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West Chester

Also known as: West Chester
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 854 (#475) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 937 (#371) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 869 (#636) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -2.7 (#251) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -6.9 (#469) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.723 (#279) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.3 More → 0.543 (#266) NetEff +1.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.0 More → 0.760 (#289) AdjNet +10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.7 More → 0.779 (#289) AdjNet +10.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 62.0 More → 0.631 (#303) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 62.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 63.1 More → 0.359 (#572) AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 63.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.340 (#495) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.333 (#508) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 23 More → 877 (#398) RD 96 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Saint Joseph's - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Salem (WV) - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Glenville St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ La Salle - Incomplete score
2025-11-23 vs California (PA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ Jefferson - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Pitt.-Johnstown - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Gannon - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 vs Clarion - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Indiana (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Seton Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Shippensburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 vs Kutztown - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ Bloomsburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Shepherd - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Lock Haven - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ East Stroudsburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Mansfield - Incomplete score
2026-02-02 vs Millersville - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Kutztown - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Shippensburg - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lena Stein - 20 28.7 10.3 6.3 1.6 1.7 0.2 1.6 7.8 10.7 27 1.3 4.1 49.0 25.0 75.0 0.02 56.2 51.3
Macie McCracken - 18 20.2 8.7 3.2 0.9 1.2 0.1 1.1 7.1 6.1 -22 -1.2 -9.5 44.9 32.8 72.4 -1.07 56.2 53.5
Marianna Papazoglou - 20 23.1 7.5 5.2 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.9 7.7 6.3 -5 -0.2 -1.3 35.1 27.3 76.5 -1.06 44.1 39.9
Bella Mazur - 20 20.7 6.6 1.9 2.1 0.9 0.1 2.6 7.2 1.8 2 0.1 0.4 40.3 20.8 57.9 -0.75 43.3 42.0
Erin Daley - 19 25.0 6.5 4.8 2.2 1.0 0.6 1.5 7.1 6.4 56 2.8 11.7 37.0 15.4 73.1 2.41 42.0 38.5
Kimi Sayson - 20 21.0 5.5 2.6 2.5 0.8 0.0 2.1 5.5 3.8 20 1.0 4.4 34.2 26.1 67.7 0.77 43.7 39.6
Alivia Mauz - 20 17.2 5.0 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.1 0.8 4.8 3.6 -25 -1.2 -7.1 38.9 21.1 63.0 0.76 46.3 43.2
Ava Mazur - 20 13.4 4.7 1.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 2.2 4.2 2.9 -19 -0.9 -9.4 40.5 25.0 80.0 0.14 48.9 43.5
Jordin Tate - 20 16.4 3.9 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 1.4 3.3 4.1 -48 -2.3 -14.5 50.0 0.0 64.7 -1.98 52.4 50.0
Sofia Coleman - 11 9.2 3.2 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 3.3 0.7 -2 -0.2 -1.0 33.3 0.0 64.7 -0.62 40.2 33.3
Amelia McMichael - 15 7.1 3.1 2.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.0 2.1 3.1 -4 -0.3 -2.7 46.9 33.3 68.2 -0.56 56.4 50.0
Alainna Hopta - 14 7.9 1.4 0.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 44 2.9 26.5 33.3 33.3 100.0 3.88 55.2 46.7
Zoe Kashner - 4 4.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.2 22 5.5 132.7 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kyla Glasser-Hyman - 3 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 0.3 0.3 2 0.7 17.0 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG