🐻⬇️🏀

Wheeling

Also known as: Wheeling
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1066 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1115 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1077 (#96) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.0 (#160) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +11.6 (#139) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.436 (#376) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +62.6 More → 0.998 (#44) NetEff +62.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.478 (#427) AdjNet -0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.521 (#411) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.5 More → 0.492 (#426) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.681 (#82) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.724 (#118) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.721 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1127 (#94) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ California (PA) W 85 - 82
2025-11-15 vs Clarion L 82 - 91
2025-11-19 @ Slippery Rock L 71 - 82
2025-11-23 vs Winston-Salem W 86 - 66
2025-12-03 vs Point Park W 97 - 75
2025-12-06 @ Salem (WV) W 93 - 85
2025-12-10 @ West Virginia St. L 81 - 92
2025-12-13 vs Charleston (WV) W 77 - 75
2025-12-15 vs Franciscan W 82 - 74
2025-12-17 vs Davis & Elkins W 92 - 84
2026-01-03 @ West Va. Wesleyan W 78 - 72
2026-01-07 vs Fairmont St. L 71 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Frostburg St. W 115 - 98
2026-01-14 vs Concord L 100 - 108
2026-01-17 @ Glenville St. W 86 - 80
2026-01-21 vs Salem (WV) W 85 - 69
2026-01-24 @ West Liberty L 81 - 93
2026-01-28 @ Charleston (WV) L 79 - 88
2026-01-31 vs West Virginia St. W 106 - 92
2026-02-04 vs West Va. Wesleyan W 103 - 72
2026-02-07 @ Davis & Elkins W 83 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ayden Goll - 21 31.4 18.0 3.4 4.6 1.7 0.5 2.4 12.4 13.3 6 0.3 1.4 41.5 34.4 88.2 -0.66 59.1 49.6
Caleb Murray - 21 27.6 15.5 2.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.8 13.0 5.5 50 2.5 13.3 43.1 36.9 80.0 1.25 56.3 54.4
Tee Harris - 21 26.6 12.5 6.0 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.0 9.9 12.2 67 3.4 16.8 48.1 28.4 77.8 1.13 57.5 54.6
Curtis Harrison IV - 21 18.5 8.6 5.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.4 5.3 8.8 -1 -0.1 -0.4 62.2 50.0 63.3 1.8 67.9 67.1
Kris English - 11 17.8 8.2 3.5 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.2 6.1 6.3 -16 -2.0 -84.6 56.7 12.5 59.1 0.74 58.7 57.5
Jerry Saunders Jr. - 21 14.9 7.6 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.9 6.4 3.4 -22 -1.2 -12.3 39.6 43.1 74.4 -1.34 52.9 48.9
Alex Smith - 21 30.4 7.6 5.9 4.5 1.8 0.1 1.7 6.4 11.9 19 0.9 5.2 40.3 31.2 64.0 1.95 51.3 47.8
D.J. Wingfield - 14 6.4 4.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.9 2.4 28 2.3 47.6 48.8 41.7 80.0 1.42 63.9 61.0
Jalen Wenger - 21 11.5 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 4.3 2.4 -58 -3.1 -34.3 34.1 22.8 42.9 -1.48 41.7 41.2
Lamar Dampier - 21 10.4 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.5 -10 -0.5 -10.5 71.1 25.0 60.0 -1.28 71.7 72.4
Trevor Beresford - 21 11.2 2.3 2.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.8 3.1 51 2.7 28.1 60.5 0.0 28.6 1.65 58.4 60.5
Roy Paz Jr. - 3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 1 0.3 20.7 33.3 50.0 0 -0.03 50.0 50.0
Derek Wilson - 5 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Elijah Edwards - 5 2.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 -3 -0.2 -1.4 25.0 50.0 100.0 -1.54 45.0 37.5
Chance Hartwell - 8 3.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.4 -11 -1.6 -25.2 22.2 16.7 0.0 0.22 24.2 27.8
Carson Swanson - 5 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 -8 -2.7 -121.5 33.3 33.3 0 -0.05 50.0 50.0
Walker Spalding - 2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Drew Fitzwater - 4 1.7 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 -1 -0.5 -15.2 50.0 0.0 0 -0.05 50.0 50.0
David Marshall - 3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1 0.3 20.7 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Cayden Faucett - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ian Kyler - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG