🐻⬇️🏀

Western Ore.

Also known as: Western Ore.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1143 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1192 (#30) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +10.4 (#80) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.911 (#234) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.854 (#268) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.5 More → 0.905 (#76) NetEff +17.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.4 More → 0.903 (#211) AdjNet +19.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More → 0.839 (#249) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.9 More → 0.903 (#212) AdjNet +18.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.7 More → 0.836 (#251) AdjNet +13.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 62.7 More → 0.721 (#222) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 62.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 56.3 More → 0.670 (#262) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 56.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs Warren Wilson W 119 - 36
2024-11-08 @ Springfield W 70 - 63
2024-11-13 @ Rhode Island Col. W 62 - 55
2024-11-19 @ Eastern Conn. St. W 63 - 54
2024-11-21 vs Willamette L 86 - 89
2024-11-23 vs Saint Joseph (CT) W 82 - 63
2024-11-24 vs Wesleyan (CT) W 74 - 67
2024-12-02 vs Nichols W 89 - 57
2024-12-04 vs Hartford W 59 - 32
2024-12-06 @ Worcester St. W 67 - 55
2024-12-07 @ Wentworth W 73 - 37
2025-01-02 vs Westfield St. W 61 - 50
2025-01-04 @ U New England L 52 - 56
2025-01-07 vs Roger Williams W 76 - 63
2025-01-11 @ Endicott W 71 - 63
2025-01-15 vs Gordon W 57 - 45
2025-01-18 vs Curry W 71 - 66
2025-01-22 @ Suffolk W 69 - 55
2025-01-25 vs Wentworth W 78 - 46
2025-01-28 @ Hartford W 70 - 49
2025-02-01 vs U New England W 63 - 56
2025-02-05 @ Roger Williams W 71 - 69
2025-02-08 @ Nichols W 73 - 50
2025-02-11 vs Suffolk W 65 - 55
2025-02-15 @ Curry W 72 - 42
2025-02-19 @ Gordon W 62 - 39
2025-02-22 vs Endicott L 55 - 60
2025-02-27 vs U New England W 67 - 49
2025-03-01 vs Endicott L 58 - 64
2025-03-07 vs Tufts W 61 - 52
2025-03-08 @ Gettysburg L 52 - 55

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyja Beans - 1 23.0 18.0 13.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 30.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 0.57 75.0 75.0
Bella Pedrojetti - 1 38.0 16.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 6.0 - - - 35.3 44.4 0 0.08 47.1 47.1
Chelsea Wooten - 1 16.0 15.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 37.5 0 - 62.5 62.5
Taj Hunter - 1 16.0 15.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 12.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 16.7 50.0 - 54.5 54.2
Enid Vaifanua - 1 38.0 15.0 8.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 20.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.12 61.5 50.0
Jada Burton - 1 16.0 14.0 5.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 17.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Natalie Brown - 1 29.0 14.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 14.0 28 3.1 4.0 58.3 0 0 0.07 58.3 58.3
Reagan Trumm - 1 16.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 - - - 66.7 80.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
MilaSarai Tau - 1 14.0 12.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Mya India Thomas - 1 16.0 12.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 67.6 68.8
Lilly Hedge - 29 25.1 11.1 8.0 2.7 1.6 1.0 1.9 8.3 14.3 93 3.2 4.7 45.0 25.5 75.2 0.54 54.6 47.5
Grace Pack - 1 14.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 - - - 100.0 0 87.5 - 99.6 100.0
Shaina Cooney - 29 22.0 10.2 5.6 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.3 8.6 7.4 113 3.9 5.7 46.0 20.0 60.7 0.76 50.2 46.6
Emma Kahn - 27 24.0 9.2 2.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 1.4 8.8 3.8 76 2.9 4.4 36.7 32.3 58.9 0.37 47.6 45.6
Avyonce Carter - 1 19.0 9.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 5.0 - - - 36.4 50.0 0 - 40.9 40.9
Ciona Wells - 1 35.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 44.4 20.0 0 -0.15 50.0 50.0
Zanoria Cruz - 1 16.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 80.0 - 64.5 50.0
Nora Young - 29 18.6 6.2 4.6 1.8 0.8 0.5 1.6 5.5 6.8 56 1.9 2.9 42.1 27.8 69.0 0.09 48.5 43.7
Sophie Hedge - 29 12.3 6.1 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 5.4 2.7 98 2.5 4.1 39.5 38.4 63.3 0.53 51.7 50.0
Emma Novajasky - 29 18.0 5.8 4.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.1 70 2.6 4.8 46.5 36.8 84.0 0.25 54.5 51.4
Perry Blasetti - 29 15.6 5.1 3.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.0 4.4 4.8 74 1.9 3.2 39.8 25.5 67.3 0.04 49.8 45.3
Erin Stack - 1 14.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 36.3 33.3
Nicole Azar - 1 17.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Paige Winter - 29 16.3 4.3 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.2 1.3 3.4 4.9 83 2.1 3.2 37.0 35.6 66.7 0.4 53.8 50.0
Caitlyn Hunt - 29 12.1 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.3 3.2 46 1.6 3.4 49.0 36.4 73.9 0.04 56.1 53.1
Kehinde Obasuyi - 1 18.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 72.5 0.0
Selai Niu - 1 10.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Salma Youngblood - 1 17.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 -0.16 28.6 28.6
Kennedy Hilsenroth - 1 10.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Colleen Furlong - 29 18.4 2.3 2.8 2.7 0.5 0.1 1.8 2.8 3.8 82 2.8 5.1 31.7 21.7 44.0 0.24 36.6 34.8
Erin Reen - 29 8.3 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 43 1.2 2.6 40.7 22.2 85.2 -0.25 60.4 44.4
Abby Marasco - 26 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.5 7 0.7 2.9 77.8 0 66.7 0.08 77.3 77.8
Sarah West - 28 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 -17 -0.8 -4.1 46.7 0 0 0.11 46.7 46.7
Hannah Blake - 26 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 29 1.6 4.0 40.0 0 50.0 0.28 42.5 40.0
Katie Regan - 26 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 -20 -1.5 -8.9 33.3 0 0 -0.09 33.3 33.3
Devlyn McDonald - 24 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 19 1.3 3.4 50.0 0 0 0.14 50.0 50.0
Janessa Yaconiello - 23 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Gianna Strange - 20 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 0.69 0 0
Madison Gibbs - 18 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG