West Chester
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 957 (#391) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 999 (#284) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 869 (#636) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.3 (#157) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.9 (#469) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.723 (#279) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.543 (#266) | NetEff +1.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.760 (#289) | AdjNet +10.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.779 (#289) | AdjNet +10.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.631 (#303) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.359 (#572) | AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.340 (#495) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.333 (#508) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 883 (#397) | RD 96 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Saint Joseph's | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 72 - 33 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Glenville St. | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | La Salle | L | 50 - 83 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | California (PA) | W | 64 - 36 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Jefferson | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 84 - 35 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Gannon | L | 61 - 82 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Clarion | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 50 - 85 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Seton Hill | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Kutztown | L | 46 - 49 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Shepherd | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 50 - 73 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Mansfield | W | 71 - 44 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Millersville | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Kutztown | L | 52 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 45 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lena Stein | - | 22 | 28.1 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 27 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 48.0 | 23.5 | 75.8 | 1.48 | 55.2 | 50.3 |
| Macie McCracken | - | 20 | 18.7 | 8.1 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 5.5 | -22 | -1.2 | -9.5 | 43.6 | 31.0 | 74.2 | -2.09 | 54.9 | 51.9 |
| Marianna Papazoglou | - | 22 | 23.3 | 7.9 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 7.8 | 6.3 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 36.8 | 30.3 | 71.1 | -0.74 | 46.1 | 42.7 |
| Erin Daley | - | 21 | 24.8 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 56 | 2.8 | 11.7 | 36.6 | 12.9 | 73.3 | 1.44 | 41.7 | 37.9 |
| Bella Mazur | - | 22 | 20.4 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 39.0 | 20.8 | 57.1 | 0.14 | 42.0 | 40.6 |
| Kimi Sayson | - | 22 | 21.1 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 20 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 33.6 | 25.9 | 69.7 | -0.63 | 43.4 | 39.2 |
| Alivia Mauz | - | 22 | 18.0 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 3.6 | -25 | -1.2 | -7.1 | 37.3 | 19.1 | 63.0 | -0.42 | 44.3 | 41.4 |
| Ava Mazur | - | 22 | 13.6 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.3 | 2.5 | -19 | -0.9 | -9.4 | 38.3 | 22.7 | 80.0 | -0.7 | 46.2 | 41.0 |
| Jordin Tate | - | 22 | 17.6 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 4.4 | -48 | -2.3 | -14.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 65.2 | -0.92 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
| Sofia Coleman | - | 13 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 35.1 | 0.0 | 68.4 | -1.08 | 43.0 | 35.1 |
| Amelia McMichael | - | 17 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.8 | -4 | -0.3 | -2.7 | 44.1 | 28.6 | 68.2 | -1.63 | 53.8 | 47.1 |
| Alainna Hopta | - | 16 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 44 | 2.9 | 26.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 2.48 | 55.2 | 46.7 |
| Zoe Kashner | - | 4 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 22 | 5.5 | 132.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kyla Glasser-Hyman | - | 4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.7 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG