Western Colo.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1033 (#168) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#151) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1053 (#133) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.3 (#140) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.6 (#204) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.533 (#347) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.494 (#281) | NetEff -0.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.754 (#295) | AdjNet +9.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.772 (#292) | AdjNet +10.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.648 (#290) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.643 (#127) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.698 (#175) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.690 (#184) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1047 (#201) | RD 100 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Tusculum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Angelo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | St. Edward's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Pittsburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivey Schmidt | - | 19 | 34.7 | 19.1 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 14.7 | 11.7 | 44 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 41.9 | 44.0 | 75.4 | 1.48 | 54.6 | 48.6 |
| Jayda Maves | - | 19 | 34.6 | 14.3 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 69 | 3.3 | 11.8 | 49.5 | 48.0 | 80.8 | 3.96 | 66.2 | 64.7 |
| Alyssa Eckroth | - | 19 | 31.4 | 12.2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 6.5 | 28 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 37.7 | 30.8 | 83.5 | 1.01 | 53.9 | 44.6 |
| Penelope Urquhart | - | 19 | 27.5 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 36 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 33.3 | 29.0 | 73.9 | 0.69 | 45.2 | 41.9 |
| Chloe Daniels | - | 19 | 24.2 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 7.4 | 28 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 56.5 | 0 | 22.9 | -1.16 | 50.4 | 56.5 |
| Addison Harding | - | 18 | 15.3 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 5 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 43.9 | 0 | 52.6 | 1.39 | 46.6 | 43.9 |
| Darcy Jardine | - | 8 | 7.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 33.8 | 53.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.46 | 53.9 | 53.3 |
| Micah Wicks | - | 19 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 8.4 | 31.5 | 24.0 | 100.0 | -0.7 | 39.5 | 37.0 |
| Jacy Chandler | - | 19 | 12.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | -10 | -0.5 | -4.7 | 35.3 | 34.8 | 83.3 | -1.58 | 53.5 | 47.1 |
| Rori Hoffmeyer | - | 14 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 47.4 | 0 | 52.9 | -0.49 | 51.0 | 47.4 |
| Dame Van Gils | - | 2 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kailey Townsend | - | 7 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 12 | 1.5 | 151.6 | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.87 | 44.4 | 20.0 |
| Morgan Ives | - | 10 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.7 | -51.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.53 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Finley Blackmore | - | 2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -5 | -2.5 | -800.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG