Willamette
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#251) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 949 (#311) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#188) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.224 (#568) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.165 (#338) | NetEff -13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.471 (#389) | AdjNet -1.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.466 (#387) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.479 (#383) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | La Verne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Western Ore. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Multnomah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-29 | vs | Redlands | L | 49 - 70 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Lewis & Clark | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Centre | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-22 | @ | Occidental | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | George Fox | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Whitworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Whitman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Linfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Pacific (OR) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Puget Sound | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Lewis & Clark | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | George Fox | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Whitman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Whitworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Linfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | Puget Sound | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Pacific (OR) | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Howell | - | 1 | 34.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | -20 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 53.3 | 30.0 | 66.7 | -0.09 | 64.3 | 63.3 |
| Ainsley Shelsta | - | 1 | 31.0 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 21.0 | 40 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 44.4 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.15 | 47.8 | 44.4 |
| Annie Trinh | - | 1 | 22.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | -49 | -2.1 | -2.3 | 46.7 | 36.4 | 100.0 | -0.35 | 61.5 | 60.0 |
| Justine Prajitno | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Paige Yasukochi | - | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 92 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 54.5 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.11 | 62.7 | 59.1 |
| Kaitlin Imai | - | 25 | 33.1 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 12.8 | 7.2 | -17 | -0.5 | -0.4 | 36.4 | 30.1 | 72.7 | -0.03 | 47.7 | 44.5 |
| Elyse Waldal | - | 24 | 28.5 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 10.2 | 6.9 | -37 | -1.5 | -1.6 | 42.9 | 37.0 | 73.2 | -0.22 | 55.1 | 53.1 |
| Dara Tokeshi | - | 1 | 37.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 94 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.17 | 42.7 | 37.5 |
| Emily Ko | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 77 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.11 | 65.4 | 50.0 |
| Gio Horner | - | 25 | 29.4 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 5.5 | -25 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 38.0 | 23.4 | 69.9 | -0.05 | 44.9 | 40.3 |
| Jasmine Prajitno | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | -103 | -3.1 | -4.4 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.43 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Maya Sanders | - | 25 | 20.5 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 2.6 | -9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 41.7 | 36.1 | 81.8 | 0.18 | 55.2 | 51.9 |
| Mia Mabang | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Allison McGill | - | 1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -18 | -1.1 | -2.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Jossy Calizo | - | 1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Peyton Gardner | - | 24 | 25.8 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 3.4 | -74 | -2.1 | -2.4 | 39.1 | 11.5 | 50.0 | 0.24 | 41.4 | 40.2 |
| Daisy Boling-Schmidt | - | 25 | 21.8 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 7.7 | -54 | -1.5 | -1.9 | 45.3 | 0 | 66.1 | -0.08 | 52.5 | 45.3 |
| Emma Floyd | - | 25 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 2.0 | -9 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 29.4 | 29.8 | 66.7 | 0.08 | 42.1 | 40.8 |
| Addie Hiler | - | 25 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 31.2 | 19.0 | 77.3 | -0.15 | 40.2 | 35.4 |
| Alexis Dockter | - | 19 | 10.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 16 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 32.9 | 25.0 | 87.5 | -0.65 | 42.8 | 40.0 |
| Alyssa Smith | - | 1 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -80 | -2.5 | -2.5 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Micah Elegores | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.17 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Niani Shields | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Michelle Lagunas-Monroy | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Syd Shoemaker | - | 19 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | -42 | -1.8 | -9.1 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.33 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aasia Williams | - | 25 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -35 | -1.8 | -9.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.32 | 24.2 | 7.7 |
| Jaydin Lutu | - | 19 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lecia Sincere | - | 11 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ella Emanuel | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -18 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Te' Limon | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caydence Hook | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Cayla Harang | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Deanna Ayao | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Salisbury | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Christen Ziska | - | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | -58 | -2.5 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Fiyona Haile | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -24 | -1.1 | -3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Khailand Anderson-Strawder | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Ila Giblin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Cristina Sepulveda | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayla Ikuma | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Seshiki | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dominique Cabading | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 74 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lillian Spector | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicole Vanegas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43 | 2.9 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG