Wellesley
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 948 (#337) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 934 (#328) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#300) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2023-11-10 | @ | Brandeis | L | 38 - 61 |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Kean | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Fisher | W | 72 - 34 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Elms | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Worcester St. | W | 59 - 50 |
| 2023-12-05 | vs | Lasell | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2023-12-08 | @ | Nichols | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | L | 46 - 51 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | Middlebury | L | 37 - 57 |
| 2024-01-08 | vs | Dean | W | 75 - 42 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Emerson | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Springfield | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | MIT | L | 43 - 73 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Coast Guard | L | 41 - 71 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Babson | L | 51 - 80 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | L | 44 - 56 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Mount Holyoke | W | 67 - 39 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | WPI | L | 41 - 52 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Smith | L | 54 - 94 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRINITY BARROW | - | 4 | 34.8 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 10.2 | 12.5 | -53 | -6.6 | -6.5 | 48.8 | 46.2 | 50.0 | -0.17 | 56.1 | 56.1 |
| CAITLIN WINDROSS | - | 2 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 57.1 | 0.0 | -0.18 | 63.6 | 66.7 |
| JIYUN CHAE | - | 5 | 33.4 | 11.2 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 13.4 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 37.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.68 | 39.7 | 37.3 |
| MIRELLA FUNARI | - | 5 | 33.8 | 10.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 10.4 | 12.4 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 16.7 | 68.8 | -0.17 | 44.9 | 40.4 |
| YITZEL SERNA | - | 5 | 27.8 | 9.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 34.9 | 31.8 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 49.6 | 43.0 |
| SAIRAH O'BRIEN-FORDE | - | 2 | 34.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 11.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 36.5 | 36.4 |
| ANNA BANDINI | - | 5 | 24.0 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 47.6 | 0 | 77.8 | -0.62 | 54.1 | 47.6 |
| ARLA HOFER | - | 5 | 21.2 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 6.2 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 35.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.09 | 36.6 | 35.5 |
| Simone Marshall-Chafee | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| AMANDA CHENG | - | 2 | 16.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -1.5 | -33 | -5.5 | -17.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG