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Western Colo.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Western Colo.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1002 (#266) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1018 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1053 (#133) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +5.9 (#113) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +10.6 (#204) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.533 (#347) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.2 More → 0.494 (#281) NetEff -0.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.7 More → 0.754 (#295) AdjNet +9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.4 More → 0.772 (#292) AdjNet +10.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.648 (#290) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.8 More → 0.643 (#127) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.698 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.689 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 1061 (#179) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 vs Tusculum W 86 - 45
2025-11-17 vs Angelo St. W 65 - 49
2025-11-22 @ St. Mary's (TX) L 65 - 66
2025-11-24 @ Tex. A&M Int'l W 68 - 61
2025-11-25 @ St. Edward's L 58 - 68
2025-12-04 @ Colo. Christian L 57 - 67
2025-12-06 @ CSU Pueblo W 67 - 61
2025-12-11 vs MSU Denver W 71 - 68
2025-12-13 vs Regis (CO) W 62 - 53
2025-12-19 @ Washburn L 43 - 59
2025-12-20 @ Pittsburg St. L 67 - 70
2026-01-10 @ N.M. Highlands L 74 - 85
2026-01-13 vs Colorado Mesa L 59 - 70
2026-01-17 @ Westminster (UT) W 62 - 60
2026-01-22 vs South Dakota Mines W 73 - 61
2026-01-24 vs Black Hills St. W 75 - 74
2026-01-29 vs UCCS L 77 - 85
2026-01-31 vs Colo. Christian W 77 - 67
2026-02-05 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines W 73 - 64
2026-02-07 @ MSU Denver L 55 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ivey Schmidt - 19 34.7 19.1 6.7 3.0 1.1 0.3 3.8 14.7 11.7 44 2.1 7.4 41.9 44.0 75.4 -0.74 54.6 48.6
Taj Hunter - 1 23.1 18.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 50.0 - 53.3 53.1
Kehinde Obasuyi - 1 16.4 15.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 71.4 50.0 100.0 - 85.6 78.6
Betsey Burnett - 1 21.1 15.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 100.0 - 58.2 54.2
Jayda Maves - 19 34.6 14.3 3.6 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.5 10.2 8.2 69 3.3 11.8 49.5 48.0 80.8 2.3 66.2 64.7
Alyssa Eckroth - 19 31.4 12.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 2.6 9.2 6.5 28 1.3 5.1 37.7 30.8 83.5 3.45 53.9 44.6
Ally Hollifield - 1 26.4 10.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 7.0 - - - 20.0 14.3 83.3 - 39.6 25.0
Ellie Richardson - 1 22.4 7.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 5.0 -48 -4.4 -14.5 37.5 50.0 0.0 -1.93 39.4 43.8
Penelope Urquhart - 19 27.5 6.1 6.3 1.7 0.7 0.2 2.3 6.2 6.4 36 1.7 7.1 33.3 29.0 73.9 0.98 45.2 41.9
Ary Dizon - 1 29.3 6.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 - - - 37.5 0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Justice Zimmerman - 1 24.0 6.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 8.0 - - - 27.3 0.0 0 - 27.3 27.3
Joyce Mulumba - 1 23.3 5.0 12.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 0 25.0 - 43.4 50.0
Chloe Daniels - 19 24.2 4.1 4.9 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.5 3.3 7.4 28 1.3 6.3 56.5 0 22.9 1.04 50.4 56.5
Addison Harding - 18 15.3 2.6 3.6 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.3 4.2 5 0.3 2.2 43.9 0 52.6 1.21 46.6 43.9
Darcy Jardine - 8 7.8 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.1 1 0.1 33.8 53.3 0 50.0 0.08 53.9 53.3
Micah Wicks - 19 11.2 2.3 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 1.3 2.8 1.0 12 0.6 8.4 31.5 24.0 100.0 -0.95 39.5 37.0
Jacy Chandler - 19 12.5 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.2 -10 -0.5 -4.7 35.3 34.8 83.3 -1.3 53.5 47.1
Christina Bowers - 1 10.7 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Kennedy Hilsenroth - 1 3.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Rori Hoffmeyer - 14 7.4 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.1 3 0.2 2.0 47.4 0 52.9 -2.08 51.0 47.4
Dame Van Gils - 2 4.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Kailey Townsend - 7 4.7 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 12 1.5 151.6 20.0 0 100.0 -1.19 44.4 20.0
Morgan Ives - 10 5.5 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 -8 -0.7 -51.8 25.0 0.0 0 -0.94 25.0 25.0
Finley Blackmore - 2 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -5 -2.5 -800.0 0 0 0 0.05 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG