🐻⬇️🏀

Willamette

Also known as: Willamette
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 994 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 949 (#311) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -0.3 (#188) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.224 (#568) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.0 More → 0.165 (#338) NetEff -13.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.0 More → 0.471 (#389) AdjNet -1.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.466 (#387) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.479 (#383) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-10 vs Chris. Newport L 48 - 83
2024-11-15 vs East Tex. Baptist L 53 - 82
2024-11-16 @ La Verne W 87 - 83
2024-11-21 @ Western Ore. W 89 - 86
2024-11-23 vs Multnomah L 71 - 80
2024-11-29 vs Redlands L 49 - 70
2024-12-06 vs Lewis & Clark W 76 - 72
2024-12-16 vs UC Santa Cruz W 87 - 53
2024-12-17 vs Wash. & Lee L 60 - 74
2024-12-21 @ Centre W 72 - 68
2024-12-22 @ Occidental L 67 - 71
2025-01-03 @ George Fox W 66 - 56
2025-01-10 @ Whitworth L 49 - 65
2025-01-11 @ Whitman L 49 - 77
2025-01-17 vs Pacific Lutheran L 56 - 68
2025-01-18 @ Linfield L 45 - 61
2025-01-24 @ Pacific (OR) L 56 - 71
2025-01-25 vs Puget Sound W 63 - 61
2025-01-28 @ Lewis & Clark W 61 - 58
2025-02-01 vs George Fox L 58 - 71
2025-02-07 vs Whitman L 52 - 66
2025-02-08 vs Whitworth W 67 - 57
2025-02-14 vs Linfield L 45 - 54
2025-02-15 @ Pacific Lutheran L 55 - 83
2025-02-21 @ Puget Sound L 58 - 62
2025-02-22 vs Pacific (OR) L 53 - 78

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marissa Howell - 1 34.0 21.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 13.0 -20 -0.9 -0.9 53.3 30.0 66.7 -0.09 64.3 63.3
Ainsley Shelsta - 1 31.0 21.0 17.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 18.0 21.0 40 2.2 2.3 44.4 0 55.6 0.15 47.8 44.4
Annie Trinh - 1 22.0 19.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 9.0 -49 -2.1 -2.3 46.7 36.4 100.0 -0.35 61.5 60.0
Justine Prajitno - 1 33.0 17.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 14.0 -1 -0.2 -0.2 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.16 57.1 57.1
Paige Yasukochi - 1 34.0 16.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 14.0 92 2.5 2.2 54.5 100.0 75.0 -0.11 62.7 59.1
Kaitlin Imai - 26 33.0 13.6 4.2 2.7 2.0 0.4 2.5 12.9 7.6 -17 -0.5 -0.4 37.0 30.6 71.8 -0.03 48.3 45.2
Elyse Waldal - 25 28.1 12.1 4.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.4 10.0 7.0 -37 -1.5 -1.6 43.8 38.4 73.2 -0.22 56.3 54.4
Dara Tokeshi - 1 37.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 2.0 94 3.4 2.9 33.3 33.3 100.0 0.17 42.7 37.5
Emily Ko - 1 26.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 77 2.2 3.1 40.0 50.0 83.3 0.11 65.4 50.0
Gio Horner - 26 28.8 9.5 3.5 1.8 1.5 0.2 1.8 9.4 5.4 -25 -1.0 -0.9 38.0 23.4 69.9 -0.05 44.7 40.2
Jasmine Prajitno - 1 21.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 -103 -3.1 -4.4 28.6 0.0 100.0 -0.43 38.1 28.6
Maya Sanders - 26 20.8 5.2 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.6 -9 -0.4 -0.6 41.2 35.4 81.8 0.18 54.6 51.3
Mia Mabang - 1 11.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 28.6 50.0 0 -0.13 35.7 35.7
Allison McGill - 1 6.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -18 -1.1 -2.6 100.0 100.0 0 0.05 125.0 125.0
Jossy Calizo - 1 7.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 -3 -0.1 -0.2 100.0 0 100.0 0.15 102.5 100.0
Peyton Gardner - 25 25.6 4.8 2.3 3.1 1.1 0.2 2.5 5.4 3.6 -74 -2.1 -2.4 38.8 11.5 54.2 0.24 41.5 39.9
Daisy Boling-Schmidt - 26 22.0 4.7 5.6 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.2 3.5 7.5 -54 -1.5 -1.9 44.0 0 67.2 -0.08 51.6 44.0
Emma Floyd - 26 14.2 4.3 2.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 4.7 2.2 -9 -0.2 -0.4 31.7 30.9 66.7 0.08 44.5 43.5
Alexis Dockter - 20 10.8 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.6 4.0 1.7 16 0.8 1.6 37.5 30.4 90.9 -0.65 49.5 46.2
Addie Hiler - 26 9.2 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 3.7 1.4 6 0.2 0.6 31.2 19.0 77.3 -0.15 40.2 35.4
Alyssa Smith - 1 24.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 -80 -2.5 -2.5 16.7 25.0 0 -0.41 25.0 25.0
Micah Elegores - 1 17.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -1.0 11 0.7 1.4 16.7 33.3 0 0.17 25.0 25.0
Niani Shields - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -5 -0.2 -0.5 100.0 0 0 -0.26 100.0 100.0
Michelle Lagunas-Monroy - 1 13.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 100.0 0.01 34.7 0.0
Syd Shoemaker - 20 5.3 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 -42 -1.8 -9.1 45.5 50.0 0 -0.33 50.0 50.0
Aasia Williams - 26 3.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 -35 -1.8 -9.9 7.7 0.0 75.0 -0.32 24.2 7.7
Jaydin Lutu - 20 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lecia Sincere - 11 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ella Emanuel - 1 7.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 -18 -1.2 -5.0 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Te' Limon - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.15 0.0 0.0
Caydence Hook - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.1 0.5 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Cayla Harang - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.19 0.0 0.0
Deanna Ayao - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Madison Salisbury - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Christen Ziska - 1 22.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 -4.0 -58 -2.5 -3.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0
Fiyona Haile - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -24 -1.1 -3.9 0 0 0 -0.23 0 0
Khailand Anderson-Strawder - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.2 0.4 0 0 0 0.11 0 0
Ila Giblin - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 32 1.1 1.8 0 0 0 0.03 0 0
Cristina Sepulveda - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.4 1.7 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Kayla Ikuma - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53 1.8 3.9 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
Morgan Seshiki - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Dominique Cabading - 1 9.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 74 2.1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lillian Spector - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.7 2.9 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0
Nicole Vanegas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43 2.9 16.7 0 0 0 0.58 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG