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Western Michigan

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Western Michigan Broncos
Program History
Coach: Kate Achter

2026-2027 Team Stats (1 games)

54.0
PPG
68.0
Opp
-14.0
Margin
38.0%
FG%
27.3%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
32.0
RPG
9.0
APG
21.0
TO
74.2
Est. poss./game
56.0
Adj PPG
64.0
Adj Opp PPG
#288
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 840 (returning production + recruiting): last season 954, returning -55, transfers -59, freshmen +0 More → 815 (#278) Preseason prior 840 (returning production + recruiting): last season 954, returning -55, transfers -59, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +188 elo More → 863 (#281) HCA +188 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +188 elo More → 927 (#281) HCA +188 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → -9.8 (#261) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -9.5 (#260) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.166 (#259) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.7 More → 0.322 (#256) AdjNet -7.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.5 More → 0.318 (#254) AdjNet -7.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.302 (#288) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 64.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.343 (#289) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 64.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.287 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.295 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 220 | GP 1 More → 857 (#272) RD 220 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.205 (#270) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 54 - 68
2026-11-10 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons - Preview
2026-11-15 @ Dayton Flyers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kailey Starks Kailey Starks G 1 36.0 17.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 9.0 -7 1 -7.0 -8.0 46.7 0.0 100.0 1.41 52.1 46.7
Casey Vyverman Casey Vyverman G 1 31.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 -8 1 -8.0 -10.3 44.4 40.0 33.3 0.28 53.3 55.6
Zuri Ransom Zuri Ransom G 1 21.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 2.0 -7 1 -7.0 -13.0 25.0 0.0 75.0 -1.59 35.9 25.0
Faith Wiseman Faith Wiseman F 1 28.0 7.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 10.0 5 1 5.0 7.2 40.0 50.0 100.0 -0.61 59.5 50.0
Alli Carlson Alli Carlson G 1 33.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 -10 1 -10.0 -12.0 28.6 25.0 50.0 -1.29 38.1 35.7
Alli Harness Alli Harness G 1 20.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -13 1 -13.0 -25.3 66.7 66.7 0 -4.16 100.0 100.0
Kaylyn Buchanon Kaylyn Buchanon G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 1 -4.0 -77.4 0 0 0 -1.33 0 0
Isabella Miljkovic Isabella Miljkovic F 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -5 1 -5.0 -35.4 0.0 0 0 -1.01 0.0 0.0
May Revahe May Revahe G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ava Rodriguez Ava Rodriguez G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Vanessa Rodriguez Vanessa Rodriguez G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -4 1 -4.0 -25.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.98 0.0 0.0
Emily VanTimmeren Emily VanTimmeren F 1 13.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 -13 1 -13.0 -39.4 0 0 0 -4.16 0 0
Nile Muguira Orbe Nile Muguira Orbe G 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -4 1 -4.0 -56.5 0 0 0 -1.77 0 0
Morasha Wiggins Morasha Wiggins G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.54 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

50 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Starks67% Carlson33% Ransom100% Harness50% Carlson100% Vyverman67%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Carlson33% Wiseman33% Ransom100% Vyverman50% Starks50% Starks100% Wiseman50% Carlson50% Vyverman38%
Misses: who misses most here

Kailey StarksCasey VyvermanAlli HarnessAlli CarlsonFaith WisemanZuri Ransom

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 9-15 60.0 18 Kailey Starks 67% (12 pts) Casey Vyverman 11% (2 pts) Alli Carlson 33% (2 misses) Kailey Starks 33% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 3-9 33.3 6 Alli Carlson 33% (2 pts) Casey Vyverman 33% (2 pts) Faith Wiseman 33% (2 misses) Kailey Starks 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Zuri Ransom 100% (2 pts) - Zuri Ransom 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 0-2 0.0 0 - - Casey Vyverman 50% (1 misses) Zuri Ransom 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - Kailey Starks 50% (1 misses) Vanessa Rodriguez 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Alli Harness 50% (3 pts) Faith Wiseman 50% (3 pts) Kailey Starks 100% (2 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 1-3 33.3 3 Alli Carlson 100% (3 pts) - Faith Wiseman 50% (1 misses) Kailey Starks 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Alli Carlson 50% (1 misses) Zuri Ransom 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-11 27.3 9 Casey Vyverman 67% (6 pts) Alli Harness 33% (3 pts) Casey Vyverman 38% (3 misses) Alli Carlson 25% (2 misses)