🐻⬇️🏀

West Liberty

Also known as: West Liberty
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 806 (#507) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 853 (#480) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 847 (#656) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -8.0 (#238) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -10.6 (#520) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.266 (#453) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.6 More → 0.282 (#337) NetEff -7.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.7 More → 0.270 (#481) AdjNet -8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.4 More → 0.270 (#481) AdjNet -8.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 76.8 More → 0.366 (#491) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 76.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 74.5 More → 0.280 (#619) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 74.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.252 (#562) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.248 (#571) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 23 More → 783 (#478) RD 98 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ Duquesne L 73 - 102
2025-11-14 vs Edinboro W 88 - 72
2025-11-15 vs California (PA) L 69 - 77
2025-11-19 @ Ursuline W 87 - 81
2025-11-22 @ Pitt.-Johnstown L 75 - 97
2025-11-25 @ Seton Hill L 68 - 93
2025-12-03 vs Salem (WV) W 71 - 50
2025-12-06 vs Point Park W 77 - 61
2025-12-17 vs West Va. Wesleyan L 71 - 80
2025-12-20 vs Tiffin L 67 - 80
2026-01-03 @ Davis & Elkins W 84 - 80
2026-01-10 @ Fairmont St. L 54 - 76
2026-01-14 vs Glenville St. L 89 - 100
2026-01-17 @ Concord L 77 - 93
2026-01-19 vs West Virginia St. L 74 - 77
2026-01-21 @ Point Park L 68 - 73
2026-01-24 vs Wheeling L 52 - 78
2026-01-28 @ West Virginia St. W 74 - 61
2026-01-31 vs Charleston (WV) L 65 - 79
2026-02-04 vs Davis & Elkins W 66 - 61
2026-02-07 @ West Va. Wesleyan L 68 - 88

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bailee Smith - 4 29.5 24.0 3.5 1.5 0.8 0.0 2.2 18.5 9.0 -9 -3.0 -4.8 45.9 38.5 72.2 1.55 58.6 56.1
Reagan Vinskovich - 10 24.7 17.6 9.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 1.9 13.5 12.6 -17 -1.7 -5.4 51.9 0 67.9 2.18 55.6 51.9
Abbie Davidson - 1 29.2 17.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 11.0 - - - 45.5 50.0 80.0 - 64.4 59.1
Anna Lucarelli - 21 32.6 14.6 6.6 4.0 1.7 0.5 4.3 11.8 11.3 -54 -2.5 -9.9 39.3 28.8 60.9 2.02 48.3 42.3
Olivia Baker - 13 30.2 14.1 3.5 1.4 0.8 0.5 2.4 11.1 6.8 -54 -3.6 -17.8 39.6 38.1 81.8 -0.13 59.5 57.3
Ana-Isabel Andersson Rodriguez - 18 31.0 9.1 4.2 4.3 1.4 0.1 4.3 9.2 5.6 -93 -4.9 -35.5 36.7 28.4 65.7 -0.49 45.2 42.5
Jameka Brungard - 21 17.1 8.5 5.3 0.3 0.9 0.5 1.3 6.4 7.7 -41 -1.9 -21.8 55.6 16.7 56.2 0.42 57.0 55.9
Halley Smith - 11 24.1 7.5 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.3 6.5 2.5 -35 -3.2 -65.9 36.6 19.0 89.7 0.42 48.9 39.4
Katie Lucarelli - 21 30.5 5.3 2.8 3.1 1.4 0.4 2.6 4.8 5.5 -36 -1.6 -6.8 40.6 27.1 58.6 -0.32 49.2 47.0
Dria Parker - 21 22.7 5.3 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.5 5.7 2.8 -41 -1.9 -9.9 29.2 27.7 76.9 -0.22 44.1 42.1
Kaleigh Norris - 21 16.5 3.1 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.1 -45 -2.0 -14.9 34.4 25.0 50.0 -2.35 43.6 41.4
Jillian Huffman - 12 5.7 1.8 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.2 2 0.2 2.6 42.1 0.0 60.0 -1.27 47.0 42.1
Ella Giles - 10 4.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.0 -6 -0.5 -25.3 12.5 0.0 100.0 -1.01 22.5 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG