Wesleyan (GA)Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 614 (#397) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 687 (#389) | HCA +56 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 681 (#390) | HCA +60 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -28.1 (#386) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -27.5 (#384) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#403) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.071 (#389) | AdjO 46.3 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.074 (#390) | AdjO 46.0 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 616 (#398) | RD 174 | GP 14 |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2025-2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Sewanee | L | 65 - 110 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Paine | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Trinity Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Pensacola Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Welch | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Paine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Toccoa Falls | L | 50 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 38 - 89 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | West Ga. | L | 21 - 116 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Asbury | L | 62 - 108 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Belhaven | L | 60 - 92 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Huntingdon | L | 35 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Covenant | L | 32 - 52 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Piedmont | L | 53 - 81 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | LaGrange | L | 63 - 91 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Agnes Scott | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Covenant | L | 38 - 66 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Huntingdon | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | LaGrange | L | 52 - 77 |
| 2026-02-10 | vs | Agnes Scott | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Asbury | L | 42 - 90 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Maryville (TN) | L | 34 - 84 |
| 2026-02-17 | @ | Piedmont | L | 43 - 67 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Belhaven | L | 48 - 80 |
2025-2026 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zariah Davis | - | 17 | 32.8 | 13.4 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 13.4 | 5.9 | -351 | 16 | -21.9 | -27.3 | 32.2 | 28.2 | 61.2 | -2.76 | 42.2 | 37.0 |
| Alissa Sandifer | - | 17 | 27.8 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 6.5 | 9.8 | -0.6 | -285 | 16 | -17.8 | -26.9 | 27.5 | 23.0 | 76.1 | -4.38 | 40.4 | 31.7 |
| Jenaiya Hardy | - | 10 | 30.4 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 9.2 | 6.6 | -163 | 10 | -16.3 | -22.2 | 38.0 | 22.2 | 55.6 | -0.6 | 42.7 | 39.1 |
| Mar'Reonna Little | - | 17 | 25.7 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 10.8 | 2.0 | -253 | 16 | -15.8 | -25.6 | 26.2 | 24.3 | 45.9 | -0.66 | 34.7 | 31.1 |
| Maya Whitehead | - | 17 | 23.0 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 7.7 | -2.8 | -298 | 16 | -18.6 | -33.1 | 19.1 | 21.2 | 65.4 | -5.68 | 26.0 | 21.8 |
| Anderia Jackson | - | 4 | 27.4 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | -33 | 3 | -11.0 | -17.6 | 23.1 | 14.3 | 42.9 | 0.15 | 27.5 | 25.0 |
| Kiara Hayes | - | 17 | 23.9 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 3.6 | -286 | 16 | -17.9 | -31.0 | 37.9 | 50.0 | 30.4 | -3.95 | 38.2 | 38.8 |
| Katie Laufer | - | 15 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | -0.3 | -98 | 14 | -7.0 | -28.5 | 27.5 | 27.9 | 0.0 | -0.78 | 38.6 | 39.2 |
| Briscia Tejada | - | 16 | 21.1 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4.7 | -216 | 15 | -14.4 | -29.1 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 63.6 | -5.13 | 44.6 | 36.8 |
| Idrianna Edwards | - | 17 | 13.2 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.1 | -187 | 16 | -11.7 | -39.8 | 21.4 | - | 71.4 | -6.68 | 32.2 | 21.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG