Western Michigan
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
55.0
PPG
64.5
Opp
-9.5
Margin
36.3%
FG%
25.6%
3P%
86.7%
FT%
28.0
RPG
8.0
APG
17.0
TO
71.6
Est. poss./game
51.3
Adj PPG
62.8
Adj Opp PPG
#302
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 774 (#306) | Preseason prior 840 (returning production + recruiting): last season 954, returning -55, transfers -59, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 852 (#295) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 855 (#295) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.5 (#266) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.5 (#266) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.180 (#255) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.298 (#258) | AdjNet -7.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.296 (#258) | AdjNet -8.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.275 (#302) | AdjO 51.3 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.276 (#302) | AdjO 51.3 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.269 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.269 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 834 (#294) | RD 196 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.235 (#278) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Dayton Flyers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Milwaukee Panthers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kailey Starks
|
G | 2 | 34.5 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.5 | 8.0 | -19 | 2 | -9.5 | -11.2 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.69 | 43.1 | 34.5 |
Zuri Ransom
|
G | 2 | 26.5 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 85.7 | -0.81 | 47.7 | 40.0 |
Casey Vyverman
|
G | 2 | 29.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 | -15 | 2 | -7.5 | -10.2 | 36.8 | 45.5 | 33.3 | -0.71 | 49.2 | 50.0 |
Faith Wiseman
|
F | 2 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.93 | 66.6 | 56.2 |
Emily VanTimmeren
|
F | 2 | 19.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -15 | 2 | -7.5 | -15.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.42 | 57.9 | 33.3 |
Alli Carlson
|
G | 2 | 33.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | -17 | 2 | -8.5 | -10.1 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -1.57 | 37.9 | 36.4 |
Alli Harness
|
G | 2 | 17.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -15 | 2 | -7.5 | -17.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -3.46 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Isabella Miljkovic
|
F | 2 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.5 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -6.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Kaylyn Buchanon
|
G | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.16 | 0 | 0 |
May Revahe
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Ava Rodriguez
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Vanessa Rodriguez
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -25.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Nile Muguira Orbe
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | 0 | 0 |
Morasha Wiggins
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
102 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kailey StarksCasey VyvermanZuri RansomAlli Carlson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 18-41 | 43.9 | 36 | Kailey Starks 50% (18 pts) | Faith Wiseman 17% (6 pts) | Kailey Starks 43% (10 misses) | Casey Vyverman 17% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 6-14 | 42.9 | 12 | Zuri Ransom 33% (4 pts) | Alli Carlson 17% (2 pts) | Zuri Ransom 38% (3 misses) | Faith Wiseman 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Mid-range center | 2-3 | 66.7 | 4 | Zuri Ransom 100% (4 pts) | - | Zuri Ransom 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Zuri Ransom 100% (2 pts) | - | Zuri Ransom 75% (3 misses) | Casey Vyverman 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Kailey Starks 67% (2 misses) | Vanessa Rodriguez 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | Alli Carlson 33% (3 pts) | Alli Harness 33% (3 pts) | Kailey Starks 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Casey Vyverman 67% (6 pts) | Alli Carlson 33% (3 pts) | Kailey Starks 40% (2 misses) | Alli Carlson 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Alli Carlson 33% (1 misses) | Kailey Starks 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-20 | 20.0 | 12 | Casey Vyverman 75% (9 pts) | Alli Harness 25% (3 pts) | Casey Vyverman 38% (6 misses) | Alli Carlson 19% (3 misses) |