WestConn
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 928 (#369) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 916 (#353) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -18.0 (#344) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.172 (#600) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.087 (#362) | NetEff -16.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.061 (#583) | AdjNet -23.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.056 (#583) | AdjNet -23.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.200 (#582) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 69.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | L | 45 - 58 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | UMSV | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | York (NY) | W | 89 - 34 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Nichols | L | 85 - 97 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | John Jay | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | UMass Boston | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 60 - 50 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Plymouth St. | W | 52 - 49 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Elmira | L | 45 - 52 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 61 - 78 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Wm. Paterson | L | 60 - 80 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 51 - 64 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 40 - 90 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Keene St. | L | 54 - 73 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 52 - 87 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | UMass Boston | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | VTSU Castleton | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 45 - 81 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 38 - 79 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Keene St. | L | 42 - 61 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | L | 57 - 116 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nia Rencher | - | 25 | 30.0 | 14.7 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 12.0 | 10.2 | -126 | -5.5 | -6.1 | 41.3 | 0 | 61.0 | -0.59 | 47.6 | 41.3 |
| Malaysia Dingle | - | 25 | 32.2 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 3.7 | -118 | -3.6 | -3.8 | 32.0 | 25.0 | 71.2 | -0.64 | 42.8 | 37.9 |
| Alyssa Virtue | - | 25 | 29.4 | 7.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 6.6 | 8.5 | -165 | -6.9 | -7.9 | 38.2 | 25.0 | 65.2 | -0.98 | 46.0 | 39.1 |
| Deona Garcia | - | 24 | 17.0 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 7.5 | -0.6 | -103 | -3.7 | -6.3 | 28.3 | 26.5 | 54.3 | -0.72 | 37.6 | 35.6 |
| Gianna Castellano | - | 25 | 20.9 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 0.1 | -124 | -4.0 | -6.1 | 34.6 | 18.0 | 76.5 | -0.46 | 39.8 | 37.5 |
| Nicole Peralta | - | 24 | 22.7 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 0.8 | -111 | -5.0 | -7.1 | 29.4 | 29.5 | 50.0 | -0.32 | 39.3 | 37.9 |
| Fatmata Barrie | - | 25 | 18.0 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 7.6 | -106 | -3.2 | -5.5 | 38.4 | 0 | 41.3 | -0.91 | 40.1 | 38.4 |
| Cameron Froehlich | - | 8 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -6 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 22.9 | 20.7 | 0.0 | -0.46 | 28.6 | 29.2 |
| Xiomara Soto | - | 24 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | -130 | -5.7 | -14.4 | 24.4 | 20.0 | 70.0 | -0.8 | 33.4 | 30.8 |
| Andrea Moulton | - | 11 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 55.6 | 0.0 | - | 63.1 | 68.2 |
| Tyonna Morgan | - | 21 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.0 | -48 | -3.2 | -11.6 | 30.0 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.26 | 32.4 | 30.0 |
| Skylar Miller | - | 22 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.1 | -65 | -4.1 | -16.4 | 23.7 | 17.6 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 28.9 | 27.6 |
| Jaelyn Moulton | - | 10 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Dre'Ana Singleton | - | 10 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -52 | -1.5 | -2.2 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.39 | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Kassandra Ogando | - | 11 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Humuhawa Barrie | - | 11 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Francesca Foster | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG