Wheaton (MA)
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 895 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 974 (#237) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 925 (#302) | HCA +58 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.2 (#230) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.7 (#215) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.356 (#273) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.498 (#229) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.499 (#229) | AdjNet -0.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.504 (#222) | AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.462 (#249) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 76.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.452 (#252) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.443 (#253) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 966 (#237) | RD 135 | GP 23 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-22 | vs | Roger Williams | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2016-11-27 | @ | Regis (MA) | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2016-11-29 | @ | Framingham St. | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Worcester St. | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2016-12-07 | vs | Bridgewater St. | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Pine Manor | W | 91 - 87 |
| 2016-12-20 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2016-12-21 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | Coast Guard | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Clark (MA) | W | 87 - 76 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | Springfield | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Babson | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Emerson | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | WPI | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | MIT | L | 55 - 80 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Coast Guard | L | 78 - 93 |
| 2017-02-01 | vs | Babson | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | Springfield | L | 78 - 98 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Clark (MA) | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | MIT | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2017-02-15 | vs | WPI | L | 67 - 79 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Emerson | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2017-02-22 | @ | Springfield | L | 82 - 85 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.