Wheeling
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1066 (#81) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1115 (#91) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#96) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.0 (#160) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.6 (#139) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.436 (#376) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.998 (#44) | NetEff +62.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.478 (#427) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.521 (#411) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.492 (#426) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.681 (#82) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 75.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.724 (#118) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.721 (#116) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1127 (#94) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | California (PA) | W | 85 - 82 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Clarion | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Slippery Rock | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Point Park | W | 97 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Salem (WV) | W | 93 - 85 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | West Virginia St. | L | 81 - 92 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Charleston (WV) | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Franciscan | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 92 - 84 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Fairmont St. | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 115 - 98 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Concord | L | 100 - 108 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Glenville St. | W | 86 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 85 - 69 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | West Liberty | L | 81 - 93 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 79 - 88 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 106 - 92 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 103 - 72 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 83 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayden Goll | - | 21 | 31.4 | 18.0 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 12.4 | 13.3 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 41.5 | 34.4 | 88.2 | -0.66 | 59.1 | 49.6 |
| Caleb Murray | - | 21 | 27.6 | 15.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 50 | 2.5 | 13.3 | 43.1 | 36.9 | 80.0 | 1.25 | 56.3 | 54.4 |
| Tee Harris | - | 21 | 26.6 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 9.9 | 12.2 | 67 | 3.4 | 16.8 | 48.1 | 28.4 | 77.8 | 1.13 | 57.5 | 54.6 |
| Curtis Harrison IV | - | 21 | 18.5 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 8.8 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 62.2 | 50.0 | 63.3 | 1.8 | 67.9 | 67.1 |
| Kris English | - | 11 | 17.8 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 6.3 | -16 | -2.0 | -84.6 | 56.7 | 12.5 | 59.1 | 0.74 | 58.7 | 57.5 |
| Jerry Saunders Jr. | - | 21 | 14.9 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 3.4 | -22 | -1.2 | -12.3 | 39.6 | 43.1 | 74.4 | -1.34 | 52.9 | 48.9 |
| Alex Smith | - | 21 | 30.4 | 7.6 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 11.9 | 19 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 40.3 | 31.2 | 64.0 | 1.95 | 51.3 | 47.8 |
| D.J. Wingfield | - | 14 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 28 | 2.3 | 47.6 | 48.8 | 41.7 | 80.0 | 1.42 | 63.9 | 61.0 |
| Jalen Wenger | - | 21 | 11.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 2.4 | -58 | -3.1 | -34.3 | 34.1 | 22.8 | 42.9 | -1.48 | 41.7 | 41.2 |
| Lamar Dampier | - | 21 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3.5 | -10 | -0.5 | -10.5 | 71.1 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -1.28 | 71.7 | 72.4 |
| Trevor Beresford | - | 21 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 51 | 2.7 | 28.1 | 60.5 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 1.65 | 58.4 | 60.5 |
| Roy Paz Jr. | - | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 20.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Derek Wilson | - | 5 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Elijah Edwards | - | 5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.54 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Chance Hartwell | - | 8 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | -11 | -1.6 | -25.2 | 22.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.22 | 24.2 | 27.8 |
| Carson Swanson | - | 5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -8 | -2.7 | -121.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.05 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Walker Spalding | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Drew Fitzwater | - | 4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -15.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.05 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| David Marshall | - | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Cayden Faucett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Kyler | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG