Willamette
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#251) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 949 (#311) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.7 (#129) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | vs | Bushnell | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2023-11-12 | vs | Whittier | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2023-11-17 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 49 - 86 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Chapman | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2023-11-24 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2023-11-25 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 91 - 58 |
| 2023-12-01 | @ | Whitworth | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Whitman | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2023-12-08 | vs | Oregon Tech | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2023-12-17 | @ | Portland | L | 40 - 83 |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Trinity (TX) | W | 89 - 66 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Western Ore. | L | 41 - 57 |
| 2024-01-05 | vs | Linfield | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2024-01-09 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2024-01-12 | @ | Puget Sound | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | George Fox | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2024-01-22 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2024-01-26 | vs | Whitman | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Whitworth | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2024-02-02 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Linfield | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2024-02-06 | vs | Pacific (OR) | W | 50 - 47 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Puget Sound | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2024-02-16 | @ | George Fox | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 71 - 43 |
| 2024-02-23 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 50 - 70 |
| 2024-03-01 | @ | Millikin | L | 83 - 91 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyse Waldal | - | 26 | 27.2 | 11.8 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 5.8 | -48 | -8.0 | -10.3 | 42.5 | 39.7 | 82.4 | -0.37 | 54.1 | 51.9 |
| Carolyn Ho | - | 26 | 32.2 | 11.1 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 8.0 | 12.4 | -9 | -1.8 | -2.1 | 52.9 | 31.7 | 89.1 | -0.05 | 62.0 | 57.5 |
| Kaitlin Imai | - | 26 | 32.3 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 8.7 | 6.0 | -70 | -4.1 | -4.6 | 40.4 | 33.0 | 77.1 | -0.12 | 53.0 | 48.2 |
| MEGAN RIVER | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -3 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Ava Kitchin | - | 26 | 20.9 | 7.7 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 8.2 | -18 | -3.6 | -4.7 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 54.6 | 0.01 | 49.6 | 46.2 |
| Ashley Collins | - | 24 | 15.4 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 5.1 | -12 | -2.4 | -6.8 | 55.4 | 0.0 | 69.2 | -0.12 | 57.8 | 55.4 |
| Jasmine Shigeno | - | 25 | 14.3 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 31.0 | 28.8 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 44.5 | 44.0 |
| Peyton Gardner | - | 26 | 15.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 3.3 | -66 | -3.9 | -5.5 | 47.5 | 29.2 | 61.5 | -0.01 | 53.1 | 51.9 |
| Emma Floyd | - | 26 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -25 | -1.6 | -2.9 | 35.9 | 29.6 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 49.3 | 48.4 |
| DANIELLE MORGAN | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -19 | -3.8 | -6.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Addie Hiler | - | 25 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -11 | -0.9 | -4.5 | 26.9 | 15.4 | 50.0 | -0.2 | 34.5 | 30.8 |
| Syd Shoemaker | - | 20 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -13 | -1.3 | -8.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 59.2 | 40.0 |
| Lecia Sincere | - | 26 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 16.7 | 0.0 | - | 15.4 | 18.8 |
| Maggie Sawyer | - | 14 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaydin Lutu | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG