Western Ore.
Model Outputs
2022-2023
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1022 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1013 (#146) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#150) | HCA +69 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#148) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.3 (#189) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.287 (#215) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.592 (#163) | AdjNet +3.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.598 (#165) | AdjNet +3.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.551 (#158) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.457 (#187) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.540 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.521 (#161) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 998 (#147) | RD 169 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2022-11-13 | vs | Capilano (CAN) | W | 86 - 51 |
| 2022-11-18 | @ | Chico St. | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2022-11-19 | vs | Sonoma St. | W | 56 - 47 |
| 2022-12-01 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2022-12-09 | @ | Corban | W | 77 - 54 |
| 2022-12-10 | vs | Willamette | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2022-12-16 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 58 - 100 |
| 2022-12-18 | @ | CSUSB | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2022-12-31 | @ | Saint Martin's | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2023-01-05 | vs | Seattle Pacific | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | L | 58 - 59 |
| 2023-01-12 | @ | Simon Fraser | L | 44 - 70 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Western Wash. | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2023-01-19 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Saint Martin's | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2023-02-02 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ | Seattle Pacific | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2023-02-09 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 58 - 87 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Simon Fraser | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2023-02-16 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 87 - 68 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2023-02-23 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2023-02-25 | vs | Central Wash. | W | 83 - 72 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.