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Western Wash.

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 913 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 972 (#98) HCA +102 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 962 (#105) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +2.9 (#94) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +2.2 (#90) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.409 (#95) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 76.4 More โ†’ 0.572 (#74) AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 76.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 76.3 More โ†’ 0.537 (#66) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 76.3
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 185 | GP 3 More โ†’ 930 (#107) RD 185 | GP 3

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-30 @ CSUSB L 82 - 85
2026-10-31 @ Lubbock Christian L 67 - 72
2026-11-01 @ Chico St. L 82 - 90
2026-11-09 vs Douglas (CAN) W 135 - 53

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.