Wichita State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 787 (#294) | Preseason prior 808 (returning production + recruiting): last season 956, returning -95, transfers -53, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 843 (#304) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 845 (#305) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.4 (#265) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.5 (#265) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.094 (#293) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.272 (#276) | AdjNet -8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.266 (#276) | AdjNet -9.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.306 (#287) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.307 (#288) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.270 (#283) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.270 (#283) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 820 (#308) | RD 185 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.220 (#287) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Kansas State Wildcats | L | 41 - 61 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Kansas City Roos | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Missouri State Lady Bears | L | 48 - 76 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | UC Riverside Highlanders | W | 87 - 61 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ma'Riya Vincent
|
G | 4 | 23.5 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 11.5 | 11.8 | -23 | 3 | -7.7 | -13.5 | 54.3 | 66.7 | 93.8 | 1.84 | 65.0 | 58.7 |
Mari Milton
|
G | 4 | 34.2 | 11.8 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 10.5 | -30 | 3 | -10.0 | -11.6 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 61.1 | 0.41 | 42.0 | 37.5 |
Alexis Leyva
|
G | 4 | 31.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 6.2 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -7.2 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 2.0 | 53.9 | 46.4 |
Clara Koulibaly
|
F | 4 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -19 | 3 | -6.3 | -19.5 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.5 | 61.8 | 60.0 |
Kendal Robinson
|
G | 4 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 4.2 | -50 | 3 | -16.7 | -41.3 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -6.57 | 48.8 | 47.2 |
Lily Ba
|
F | 4 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | -21 | 3 | -7.0 | -24.6 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -3.35 | 49.0 | 46.4 |
Liliana Harrison
|
C | 4 | 13.0 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -9.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 30.0 | -0.46 | 45.1 | 50.0 |
Kaylea Lacey
|
G | 4 | 24.5 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | -26 | 3 | -8.7 | -14.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 38.5 | -0.7 | 36.7 | 33.3 |
Amaya Lacy
|
G | 3 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.79 | 75.3 | 75.0 |
Aaliyah Broadus
|
G | 4 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | -0.5 | -32 | 3 | -10.7 | -34.6 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.21 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Rachel Skulsky
|
G | 4 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -17.5 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.46 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Klea Kaci
|
G | 4 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -32.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.94 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
218 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ma'Riya VincentMari MiltonAlexis LeyvaKendal RobinsonLily BaKaylea LaceyAmaya LacyKlea Kaci
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 53-84 | 63.1 | 106 | Ma'Riya Vincent 28% (30 pts) | Clara Koulibaly 17% (18 pts) | Ma'Riya Vincent 23% (7 misses) | Mari Milton 23% (7 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 17-51 | 33.3 | 34 | Ma'Riya Vincent 24% (8 pts) | Clara Koulibaly 18% (6 pts) | Mari Milton 26% (9 misses) | Ma'Riya Vincent 24% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Kaylea Lacey 67% (2 misses) | Alexis Leyva 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Ma'Riya Vincent 50% (2 pts) | Mari Milton 50% (2 pts) | Kendal Robinson 50% (2 misses) | Ma'Riya Vincent 50% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 1-13 | 7.7 | 2 | Ma'Riya Vincent 100% (2 pts) | - | Mari Milton 33% (4 misses) | Clara Koulibaly 17% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Mari Milton 100% (3 pts) | - | Klea Kaci 33% (1 misses) | Mari Milton 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-2 | 100.0 | 6 | Amaya Lacy 50% (3 pts) | Kendal Robinson 50% (3 pts) | - | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Alexis Leyva 33% (3 pts) | Ma'Riya Vincent 33% (3 pts) | Kaylea Lacey 43% (3 misses) | Alexis Leyva 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 8-17 | 47.1 | 24 | Ma'Riya Vincent 38% (9 pts) | Alexis Leyva 25% (6 pts) | Lily Ba 33% (3 misses) | Clara Koulibaly 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-28 | 14.3 | 12 | Alexis Leyva 75% (9 pts) | Mari Milton 25% (3 pts) | Alexis Leyva 38% (9 misses) | Mari Milton 38% (9 misses) |