🐻⬇️🏀

West Ala.

Also known as: West Ala.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 965 (#376) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1014 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 977 (#504) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.6 (#180) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +4.7 (#289) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.148 (#511) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.8 More → 0.348 (#319) NetEff -4.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.5 More → 0.402 (#443) AdjNet -3.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#441) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.470 (#436) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 65.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.522 (#305) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.526 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.527 (#327) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 23 More → 981 (#275) RD 94 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UAB W 62 - 59
2025-11-14 @ Spring Hill W 75 - 69
2025-11-15 @ Clark Atlanta W 86 - 69
2025-11-22 @ North Ala. L 44 - 73
2025-11-23 @ Wheeling L 45 - 57
2025-11-25 vs Columbus St. L 66 - 75
2025-12-04 @ Valdosta St. L 68 - 85
2025-12-06 @ West Florida L 61 - 67
2025-12-11 vs Lee W 62 - 56
2025-12-13 vs Trevecca Nazarene W 64 - 60
2025-12-20 @ Mississippi Col. L 62 - 75
2026-01-02 vs Christian Brothers W 67 - 57
2026-01-10 @ Montevallo W 65 - 59
2026-01-17 vs UAH L 62 - 71
2026-01-22 vs West Florida W 66 - 62
2026-01-24 vs Valdosta St. W 71 - 49
2026-01-29 @ Trevecca Nazarene L 75 - 78
2026-01-31 @ Lee L 80 - 84
2026-02-05 vs Mississippi Col. W 69 - 62
2026-02-07 vs Delta St. L 71 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bellah Machen - 19 37.2 15.8 5.1 1.3 1.4 0.3 2.6 12.7 8.6 48 2.3 7.3 44.2 31.1 79.7 2.75 55.3 50.8
Haley Nichols - 19 30.2 12.2 9.4 1.9 0.5 0.4 1.7 8.8 14.0 60 3.0 10.7 56.9 26.7 72.3 -0.67 61.8 59.3
Tye Queen - 1 21.9 12.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 71.4 0 40.0 - 65.2 71.4
Kendall Lacoste - 10 25.3 9.6 2.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.7 10.1 2.6 -56 -5.6 -40.4 29.7 25.9 95.7 -0.78 43.2 36.6
Nailah Mayes - 19 19.7 9.4 4.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 2.4 6.0 6.7 48 2.4 10.5 53.5 33.3 71.6 4.75 61.1 55.3
Callie Cowan - 19 24.2 8.7 3.2 1.4 1.2 0.2 2.4 7.2 5.2 18 0.9 3.8 42.3 21.7 60.0 -0.04 48.8 44.2
Heather Middleton - 1 22.7 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 60.0 66.7 0 - 80.0 80.0
Shay Hunter - 19 29.9 6.6 3.5 3.6 1.6 0.4 4.4 6.9 4.4 -41 -2.0 -7.2 33.6 30.3 67.5 -0.67 42.1 37.4
Chardai Watkins - 19 20.6 6.1 4.2 1.9 0.8 0.6 2.4 6.0 5.3 30 1.6 9.6 36.0 0.0 71.7 2.02 42.8 36.0
Nia Powell - 1 12.9 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 60.0 0 0.0 - 55.1 60.0
Saniya Hymes - 1 14.3 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Abigail BRYANT - 1 9.1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Carlisa Johnson - 1 5.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -2.0 -9 -2.2 -144.0 50.0 0 0 -0.09 50.0 50.0
Asani Offer - 1 25.1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 20.0 0 0.0 - 17.0 20.0
Deryanis Velez - 1 26.1 2.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 12.5 0.0 0 - 12.5 12.5
Melanie AGUILAR - 1 13.6 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 -143 -6.5 -22.0 50.0 0 0 -0.06 50.0 50.0
Angeleen Mulero - 1 14.2 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Isabela Lu.-Gonzales - 1 14.7 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -6.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Jernae Ringgold - 11 11.1 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.1 3.1 0.0 -32 -4.0 -23.5 26.5 0.0 16.7 -3.09 25.9 26.5
Lyric Broussard - 19 11.2 1.2 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.5 -68 -3.4 -33.0 38.9 0 60.0 -2.04 46.7 38.9
Emma Toombs - 4 4.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 -0.2 -7 -2.3 -98.8 28.6 0.0 0 -0.2 28.6 28.6
Summer Hicks - 17 5.9 0.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.2 -48 -2.8 -34.6 20.0 0 25.0 -2.09 21.8 20.0
Jayda Bernard - 9 5.0 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.7 -26 -2.9 -77.7 50.0 0 50.0 -1.68 53.9 50.0
Litzy Lujan-Gonzales - 1 20.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG