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Wellesley

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Wellesley
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 948 (#337) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 934 (#328) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -10.7 (#291) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.337 (#526) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.1 More → 0.270 (#307) NetEff -7.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.7 More → 0.116 (#537) AdjNet -17.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.3 More → 0.104 (#539) AdjNet -18.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.9 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.261 (#533) AdjO 52.9 | AdjD 64.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Regis (MA) W 65 - 55
2024-11-13 @ Worcester St. W 57 - 55
2024-11-16 vs Colby-Sawyer L 51 - 56
2024-11-19 @ Lasell L 48 - 51
2024-11-22 @ St. Lawrence L 40 - 63
2024-11-23 @ Utica L 58 - 69
2024-12-03 @ Elms W 54 - 34
2024-12-06 @ Norwich L 45 - 59
2024-12-07 vs Keene St. L 53 - 65
2024-12-10 vs Salem St. L 55 - 58
2025-01-02 vs Wentworth W 62 - 52
2025-01-05 vs Colby L 59 - 62
2025-01-09 @ Dean W 70 - 40
2025-01-18 @ Clark (MA) W 72 - 60
2025-01-22 @ Emerson L 59 - 69
2025-01-25 vs Springfield L 33 - 57
2025-01-29 vs MIT L 52 - 59
2025-02-01 @ Coast Guard L 64 - 81
2025-02-05 vs Babson L 38 - 56
2025-02-08 @ Salve Regina L 51 - 66
2025-02-12 @ Wheaton (MA) W 68 - 53
2025-02-15 vs Mount Holyoke W 61 - 41
2025-02-19 @ WPI L 45 - 65
2025-02-22 vs Smith L 50 - 86

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trinity Barrow - 24 36.5 12.6 6.2 3.2 3.1 0.3 3.3 11.8 10.3 -15 -0.6 -0.5 38.4 28.3 73.2 0.01 47.9 44.0
Ava Shane - 24 25.6 11.1 7.0 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.4 9.3 8.5 -24 -0.9 -1.0 43.5 27.3 63.4 -0.12 49.9 45.5
Mirella Funari - 21 30.6 8.3 4.0 2.5 2.2 0.1 1.8 9.0 6.2 43 2.5 2.5 28.4 12.8 73.2 0.6 38.5 30.0
Stacy Chen - 24 26.0 7.9 2.3 1.0 0.9 0.0 2.5 7.9 1.8 -45 -1.7 -1.9 35.4 25.0 70.5 -0.18 44.0 38.9
Caitlin Windross - 22 22.0 6.9 5.4 0.6 0.8 0.4 1.3 8.8 4.0 25 1.4 2.2 28.5 20.7 68.6 0.33 36.5 33.2
Arla Hofer - 23 25.7 3.7 5.0 0.6 0.8 0.6 1.9 4.6 4.1 0 0.0 0.0 33.0 0.0 87.5 -0.11 37.2 33.0
Emaleena Elson - 24 14.8 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.4 3.1 -0.1 45 1.7 3.4 28.0 25.5 80.0 0.4 38.9 37.3
Arielle Lepage - 4 10.5 2.0 0.8 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 1.2 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.0 20.0
Bridget Sheahan - 19 8.3 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.1 1.5 37 2.8 6.9 52.4 0 60.0 0.39 53.9 52.4
Proud Techarungchaikul - 20 13.1 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.4 4 0.2 0.4 25.6 20.0 33.3 0.35 31.2 30.8
Yitzel Serna - 11 2.8 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 - - - 50.0 57.1 0 - 70.0 70.0
Amanda Cheng - 21 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 -0.2 22 1.6 14.3 20.0 0.0 0 0.24 20.0 20.0
P Techarungchaikul - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.2 0.4 0 0 0 0.35 0 0
Proud Techarungchaik - 3 11.0 0.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG