🐻⬇️🏀

Wheeling

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wheeling
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 972 (#346) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 970 (#318) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 999 (#393) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -1.5 (#188) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +1.2 (#347) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.648 (#305) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.5 More → 0.671 (#225) NetEff +5.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.6 More → 0.628 (#341) AdjNet +4.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.7 More → 0.635 (#345) AdjNet +4.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.560 (#351) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.511 (#334) AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.528 (#329) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.532 (#323) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 987 (#262) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs California (PA) L 62 - 63
2025-11-15 vs Edinboro W 70 - 56
2025-11-19 vs Pitt.-Johnstown W 62 - 54
2025-11-23 vs Washington Adventist W 57 - 45
2025-11-26 vs Ohio Dominican L 43 - 55
2025-12-03 vs Point Park W 67 - 53
2025-12-06 @ Salem (WV) W 67 - 27
2025-12-13 vs Charleston (WV) L 51 - 56
2025-12-17 vs Davis & Elkins W 71 - 50
2025-12-20 @ Cedarville L 82 - 87
2026-01-03 @ West Va. Wesleyan L 67 - 72
2026-01-10 @ Frostburg St. W 72 - 63
2026-01-14 vs Concord L 54 - 66
2026-01-17 @ Glenville St. W 69 - 66
2026-01-21 vs Salem (WV) W 60 - 46
2026-01-24 @ West Liberty W 78 - 52
2026-01-28 @ Charleston (WV) L 64 - 67
2026-01-31 vs West Virginia St. W 61 - 40
2026-02-04 vs West Va. Wesleyan L 59 - 60
2026-02-07 @ Davis & Elkins W 68 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenzie Dalton - 20 39.3 16.8 7.0 5.2 3.2 0.0 2.9 13.4 15.9 40 1.8 6.7 45.0 16.2 78.8 0.53 53.2 47.0
Emilia Sierra Lacosta - 20 33.0 13.3 4.7 1.6 1.2 0.5 2.0 13.5 5.8 52 2.4 9.8 34.8 30.3 83.0 1.14 45.9 42.2
Layla Merriweather - 16 29.1 11.1 3.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.5 10.0 3.9 -3 -0.2 -3.1 41.9 33.3 74.2 -0.62 51.0 48.1
Emma Reynolds - 20 28.0 9.3 5.8 1.0 0.8 0.5 1.9 7.2 8.2 83 3.8 18.1 49.3 37.5 67.7 -1.43 59.3 57.6
Graci Fairman - 19 33.6 8.7 2.8 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.5 8.1 3.7 -1 -0.0 -0.2 37.0 20.0 78.7 -0.17 47.2 41.6
Elena Marin Dawid - 20 26.1 3.9 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.8 3.1 4.4 16 0.7 3.2 43.5 33.3 81.0 2.44 54.0 48.4
Hillari Baker - 13 13.0 3.3 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 3.7 1.6 18 1.3 9.6 27.1 24.2 81.8 1.17 40.7 35.4
Amyah Maxwell - 6 4.8 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.7 - - - 66.7 50.0 33.3 0.56 68.3 75.0
Sophia Toscano - 3 4.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 -1.3 - - - 12.5 16.7 0 - 18.8 18.8
Aluel Tong - 15 6.2 0.5 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 -33 -2.1 -56.7 37.5 0 50.0 2.64 39.4 37.5
Ella Hazelrigg - 4 1.7 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Liv Bolduc - 4 5.8 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.2 -6 -1.5 -10.7 16.7 0.0 0 0.28 16.7 16.7
Ashley Shroades - 11 4.4 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 -27 -2.5 -261.3 16.7 0.0 100.0 0.73 29.1 16.7
Avery Davis - 12 4.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 -0.6 5 0.4 77.9 13.3 7.1 0 -1.09 16.7 16.7
Brooke Edge - 9 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 20 2.2 269.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.35 0.0 0.0
Xenia Thormann - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG