Western Wash.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1045 (#114) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1019 (#232) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1001 (#271) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.2 (#136) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.7 (#246) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.643 (#260) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.946 (#167) | NetEff +24.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.791 (#241) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.794 (#241) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.695 (#235) | AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 78.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.584 (#169) | AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.578 (#256) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.580 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1035 (#186) | RD 93 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | vs | CSUSB | L | 78 - 91 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | Central Okla. | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | San Fran. St. | W | 87 - 62 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Chaminade | L | 98 - 107 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 71 - 86 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | UCCS | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | L | 92 - 101 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Central Wash. | W | 97 - 95 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Langara (CAN) | W | 102 - 61 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Colorado Mesa | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Missouri S&T | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 56 - 90 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Seattle Pacific | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | L | 92 - 94 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Saint Martin's | L | 76 - 89 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Western Ore. | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Simon Fraser | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 96 - 89 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 87 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Seattle Pacific | L | 76 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Rice | - | 23 | 33.8 | 18.7 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 12.9 | 11.7 | 31 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 47.6 | 39.3 | 84.1 | 1.72 | 62.5 | 57.3 |
| Nehemiah Pollard | - | 23 | 32.5 | 17.0 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 12.1 | 39 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 49.1 | 33.3 | 78.8 | 1.59 | 61.1 | 55.6 |
| Dennis Johnson III | - | 23 | 27.1 | 12.0 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 8.7 | 10.9 | 88 | 3.8 | 14.6 | 46.7 | 34.9 | 85.2 | 0.77 | 61.1 | 56.3 |
| Malachi Miller | - | 22 | 19.5 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 25 | 1.1 | 13.2 | 38.6 | 33.3 | 78.9 | -1.15 | 51.5 | 45.9 |
| Trevor White | - | 18 | 20.4 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 18 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 44.2 | 25.9 | 75.0 | -2.03 | 53.1 | 49.6 |
| Garrett Levesque | - | 22 | 24.4 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 9.8 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 48.5 | 31.7 | 61.8 | 0.71 | 57.0 | 55.1 |
| Louis Grante-Halliday | - | 21 | 15.9 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 4.8 | -22 | -1.0 | -19.3 | 38.4 | 11.1 | 80.0 | -0.61 | 50.6 | 39.7 |
| Bennett Olujic | - | 20 | 14.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 64 | 3.2 | 22.0 | 42.6 | 26.1 | 43.5 | 0.42 | 47.8 | 47.5 |
| Dajon Lott Jr. | - | 14 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 0.4 | 16.6 | 34.0 | 15.8 | 66.7 | 0.05 | 40.7 | 37.0 |
| Liam Slattum | - | 4 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 14 | 3.5 | 195.3 | 50.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.45 | 59.7 | 55.0 |
| Anthony Canales | - | 21 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 12 | 0.6 | 10.6 | 51.1 | 26.7 | 66.7 | -1.53 | 59.0 | 55.6 |
| Janko Drammeh | - | 18 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 21 | 1.1 | 60.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 35.7 | 2.47 | 47.4 | 50.0 |
| Cruz Veliz | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG