🐻⬇️🏀

Wentworth

Also known as: Wentworth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 838 (#461) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 596 (#600) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 714 (#725) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -43.4 (#416) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -40.9 (#698) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.016 (#703) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -34.9 More → 0.004 (#567) NetEff -34.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -55.2 More → 0.001 (#714) AdjNet -55.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -56.0 More → 0.001 (#713) AdjNet -56.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 40.6 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.049 (#705) AdjO 40.6 | AdjD 73.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 39.7 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.053 (#718) AdjO 39.7 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.017 (#716) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.019 (#719) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 21 More → 560 (#573) RD 116 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Fitchburg St. L 38 - 54
2025-11-12 @ Dean L 56 - 85
2025-11-15 @ Lesley L 49 - 51
2025-11-19 @ Gordon L 59 - 65
2025-11-22 @ VTSU Lyndon L 47 - 66
2025-11-25 vs Wellesley L 41 - 75
2025-12-02 vs Suffolk L 32 - 68
2025-12-13 vs MCLA W 59 - 31
2025-12-16 vs UMass Boston L 48 - 79
2025-12-30 @ Elms L 37 - 50
2026-01-10 vs Gordon L 30 - 63
2026-01-14 vs JWU (Providence) L 36 - 79
2026-01-17 @ Western New Eng. L 33 - 86
2026-01-20 @ U New England L 32 - 85
2026-01-24 vs Hartford L 37 - 68
2026-01-28 @ Endicott L 32 - 73
2026-02-03 vs Nichols L 37 - 79
2026-02-07 @ Curry L 55 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mia Luna Zayas - 17 38.9 12.4 3.5 1.1 0.6 0.0 4.1 13.8 -0.3 -253 -16.9 -67.3 30.2 30.1 52.4 -3.68 41.6 40.2
Taylor Garabedian - 18 39.2 12.3 11.1 2.2 1.7 0.5 3.7 12.9 11.3 -265 -16.6 -71.5 33.6 19.2 62.2 -3.76 40.3 34.7
Elise Ayer - 18 33.2 6.3 7.4 1.3 1.1 0.0 3.6 7.0 5.4 -221 -13.8 -67.0 38.9 50.0 45.2 -4.88 40.5 39.3
Grace Moltenbrey - 11 25.1 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.8 6.5 -0.4 -125 -8.9 -47.1 29.2 29.5 55.6 0.64 39.5 38.2
Tita Rana - 18 32.6 3.6 4.9 2.3 1.1 0.4 5.3 5.1 1.9 -237 -14.8 -80.0 22.8 16.7 55.9 -3.73 29.9 24.5
Gianna Gioia - 17 27.2 3.2 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.2 3.9 5.0 -0.5 -193 -12.9 -121.4 24.7 16.2 41.2 -2.31 29.7 28.2
Kailee McPhillips - 16 15.8 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.2 -0.2 -69 -4.9 -124.1 33.3 30.8 50.0 -0.72 40.1 38.9
Nya Breedy - 12 4.8 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 -4 -0.3 -10.2 12.5 0.0 0 0.39 12.5 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG