Widener
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1008 (#235) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1062 (#156) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.8 (#165) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.826 (#288) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.677 (#169) | NetEff +5.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.700 (#313) | AdjNet +7.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.681 (#316) | AdjNet +6.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.588 (#309) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 63.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 35 - 66 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Marymount (VA) | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | King's (PA) | W | 56 - 36 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 65 - 88 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Neumann | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Arcadia | W | 70 - 55 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Immaculata | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Dickinson | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 67 - 48 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Ursinus | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Hood | W | 71 - 46 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Stevenson | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Eastern | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Alvernia | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Messiah | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Albright | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | York (PA) | L | 53 - 68 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Stevenson | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Eastern | W | 75 - 47 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Hood | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Messiah | L | 56 - 76 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Alvernia | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | York (PA) | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Albright | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | York (PA) | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Messiah | L | 46 - 74 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Robbins | - | 27 | 26.3 | 18.0 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 15.0 | 11.7 | 33 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 78.2 | 1.12 | 51.3 | 44.9 |
| Lindsay Kutz | - | 27 | 30.4 | 10.2 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 9.0 | 11.5 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 45.5 | 23.4 | 64.6 | 0.48 | 50.4 | 47.7 |
| Kaitlyn Kearney | - | 27 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 45 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 39.2 | 27.1 | 72.0 | 0.31 | 51.1 | 43.6 |
| Riley Stackhouse | - | 27 | 26.7 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 31.9 | 24.7 | 77.2 | 0.23 | 44.1 | 38.3 |
| Avalynn Baer | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | -67 | -2.0 | -2.9 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Mary Mcfillin | - | 3 | 28.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 17 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 29.4 | 30.8 | 75.0 | -0.28 | 45.3 | 41.2 |
| Ava Baer | - | 26 | 15.7 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 3.4 | -67 | -2.0 | -2.9 | 37.8 | 12.5 | 70.6 | -0.36 | 42.9 | 38.2 |
| Kimberly Casiello | - | 25 | 19.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 12 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 34.4 | 37.5 | 79.4 | 0.26 | 51.0 | 44.4 |
| Jayla Daniels | - | 27 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 43.7 | 42.9 | 67.7 | 0.98 | 52.6 | 47.9 |
| Giada Palmieri | - | 9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -47 | -2.6 | -8.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 47.1 | 0.06 | 47.3 | 45.0 |
| Giada Palmeri | - | 18 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 28 | 2.8 | 10.4 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 76.9 | 0.21 | 48.6 | 37.5 |
| Grace Egli | - | 27 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | -22 | -1.0 | -3.9 | 23.5 | 10.0 | 52.9 | -0.37 | 31.3 | 25.0 |
| Breelynn Leary | - | 26 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 19.2 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.09 | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Kaitlin Meenan | - | 26 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 35.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 37.3 | 35.3 |
| Mia Elisano | - | 26 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 54.5 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.21 | 48.2 | 54.5 |
| Kelly Donnelly | - | 10 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -65 | -2.6 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Rachel Ludwig | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG