Willamette
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#251) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 949 (#311) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#188) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.224 (#568) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.165 (#338) | NetEff -13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.471 (#389) | AdjNet -1.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.466 (#387) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.479 (#383) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 48 - 83 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | La Verne | W | 87 - 83 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Western Ore. | W | 89 - 86 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Multnomah | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2024-11-29 | vs | Redlands | L | 49 - 70 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 87 - 53 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Centre | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2024-12-22 | @ | Occidental | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | George Fox | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Whitworth | L | 49 - 65 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Whitman | L | 49 - 77 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Linfield | L | 45 - 61 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Puget Sound | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | George Fox | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Whitman | L | 52 - 66 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Whitworth | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Linfield | L | 45 - 54 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | L | 55 - 83 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | Puget Sound | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Pacific (OR) | L | 53 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Howell | - | 1 | 34.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | -20 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 53.3 | 30.0 | 66.7 | -0.09 | 64.3 | 63.3 |
| Ainsley Shelsta | - | 1 | 31.0 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 21.0 | 40 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 44.4 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.15 | 47.8 | 44.4 |
| Annie Trinh | - | 1 | 22.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | -49 | -2.1 | -2.3 | 46.7 | 36.4 | 100.0 | -0.35 | 61.5 | 60.0 |
| Justine Prajitno | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Paige Yasukochi | - | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 92 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 54.5 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.11 | 62.7 | 59.1 |
| Kaitlin Imai | - | 26 | 33.0 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 12.9 | 7.6 | -17 | -0.5 | -0.4 | 37.0 | 30.6 | 71.8 | -0.03 | 48.3 | 45.2 |
| Elyse Waldal | - | 25 | 28.1 | 12.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -37 | -1.5 | -1.6 | 43.8 | 38.4 | 73.2 | -0.22 | 56.3 | 54.4 |
| Dara Tokeshi | - | 1 | 37.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 94 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.17 | 42.7 | 37.5 |
| Emily Ko | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 77 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.11 | 65.4 | 50.0 |
| Gio Horner | - | 26 | 28.8 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.4 | 5.4 | -25 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 38.0 | 23.4 | 69.9 | -0.05 | 44.7 | 40.2 |
| Jasmine Prajitno | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | -103 | -3.1 | -4.4 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.43 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Maya Sanders | - | 26 | 20.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 2.6 | -9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 41.2 | 35.4 | 81.8 | 0.18 | 54.6 | 51.3 |
| Mia Mabang | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Allison McGill | - | 1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -18 | -1.1 | -2.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Jossy Calizo | - | 1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Peyton Gardner | - | 25 | 25.6 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 3.6 | -74 | -2.1 | -2.4 | 38.8 | 11.5 | 54.2 | 0.24 | 41.5 | 39.9 |
| Daisy Boling-Schmidt | - | 26 | 22.0 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 7.5 | -54 | -1.5 | -1.9 | 44.0 | 0 | 67.2 | -0.08 | 51.6 | 44.0 |
| Emma Floyd | - | 26 | 14.2 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 2.2 | -9 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 31.7 | 30.9 | 66.7 | 0.08 | 44.5 | 43.5 |
| Alexis Dockter | - | 20 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 16 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 37.5 | 30.4 | 90.9 | -0.65 | 49.5 | 46.2 |
| Addie Hiler | - | 26 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 31.2 | 19.0 | 77.3 | -0.15 | 40.2 | 35.4 |
| Alyssa Smith | - | 1 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -80 | -2.5 | -2.5 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Micah Elegores | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.17 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Niani Shields | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Michelle Lagunas-Monroy | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Syd Shoemaker | - | 20 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | -42 | -1.8 | -9.1 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.33 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aasia Williams | - | 26 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -35 | -1.8 | -9.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.32 | 24.2 | 7.7 |
| Jaydin Lutu | - | 20 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lecia Sincere | - | 11 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ella Emanuel | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -18 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Te' Limon | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caydence Hook | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Cayla Harang | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Deanna Ayao | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Salisbury | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Christen Ziska | - | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | -58 | -2.5 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Fiyona Haile | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -24 | -1.1 | -3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Khailand Anderson-Strawder | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Ila Giblin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Cristina Sepulveda | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayla Ikuma | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Seshiki | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dominique Cabading | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 74 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lillian Spector | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicole Vanegas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43 | 2.9 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG