell | - | 13 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 15 | 1.2 | 45.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 20.0 | 1.7 | 44.6 | 50.0 |
| Cooper Francis | - | 9 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | -11 | -1.2 | -26.9 | 35.7 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.54 | 41.2 | 39.3 |
| Christian Rebec | - | 5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0.0 | - | 28.2 | 31.2 |
| Jacob Miller | - | 5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 78 | 3.1 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG