🐻⬇️🏀

West Virginia St.

Also known as: West Virginia St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 858 (#398) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 924 (#399) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 851 (#573) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -2.7 (#248) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -6.5 (#418) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.511 (#329) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.7 More → 0.200 (#273) NetEff -13.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.6 More → 0.545 (#396) AdjNet +1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.614 (#358) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 80.0 More → 0.556 (#374) AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 80.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 84.8 More → 0.323 (#524) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 84.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.325 (#441) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.321 (#457) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 6 More → 778 (#463) RD 156 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Glenville St. L 71 - 88
2026-01-24 @ Charleston (WV) L 70 - 83
2026-01-28 vs West Liberty L 82 - 103
2026-01-31 @ Wheeling L 92 - 106
2026-02-04 @ Frostburg St. L 79 - 95
2026-02-07 vs Fairmont St. L 74 - 121

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Harris - 5 34.2 17.6 7.0 1.6 2.0 0.0 2.4 11.2 14.6 -118 -5.9 -28.7 46.4 23.1 71.7 -2.04 57.7 49.1
Jaylen Subject - 6 31.1 14.0 5.3 1.8 0.8 0.7 2.5 8.8 11.3 -153 -7.3 -35.3 58.5 46.2 84.2 -1.2 68.4 64.2
Andrew Shull - 5 30.6 11.6 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.0 1.4 10.0 3.8 -67 -4.5 -17.7 40.0 42.1 50.0 -1.16 56.0 56.0
Camren Wilkes - 6 23.1 11.2 4.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 1.2 10.0 6.7 -134 -6.4 -37.1 40.0 21.7 82.4 0.81 49.6 44.2
Aymeric Toussaint - 5 21.0 11.0 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.8 6.8 6.6 -110 -6.9 -38.6 61.8 33.3 70.6 -3.33 66.3 63.2
Hassan Belkhaddar - 6 25.6 8.3 5.5 1.3 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.3 7.8 -168 -8.0 -43.0 36.4 17.6 88.2 -0.83 48.6 39.8
Norris Bourne Jr - 6 24.7 5.5 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.5 7.5 -0.7 - - - 26.7 20.7 100.0 - 35.6 33.3
Bryson Smith - 5 12.2 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.6 2.4 -25 -2.5 -19.6 50.0 25.0 0.0 1.01 54.2 55.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG